Grouchy-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-30 04:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

82% 83% +$17

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

5% 100% +$14

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$664	340	340	+0	open	—	05-06 07:29
Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	1	$454	460	0	+460	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$6	05-13 08:00
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	1	$450	455	0	+455	FCSB	+$5	05-11 10:00
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	2	$423	450	0	+450	Liaoning Tieren FC	+$27	05-10 08:23
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)	1	$420	447	0	+447	open	—	06-07 05:21
dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$408	448	0	+448	open	—	06-08 06:03
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$406	415	0	+415	Sevilla FC	+$9	05-09 07:23
j2100 st sho 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	1	$387	421	0	+421	open	—	06-06 06:41
fif nir gui 2026 06 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$354	389	0	+389	open	—	06-04 05:02
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	1	$332	336	0	+336	Beijing Guoan FC	+$4	05-06 09:03
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	1	$330	355	0	+355	open	—	06-03 07:44
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	1	$318	332	0	+332	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	+$14	05-05 06:22
dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	1	$211	270	0	+270	open	—	03-16 06:00
atp cecchin kopp 2026 03 11	1	$195	300	0	+300	open	—	03-11 07:10
wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	2	$171	590	0	+590	open	—	03-12 11:37
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	7	$137	742	742	+0	open	—	05-30 07:09
us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	3	$128	713	713	+0	open	—	06-30 04:39
mlb min tor 2026 03 13	1	$128	210	0	+210	open	—	03-13 07:25
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	2	$68	751	5	+746	open	—	05-30 07:13
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	2	$63	788	0	+788	open	—	05-29 05:01
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	2	$43	724	0	+724	open	—	05-31 05:15
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	2	$41	752	0	+752	open	—	06-02 05:44
Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	2	$33	678	0	+678	Haras El Hodood SC	$-33	05-07 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:39:19	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	713	9¢	$64	0x4d0357…
06-30 03:27:37	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	356	9¢	$32	0xf0a368…
06-30 03:27:28	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	357	9¢	$32	0x6b89b6…
06-08 06:03:22	dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	448	91¢	$408	0x86a7ca…
06-07 05:21:55	Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)	Denmark	BUY	447	94¢	$420	0xf86583…
06-06 06:41:45	j2100 st sho 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	Shōnan Bellmāre	BUY	421	92¢	$387	0x4b8dc6…
06-04 05:02:28	fif nir gui 2026 06 04 spread away 1pt5	Northern Ireland	BUY	389	91¢	$354	0x56a44e…
06-03 07:44:51	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	355	93¢	$330	0x4ebe30…
06-02 05:44:15	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Croatia	BUY	291	5¢	$16	0x2b168d…
06-02 05:44:10	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Croatia	BUY	461	5¢	$25	0x60a5c2…
05-31 05:15:14	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	SD Eibar	BUY	380	6¢	$23	0x5e92cc…
05-31 05:15:14	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	SD Eibar	BUY	344	6¢	$21	0x244548…
05-30 07:13:15	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x9de3e1…
05-30 07:11:53	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	751	9¢	$68	0x0d801f…
05-30 07:09:22	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	9¢	$3	0x2ca661…
05-30 07:09:15	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	360	9¢	$34	0x7e429b…
05-30 07:09:13	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	9¢	$33	0xe608be…
05-30 05:54:54	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x0c0e07…
05-30 05:54:30	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0x91f6a3…
05-30 05:54:16	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	391	9¢	$34	0xef31a6…
05-30 05:53:39	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	254	9¢	$22	0x1e189e…
05-29 05:01:24	Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	US Catanzaro 1929	BUY	430	8¢	$34	0x54efce…
05-29 05:01:22	Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	US Catanzaro 1929	BUY	358	8¢	$29	0x427b8f…
05-13 08:00:51	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	460	99¢	$454	0xdb46e1…
05-11 10:00:18	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0xf784c0…
05-10 08:23:10	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Liaoning Tieren FC	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5c193d…
05-10 08:22:54	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Liaoning Tieren FC	BUY	440	94¢	$413	0xd8f167…
05-09 07:23:07	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	415	98¢	$406	0x25401e…
05-07 06:59:13	Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	ZED FC	BUY	328	5¢	$16	0x46d848…
05-07 06:59:13	Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	ZED FC	BUY	350	5¢	$17	0x18e3b0…
05-06 09:03:46	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	336	99¢	$332	0x1b99d0…
05-06 07:29:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	340	98¢	$332	0xd8306e…
05-06 05:59:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	98¢	$332	0x40b35e…
05-05 06:22:22	Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	332	96¢	$318	0xc2e22d…
03-16 06:00:17	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	L1ga Team	BUY	270	78¢	$211	0xf4b963…
03-13 07:25:37	mlb min tor 2026 03 13	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	210	61¢	$128	0x535980…
03-12 11:37:49	wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	An	BUY	270	29¢	$78	0x579a85…
03-12 11:37:47	wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	An	BUY	320	29¢	$93	0x6710ab…
03-11 07:10:49	atp cecchin kopp 2026 03 11	Marco Cecchinato	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0xa7e829…