Novel-Sticker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$62

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-30 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 40% $-2

Crypto

27% — —

Sports

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-2	$-1	16¢	$-0	+$0	05-30 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 21:17
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 21:16
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 20:39
lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 20:05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 20:58
Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Score	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 13:25
Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5	2	$2	1	1	+0	Over	+$0	05-09 22:00
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 22:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 13:10
val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-27 14:47
eth updown 5m 1776959400	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$1	4	3	+0	open	—	04-27 20:13
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 22:34
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 18:12
btc updown 5m 1776957000	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-23 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 14:31
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 18:17
btc updown 5m 1776958500	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-23 15:39
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-27 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 14:47
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	1	$1	1	0	+1	Under	$-1	05-10 19:48
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-10 19:47
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-27 17:49
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 16:11
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 vil	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-23 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x2c344d…
05-27 17:50:24	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x644a5d…
05-27 17:49:51	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x25bfe7…
05-19 15:26:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x86c8d4…
05-10 19:48:37	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7fea07…
05-10 19:47:44	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1e9f3e…
05-09 22:00:36	Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb5cb66…
05-09 22:00:29	Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52ab10…
05-09 18:41:22	Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfdc37d…
05-09 18:40:14	Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdca5e0…
05-05 20:28:06	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x17f492…
05-05 17:33:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x669f21…
05-03 22:34:16	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf3aeee…
05-03 22:34:06	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9b5c95…
05-03 18:58:24	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe65219…
05-03 16:12:40	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x383619…
05-03 16:11:48	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x065499…
05-02 23:19:46	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x04a82f…
04-29 21:17:10	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x72fbbb…
04-29 21:16:40	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6cd979…
04-29 18:56:00	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1a71c8…
04-29 18:56:00	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x10ccc1…
04-29 18:54:46	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2a3952…
04-29 18:54:46	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0e9a65…
04-28 14:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7e313d…
04-27 21:10:56	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6cc05e…
04-27 20:58:18	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8dd525…
04-27 20:39:04	Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x992b4a…
04-27 20:13:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x6b18ea…
04-27 18:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa49274…
04-27 18:17:26	Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbf5d10…
04-27 18:17:14	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x705baa…
04-27 18:17:06	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x29127a…
04-27 18:12:50	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2edb72…
04-27 18:11:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9bab46…
04-27 14:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x57f1fe…
04-27 14:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x397b5a…
04-27 14:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3a53b6…
04-25 13:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2fe3a3…
04-25 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x19bb05…
04-25 13:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb0a8c…
04-25 13:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d7ce4…
04-25 13:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcd2177…
04-25 13:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x883051…
04-25 13:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd65075…
04-25 13:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ba409…
04-23 20:05:54	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcc6a84…
04-23 16:21:26	val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	GIANTX	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x3880b6…
04-23 16:06:36	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 vil	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb444cf…
04-23 16:06:26	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3b6163…
04-23 16:02:46	val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	GIANTX	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0c4be6…
04-23 15:51:48	eth updown 5m 1776959400	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x2d9286…
04-23 15:50:56	eth updown 5m 1776959400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x900456…
04-23 15:45:38	btc updown 5m 1776959100	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbb24b2…
04-23 15:39:32	btc updown 5m 1776958500	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x897c5d…
04-23 15:11:10	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xadd5aa…