Unwilling-Wake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-09 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

61% 54% +$2,665

Politics

18% 80% +$32

Crypto

12% 24% -$1,482

Sports

8% 100% +$2,338

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+200	$18	3¢	$5	-$13	05-08 17:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	39	$8.6K	5,900	5,900	+0	Yes	+$34	05-19 18:30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	7	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	MOUZ	+$24	05-17 09:11
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	20	$3.2K	3,017	3,017	+0	No	-$20	05-16 20:56
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	31	$3.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$1,011	01-07 02:38
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	11	$2.9K	2,000	2,682	-682	Yes	+$233	01-05 16:42
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$2.7K	3,767	0	+3,767	Yes	+$1,054	07-19 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	08-29 16:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$0	08-17 09:46
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	12	$1.7K	2,700	0	+2,700	Yes	+$951	01-29 08:38
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	14	$1.4K	1,100	1,000	+100	No	+$167	08-11 21:01
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	26	$1.3K	2,454	0	+2,454	Yes	+$1,176	03-25 09:31
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$1.2K	758	758	-0	No	+$142	01-16 17:31
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	13	$1.1K	1,256	500	+756	paiN	+$172	05-21 15:21
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	7	$1.1K	1,099	0	+1,099	Yes	+$13	08-13 18:53
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	6	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$86	01-09 14:08
Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	9	$1.1K	1,351	0	+1,351	Yes	+$5	08-28 14:55
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$974	500	500	+0	Yes	+$16	01-13 14:21
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	5	$926	950	0	+950	No	+$24	08-28 14:52
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	7	$901	1,968	1,968	+0	Yes	+$83	01-07 22:29
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	19	$882	828	828	+0	Yes	+$348	05-16 22:59
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$787	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$787	01-03 14:01
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	2	$559	300	300	+0	Yes	+$31	01-13 20:15
Will Rafael Leao join Besiktas?	2	$535	545	0	+545	No	+$10	08-26 18:28
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	3	$510	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$30	01-07 22:44
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$484	0	500	-500	No	-$16	04-10 10:51
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$440	0	500	-500	No	-$60	04-10 21:34
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$440	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$440	02-25 11:02
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	2	$405	500	500	+0	Yes	+$15	01-07 22:27
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?	3	$388	701	0	+701	No	-$388	01-05 03:28
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	3	$306	160	160	+0	No	-$7	08-26 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 13:50:43	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xc488ff…
09-09 13:44:01	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x655d89…
09-09 13:43:34	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xce8f1b…
08-29 16:55:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x273721…
08-28 14:55:03	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	179	94¢	$169	0x3c22e6…
08-28 14:52:33	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	70	92¢	$65	0x7f5dc1…
08-28 14:52:16	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0xc6db80…
08-28 14:50:30	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xc73425…
08-28 14:49:51	Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf60533…
08-28 14:49:24	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0xb869d0…
08-28 14:46:28	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	735	93¢	$683	0xc4aee0…
08-28 14:45:04	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xb71649…
08-28 14:45:00	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	117	15¢	$17	0x5e46fe…
08-28 14:43:54	Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x950a0f…
08-28 14:41:21	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xfcf771…
08-28 14:41:01	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe46c70…
08-26 22:17:18	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x11dfb1…
08-26 22:16:09	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xf71479…
08-26 22:09:04	Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0x19c19e…
08-26 22:08:52	Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	No	SELL	114	95¢	$108	0x72dc32…
08-26 22:07:51	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	No	BUY	424	14¢	$61	0xf9c989…
08-26 19:32:19	Will Rafael Leao join Barcelona?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x16b9e4…
08-26 18:48:34	Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x7fab44…
08-26 18:28:58	Will Rafael Leao join Besiktas?	No	BUY	415	98¢	$408	0x87b8a3…
08-26 18:27:10	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x61bf11…
08-26 18:27:07	Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0xd8b529…
08-26 18:26:58	Will Rafael Leao join Besiktas?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x170311…
08-26 18:26:45	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	BUY	265	98¢	$261	0xb39431…
08-26 18:26:40	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	BUY	254	95¢	$241	0x8883ae…
08-17 09:46:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	75¢	$450	0x0a892f…
08-17 09:46:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	267	75¢	$200	0x3cbe70…
08-17 09:45:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0x219158…
08-17 09:45:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	266	75¢	$200	0x3ccf71…
08-14 16:56:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	75¢	$900	0x74fdba…
08-14 14:52:45	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	243	16¢	$39	0x677209…
08-13 18:53:36	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Tottenham?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x74a3de…
08-13 18:53:36	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x55e1aa…
08-13 18:52:03	Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x6a20c6…
08-13 18:48:57	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x89c225…
08-13 18:46:12	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x8622cf…
08-13 18:45:40	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x185471…
08-11 23:53:39	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x2e9bde…
08-11 23:49:04	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xff9ae1…
08-11 23:23:40	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0xd42a45…
08-11 22:55:10	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xda47f2…
08-11 22:05:52	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xea4f82…
08-11 21:01:48	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	80	18¢	$14	0x581e2c…
08-11 21:00:27	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5104b7…
08-11 20:54:33	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	820	75¢	$615	0x9aea8f…
08-11 20:53:22	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x737a75…
08-11 20:51:37	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x2078d3…
08-11 20:44:57	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xc6da71…
08-11 20:44:57	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x50219e…
08-11 20:44:46	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	120	81¢	$97	0x03560b…
08-11 20:44:24	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x3ae772…
08-11 01:11:48	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	105	77¢	$80	0x888129…
08-08 11:33:15	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	346	62¢	$215	0x185c0f…
08-08 11:05:40	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	85	63¢	$54	0xedac8b…
08-08 11:03:36	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	461	61¢	$280	0x5c2bce…
08-07 12:47:15	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x17cfdf…
08-07 11:13:19	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x8c0da4…
08-07 11:12:42	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0xfa828f…
08-07 11:11:06	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	137	3¢	$4	0x7d98e7…
08-07 11:04:15	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	205	33¢	$67	0xf69f90…
08-07 10:54:15	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x40fbad…
08-07 10:53:52	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$3	0x2343f7…
08-07 10:50:37	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	98	24¢	$24	0x1085bb…
08-06 22:37:09	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	426	9¢	$38	0xda7a2b…
08-06 22:37:08	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$6	0xfe1d0f…
08-06 22:34:30	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x7723d3…
08-06 22:32:44	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x519387…
08-03 20:05:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x3f21f3…
07-19 21:10:40	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xecba8c…
07-19 21:10:19	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xe47e27…
07-05 22:57:32	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,400	72¢	$1,002	0x65d171…
07-03 18:21:40	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x18f59e…
07-03 18:19:17	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x3b935b…
06-01 08:24:57	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x611dde…
05-31 18:16:05	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x393119…
05-31 18:15:09	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8fe3e2…
05-29 23:47:26	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe7a3c5…
05-29 17:49:48	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x67ec25…
05-29 09:27:36	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc380af…
05-29 04:13:44	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3d1c1b…
05-28 05:52:41	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x9c04ac…
05-28 03:00:45	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x7e1542…
05-28 02:24:19	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xa628aa…
05-27 06:37:21	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x085e24…
05-26 07:07:11	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x431cc3…
05-26 06:50:55	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x222fbd…
05-26 06:40:21	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xfc209b…
05-26 06:39:04	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x83c331…
05-26 05:45:14	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x62bbb8…
05-25 15:41:46	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xa1ba28…
05-25 15:12:39	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xb93572…
05-24 20:43:44	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x9347cf…
05-24 09:11:42	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x2ec9fb…
05-24 09:03:25	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x1199f5…
05-24 09:00:19	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x142cd1…
05-23 06:57:20	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xa9aaf0…