Fluid-Maniac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 08-04 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

30% — —

Sports

18% 44% $-77

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	36	$2.2K	2,680	2,680	+0	open	—	07-25 16:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	7	$1.0K	827	827	+0	open	—	04-06 13:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	31	$736	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-26 13:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	7	$602	800	600	+200	open	—	05-31 10:29
will mrbeasts next video get less than 75 million views on day 5	2	$600	601	0	+601	open	—	03-26 13:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$422	215	215	+0	open	—	04-01 14:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2 649	8	$422	489	489	+0	open	—	04-06 11:53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	05-31 11:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	6	$394	600	600	+0	open	—	08-04 13:26
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$360	180	180	+0	open	—	01-28 19:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	2	$355	200	200	+0	open	—	07-25 10:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	6	$350	409	409	+0	open	—	07-26 10:18
lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	11	$346	345	345	+0	open	—	07-25 09:48
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$299	200	100	+100	open	—	01-29 08:27
will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	3	$276	311	196	+115	open	—	03-25 14:43
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	1	$225	900	0	+900	open	—	04-10 18:52
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$204	135	135	+0	open	—	07-25 07:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-26 06:22
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-03 07:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4	2	$200	331	0	+331	open	—	03-25 14:21
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$200	240	0	+240	open	—	06-08 14:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	2	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	07-25 07:14
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	2	$148	127	127	+0	open	—	07-25 07:35
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$148	145	145	+0	open	—	07-25 07:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	2	$144	100	100	+0	open	—	07-25 07:18
nba chi was 2026 04 07	1	$132	197	0	+197	open	—	04-07 15:45
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$123	198	0	+198	open	—	05-01 07:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$107	0	111	-111	open	—	07-03 14:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$105	0	105	-105	open	—	06-21 10:03
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	01-29 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 13:38:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xfc3121…
08-04 13:37:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x347d93…
08-04 13:26:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x115a6a…
08-04 13:25:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x9d4bc2…
08-04 13:24:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0xd1a463…
08-04 13:22:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x12ced6…
08-03 15:13:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xe5fb06…
08-03 15:07:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x6e85f1…
07-26 13:03:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x92f806…
07-26 12:22:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x154d5d…
07-26 10:53:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x2d13dd…
07-26 10:36:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	72	13¢	$9	0x0dcaa0…
07-26 10:36:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1ab9bb…
07-26 10:36:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x6cf94c…
07-26 10:36:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x039dff…
07-26 10:35:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xf7d956…
07-26 10:35:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x0865b5…
07-26 10:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x40517a…
07-26 10:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x114f37…
07-26 10:18:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x6d6e93…
07-26 10:17:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xdc8dfe…
07-26 10:14:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x81f083…
07-26 10:11:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x027578…
07-26 06:51:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xdd7e01…
07-26 06:49:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xbed4a1…
07-25 18:04:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x0f5eea…
07-25 17:54:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xc2e0fd…
07-25 16:57:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x52f811…
07-25 16:55:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x591151…
07-25 16:53:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x0b74f8…
07-25 16:49:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xfe425a…
07-25 16:25:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x987d76…
07-25 16:22:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x18c191…
07-25 16:16:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x938f48…
07-25 16:07:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x105a76…
07-25 14:14:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x083132…
07-25 14:00:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x859ff3…
07-25 13:07:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x956018…
07-25 12:39:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x93ab05…
07-25 12:07:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x09f6cc…
07-25 11:49:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0xe45218…
07-25 11:45:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8f0064…
07-25 11:39:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0xd52745…
07-25 11:39:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	147	97¢	$143	0x136306…
07-25 11:38:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x01a7f8…
07-25 11:36:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	147	97¢	$143	0xb20710…
07-25 11:17:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xbaab14…
07-25 11:17:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xdd65a5…
07-25 11:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x81b337…
07-25 11:08:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	185	21¢	$39	0x9d5c16…
07-25 10:59:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x19499f…
07-25 10:30:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	SELL	200	88¢	$177	0x2e0b72…
07-25 10:24:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x45fcf7…
07-25 09:48:36	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	Ground Zero Gaming	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xb83ba8…
07-25 09:45:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x1413b6…
07-25 09:44:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x6665dd…
07-25 09:41:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x28da61…
07-25 09:37:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x807208…
07-25 09:32:09	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xdd5ee3…
07-25 09:31:51	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	Ground Zero Gaming	SELL	137	40¢	$55	0x087f9e…
07-25 09:31:22	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8e81d7…
07-25 09:31:16	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xb6a5ee…
07-25 09:31:16	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x580b75…
07-25 09:30:04	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	MVK Esports	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x025217…
07-25 09:29:30	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	MVK Esports	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb393ee…
07-25 09:29:30	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	MVK Esports	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x6ab3a6…
07-25 09:29:30	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	MVK Esports	BUY	168	59¢	$99	0x3551d1…
07-25 09:29:27	lol gz mvk 2026 07 25	MVK Esports	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xc24ef7…
07-25 09:08:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0xc66f71…
07-25 09:06:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xb3fa9e…
07-25 08:58:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xd7d481…
07-25 08:56:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xa43948…
07-25 08:47:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xdca934…
07-25 08:47:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xb80603…
07-25 08:45:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xd98d86…
07-25 08:45:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x57532e…
07-25 08:23:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x3fd801…
07-25 08:23:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xfb1093…
07-25 08:15:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	73	30¢	$22	0x2c5251…
07-25 08:15:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x488c89…
07-25 08:14:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x97141b…
07-25 08:12:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7565f0…
07-25 08:11:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xfe256e…
07-25 08:10:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x17d284…
07-25 08:10:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9f398e…
07-25 08:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x09f4c7…
07-25 08:10:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x69a82c…
07-25 08:10:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x562597…
07-25 08:09:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x6cf63d…
07-25 08:07:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	77	30¢	$23	0x6e1d6e…
07-25 08:06:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	77	30¢	$23	0xcd04d9…
07-25 08:06:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	96	4¢	$3	0xa84066…
07-25 08:05:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x8baf62…
07-25 08:01:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x1a436f…
07-25 08:00:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	104	3¢	$4	0xb3259c…
07-25 07:58:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xfb2c2d…
07-25 07:39:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x75be6d…
07-25 07:38:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x2e6186…
07-25 07:35:21	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	145	33¢	$48	0x47b6c0…
07-25 07:35:15	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	127	38¢	$48	0xc7d4ed…