Cultivated-Heron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 05-31 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$3

Other

26% 43% +$3

Sports

16% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$249	125	125	+0	No	$-0	03-07 08:08
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$249	125	125	+0	open	—	03-08 03:39
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	03-12 02:26
will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	03-12 02:47
will cameron smith win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$232	117	117	+0	open	—	03-12 03:21
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	01-27 10:33
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	03-09 09:16
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	02-13 03:53
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$221	110	110	+0	open	—	01-16 12:26
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$220	111	111	+0	open	—	03-16 04:14
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	01-27 10:15
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	02-10 09:19
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-19 12:44
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-03 04:37
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	04-14 03:12
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$193	96	96	+0	open	—	01-18 10:29
Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$187	94	94	+0	open	—	04-14 04:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	05-24 08:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$135	135	0	+135	Yes	+$0	05-13 10:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$134	134	0	+134	Yes	+$0	05-07 07:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	05-27 10:30
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$133	134	0	+134	open	—	05-22 06:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	05-17 05:54
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$133	133	0	+133	No	+$0	05-08 06:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	05-20 04:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	05-21 05:29
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	05-15 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	05-14 12:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	05-23 11:45
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	1	$129	131	0	+131	No	+$2	05-05 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 07:16:00	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3ec273…
05-28 06:43:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xe8d928…
05-27 10:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x558d39…
05-26 06:56:57	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	magic	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xde53c7…
05-24 08:30:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf7e8d1…
05-23 11:45:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x572b26…
05-23 11:32:58	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe50cc4…
05-22 06:26:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x0d8cd3…
05-21 05:29:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x97c45d…
05-20 04:45:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xdeb894…
05-20 04:00:41	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ugo Blanchet	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa773d6…
05-18 11:43:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	925	0¢	$2	0xb63cac…
05-18 11:40:09	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x553d58…
05-17 05:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xa0246f…
05-15 08:46:17	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x7578b7…
05-14 12:31:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd13485…
05-14 12:21:23	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc7dfa4…
05-13 10:06:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x281aef…
05-11 06:39:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x02e3ab…
05-11 05:11:47	Parma: Kaja Juvan vs Moyuka Uchijima	Kaja Juvan	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x7adfbe…
05-09 09:08:37	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xfc1191…
05-08 06:03:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xd279c3…
05-08 05:59:25	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	L1ga Team	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe1d21a…
05-07 07:22:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x42fd4c…
05-07 07:19:38	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	Goyang	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x12f797…
05-06 06:16:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesana	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x21af1e…
05-05 02:29:44	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$129	0xff8ba1…
05-04 12:02:04	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x2eb539…
05-02 06:30:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xbe3625…
05-01 05:46:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xc0fe29…
04-30 08:34:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x01c431…
04-27 08:15:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4e9edf…
04-26 12:26:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xca7f37…
04-25 05:11:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xd5dc6e…
04-25 05:06:14	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x50526f…
04-24 04:27:34	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x5258f1…
04-23 07:51:02	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x9005af…
04-23 07:44:30	Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Petra Marcinko	Belinda Bencic	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa26249…
04-22 06:58:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xb7c693…
04-21 07:34:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x149069…
04-20 11:46:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa8aad8…
04-20 11:42:36	Madrid Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Diego Dedura-Palomero	Luca Van Assche	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc0baed…
04-19 10:14:22	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x40dbcc…
04-19 08:54:34	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Lightning	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0xd97acc…
04-15 07:59:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x2020eb…
04-14 04:10:55	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x8be139…
04-14 04:02:41	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x908865…
04-14 03:16:31	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xb451ee…
04-14 03:12:47	Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xd0f94c…
04-14 02:56:03	Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4b8c0a…
04-13 01:18:43	ethereum above 2500 on april 13	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9ea60d…
04-13 01:17:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0x3b22e4…
04-13 01:16:21	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	No	BUY	1,700	0¢	$3	0x20dafe…
04-13 01:15:35	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	Yes	BUY	1,167	0¢	$4	0x671484…
04-12 11:17:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 12	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xaf1c6d…
04-11 03:58:49	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x0d7bf6…
04-10 06:43:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 10	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xab2f7e…
04-10 05:20:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x29b3f7…
04-09 08:15:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x89138a…
04-07 06:04:53	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x68831b…
04-06 01:45:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x7481c1…
04-05 09:42:25	solana above 70 on april 5	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xcd1c62…
04-04 05:04:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xbd8771…
04-03 03:50:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 3	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x30dc69…
04-02 12:17:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xd3d99f…
04-01 10:08:07	will solana dip to 60 on april 1	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xad17b1…
03-31 08:58:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x5bf51c…
03-30 09:54:18	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4518aa…
03-30 02:28:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k on march 29	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc860c6…
03-28 12:04:39	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc4ff39…
03-28 01:33:21	will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 27	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4c42ae…
03-27 11:07:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x6136c4…
03-25 12:37:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x194b43…
03-24 09:42:47	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x3deecc…
03-22 08:31:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 22	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x8ca1ed…
03-21 09:38:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 21	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x1e671c…
03-20 04:35:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 20	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4c9a29…
03-18 11:05:11	bitcoin above 78k on march 18	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x539732…
03-18 09:31:15	wta brady stephen 2026 03 17	Jennifer Brady	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x82d218…
03-17 06:10:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x9acca3…
03-17 05:40:15	nba cle mil 2026 03 17	Cavaliers	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x0f5715…
03-16 04:44:09	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5dd61e…
03-16 04:14:37	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0xd4cd58…
03-14 08:25:05	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x663e0c…
03-14 08:23:11	will josh safdie win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xb23429…
03-14 08:21:15	will renate reinsve win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	634	1¢	$4	0xbb8194…
03-12 03:32:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xec9085…
03-12 03:21:29	will cameron smith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x8973f6…
03-12 02:54:05	will cameron smith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xfafd77…
03-12 02:47:53	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0xa723e8…
03-12 02:30:51	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xac6f72…
03-12 02:26:15	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x8dbd93…
03-10 10:00:49	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xc42573…
03-10 09:59:03	ethereum above 1900 on march 10	No	BUY	738	0¢	$3	0x2b139e…
03-10 09:54:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xdcf380…
03-09 09:23:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 9	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x6ff65e…
03-09 09:16:55	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0xe69467…
03-09 08:59:15	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x9405cd…
03-09 08:56:23	atp krumich cassone 2026 03 09	Murphy Cassone	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd59231…
03-08 03:42:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xcf6450…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	67	$144.6K	2,531	05-28 12:39
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	64	$10.4K	5,198	04-21 08:29
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	58	$2.38K	59	05-31 04:00
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	58	$741	2,969	04-26 18:37
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	56	$3.47K	1,277	05-28 15:22
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	55	$76.9K	1,075	05-21 14:36
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	51	$130.9K	814	05-28 03:44
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	48	$252.2K	1,713	05-28 09:51