Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$737

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

2,099

Trades

4,296

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-15 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

44% 75% -$762

Crypto

39% 42% +$66

Politics

16% 80% -$43

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$2.7K	935	1,874	-939	No	-$38	05-23 20:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$1.8K	897	897	+0	No	+$9	05-11 09:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$1.7K	899	899	+0	No	+$102	04-17 21:32
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	3	$1.5K	888	888	+0	open	—	08-15 10:04
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	3	$941	512	512	+0	No	+$65	03-25 19:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$894	463	463	+0	No	+$15	03-21 11:38
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$856	968	0	+968	No	+$112	01-14 12:05
iran strike on israel by january 31	2	$800	452	452	+0	No	+$0	01-22 08:42
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$738	600	600	+0	No	+$126	01-19 12:34
will don lemon be criminally charged	7	$732	1,347	0	+1,347	Yes	-$732	01-28 21:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$503	3,143	0	+3,143	No	-$503	03-25 19:56
us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by feb 28	2	$340	351	0	+351	Yes	+$11	02-24 12:35
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$300	233	233	+0	Yes	+$26	02-24 12:44
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$268	273	0	+273	No	+$5	03-03 15:55
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$215	236	0	+236	No	+$21	01-25 09:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$205	180	180	+0	Yes	-$11	05-26 16:01
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$200	337	0	+337	Yes	+$137	01-23 08:53
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$200	383	0	+383	No	+$183	01-14 11:57
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	02-28 17:06
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	02-28 17:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$97	106	0	+106	No	+$9	05-26 16:02
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 12:15 UTC	24	$75	120	0	+120	Up	+$45	01-08 12:17
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	1	$67	69	0	+69	Yes	+$2	05-25 20:34
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 04:00 UTC	13	$44	45	25	+20	Up	-$1	01-04 04:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 15:00 UTC	13	$41	45	35	+10	Up	-$4	01-05 15:13
ethereum up or down january 16 10am et	11	$37	40	30	+10	Down	-$3	01-16 15:30
xrp up or down january 8 9am et	15	$35	38	28	+10	Down	-$17	01-08 14:58
xrp up or down january 16 9am et	10	$34	35	30	+5	Down	-$10	01-16 14:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 00:00 UTC	10	$31	45	15	+30	Up	+$15	01-08 00:13
xrp up or down january 3 3pm et	4	$29	25	27	-2	Up	+$9	01-03 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 10:04:25	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	755	82¢	$619	0x136b96…
07-04 17:31:17	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	133	90¢	$120	0xc306aa…
05-26 16:02:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	91¢	$97	0xd38a00…
05-26 16:01:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	54¢	$97	0x02e0fc…
05-25 20:38:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	60¢	$108	0x950e1a…
05-25 20:34:43	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xa8c43e…
05-25 20:32:59	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	888	82¢	$730	0x9564cb…
05-23 20:56:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	935	97¢	$907	0x4d4d9d…
05-11 09:14:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xc26781…
05-11 09:13:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	882	94¢	$829	0x89fe6b…
05-11 09:12:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	897	98¢	$882	0x8fdc09…
05-03 18:44:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	897	97¢	$873	0x1fcad5…
05-01 19:18:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	939	93¢	$873	0x77863e…
04-26 16:27:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x581cf2…
04-17 21:32:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	899	99¢	$893	0x07faeb…
03-25 19:56:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,143	16¢	$503	0xa7bff3…
03-25 19:23:37	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	512	98¢	$503	0xe66cb1…
03-23 10:48:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	383	88¢	$337	0xe012af…
03-21 11:38:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	517	88¢	$455	0xb4e197…
03-21 11:38:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	463	98¢	$455	0x1d0dd4…
03-11 16:38:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	463	95¢	$440	0x44b28c…
03-08 18:19:31	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	360	3¢	$9	0x8f9cad…
03-03 15:55:17	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	273	98¢	$268	0x95b208…
03-01 09:15:31	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x37c1bf…
02-28 17:08:35	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe4bab2…
02-28 17:06:19	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x86e670…
02-24 12:44:52	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	70¢	$163	0xb7739a…
02-24 12:35:08	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xf02c88…
02-24 12:34:22	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	252	97¢	$244	0x70b928…
01-31 01:18:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcb9029…
01-31 01:17:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6421ef…
01-31 01:17:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbe61fb…
01-31 01:17:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb55299…
01-31 00:47:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x5c2e1c…
01-31 00:47:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xf219ae…
01-31 00:47:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x724ddd…
01-31 00:47:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa233d9…
01-31 00:46:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8a90e1…
01-31 00:40:34	ethereum up or down january 30 7pm et	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x814771…
01-31 00:40:32	ethereum up or down january 30 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2728a5…
01-31 00:36:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7dc6d4…
01-31 00:36:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2938d9…
01-31 00:33:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xca82c5…
01-31 00:33:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbd13ba…
01-31 00:22:38	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x69f125…
01-31 00:20:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x93d808…
01-31 00:20:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa71d01…
01-31 00:20:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa2955f…
01-31 00:10:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc57c7f…
01-31 00:05:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9aad1d…
01-31 00:03:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x18062a…
01-31 00:02:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9bb7bc…
01-30 23:55:22	ethereum up or down january 30 6pm et	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6d7f75…
01-30 23:54:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4131b5…
01-30 23:53:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe17fc5…
01-30 23:52:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3de937…
01-30 23:51:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xec5de7…
01-30 23:28:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe5883f…
01-30 23:28:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xaedd30…
01-30 23:27:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x022b7d…
01-30 23:27:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x33dba7…
01-30 23:05:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2ba6c7…
01-30 23:05:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe657e2…
01-30 23:02:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97b05f…
01-30 23:02:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc4c05e…
01-30 22:56:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa90791…
01-30 22:56:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc74aed…
01-30 22:26:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe1d85f…
01-30 22:26:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf584e1…
01-30 22:23:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7e9fde…
01-30 22:22:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe51bf4…
01-29 16:42:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6f5ed2…
01-29 16:42:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x284352…
01-29 16:32:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb23653…
01-29 16:32:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5d0661…
01-29 16:16:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6ac647…
01-29 16:16:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5ba6e9…
01-29 16:03:56	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x90c3de…
01-29 16:03:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa7f052…
01-29 15:40:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6ddf7d…
01-29 15:29:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xda1dc8…
01-29 15:29:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc63592…
01-29 15:28:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x142718…
01-29 15:01:06	ethereum up or down january 29 10am et	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x988b20…
01-29 14:50:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1e0bc4…
01-29 14:50:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x24061d…
01-29 14:50:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5177be…
01-29 14:50:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2fa366…
01-29 14:50:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0378d4…
01-29 14:32:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x836cae…
01-29 14:32:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3c9dc2…
01-29 14:31:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xeefe4e…
01-29 14:31:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x16db82…
01-29 14:17:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1277f5…
01-29 14:17:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x78bad6…
01-29 14:16:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb31f49…
01-29 14:16:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x82c9e3…
01-29 14:01:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6fd8a7…
01-29 14:01:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xabed10…
01-29 14:01:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x52f72d…