Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

2,964

Trades

23,018

lifetime

Volume

$59.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$123

16 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 07-28 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

100% 90% +$1,275

Tech

0% 0% -$107

Politics

0% 89% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-75	-$40	67¢	$-50	-$10	07-28 07:31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+50	$44	98¢	$49	+$5	07-28 07:31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+25	$18	72¢	$18	+$0	07-25 04:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+5	$2	33¢	$2	-$1	07-25 14:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-5	-$2	28¢	$-1	+$0	07-25 14:52
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-80	$0	1¢	$-1	$0	07-28 07:31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-30	-$3	2¢	$-1	+$2	07-25 14:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+10	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	07-24 11:37
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-80	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-28 07:31
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	07-24 11:37
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-80	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-28 07:31
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-80	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-28 07:31
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-80	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-28 07:31
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-10	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-24 11:37
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-10	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-24 11:37
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-10	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-24 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	72	$507	441	733	-293	No	+$239	07-27 08:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	70	$496	738	426	+313	Yes	-$237	07-27 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	66	$404	170	767	-597	No	+$370	07-24 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?	66	$363	269	668	-399	No	+$254	07-24 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?	66	$309	290	629	-339	No	+$69	07-24 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?	69	$303	189	626	-436	No	+$244	07-26 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?	67	$302	139	676	-536	No	+$253	07-26 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	65	$297	203	710	-507	Yes	-$723	07-24 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?	52	$296	206	477	-271	No	+$300	07-25 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?	33	$293	183	325	-142	No	+$347	07-27 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	47	$292	297	340	-43	Yes	-$329	07-25 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?	45	$290	154	503	-349	Yes	-$393	07-28 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?	50	$275	125	527	-402	Yes	-$411	07-25 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?	45	$274	241	415	-174	No	+$150	07-28 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?	66	$269	259	568	-309	No	+$43	07-26 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?	51	$269	245	420	-175	No	+$94	07-25 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?	35	$255	153	406	-253	Yes	-$300	07-28 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 26?	46	$245	138	486	-348	No	+$194	07-25 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?	34	$238	129	404	-276	No	+$189	07-28 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?	36	$228	240	236	+4	Yes	-$189	07-26 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?	34	$224	185	253	-68	No	+$178	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	66	$223	121	698	-577	Yes	-$685	07-26 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 28?	32	$220	220	278	-58	No	+$62	07-28 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?	35	$205	79	476	-397	No	+$172	07-23 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?	28	$204	120	289	-169	No	+$184	07-28 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 24?	35	$201	114	441	-327	No	+$156	07-23 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?	37	$199	159	321	-163	No	+$141	07-26 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?	44	$197	62	574	-512	No	+$164	07-28 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 24?	35	$196	85	366	-281	Yes	-$271	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	33	$195	167	340	-173	Yes	-$420	07-27 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x9c8b3e…
07-28 07:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x4dabd9…
07-28 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xd50250…
07-28 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa4567d…
07-28 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x83dcf7…
07-28 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x6aad12…
07-28 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x40b96b…
07-28 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x215812…
07-28 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x136711…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xfa0317…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 29?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xec5f7d…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xe29472…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xdd9768…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xce6ef1…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x93fab2…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x7c5d6b…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x20975b…
07-28 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x196a60…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xec35e3…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xadefe6…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x648699…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x49bd08…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x443ba7…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x2426f3…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x1953e4…
07-28 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x15052b…
07-28 07:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on July 29?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x830ecd…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xfc2471…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xeeca75…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xcc1c10…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa78989…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x765ac7…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x34cd84…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x164880…
07-28 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x0aca7e…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfa16d4…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe0bed2…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd41985…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc5bdec…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x8b3403…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x7771a4…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x182f8c…
07-28 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x0249f8…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xfae803…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xfa972b…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xe45bf0…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xd97128…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0xc2874f…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xae6173…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x57dda5…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x3cd840…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$11	0x2aff43…
07-28 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x15d34a…
07-28 07:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x5f46f6…
07-28 07:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x33b434…
07-28 07:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x0aa041…
07-28 07:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xdb95aa…
07-28 07:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x82aea8…
07-28 07:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x817484…
07-28 07:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x5341e4…
07-28 07:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x150d0e…
07-28 07:31:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xf29733…
07-28 07:31:58	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe4e608…
07-28 07:31:58	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xd075a3…
07-28 07:31:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xc31322…
07-28 07:31:58	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xbd74a3…
07-28 07:31:58	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x5c74a6…
07-28 07:31:58	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x3a1164…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xe42d32…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd0cd8d…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc178f6…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xa17c1a…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x85d5e8…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x76556e…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x405aba…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on July 29?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x1f6e68…
07-28 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x15f93b…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xff9901…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xca089b…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xbfb7a3…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xb3b5e9…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x9a66fb…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x8bf334…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x8af250…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x63d7cb…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x3b4d5f…
07-28 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x24e9bc…
07-28 07:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xd766e0…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xfdef0e…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xe7a740…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xbd1070…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb26dc3…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0xa7f4d7…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x951522…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x6f06aa…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x609b5f…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x3c0260…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x30eb5f…
07-28 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x1760af…
07-28 07:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xc1d2fa…