Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.80K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

22.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

$76

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-22 02:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

68% 30% -$6,554

Sports

25% 67% +$962

Politics

7% 50% -$206

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-41	-$40	99¢	$-40	-$1	06-07 00:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No		+38	$33	93¢	$35	+$2	09-25 00:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	27	$2.7K	6,390	0	+6,390	No	-$2,748	10-21 14:59
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$1.8K	3,513	0	+3,513	Tampa Bay Rays	+$1,721	10-17 00:01
ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	13	$1.5K	3,949	0	+3,949	No	-$1,501	02-18 18:02
uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	1	$1.0K	1,820	0	+1,820	No	-$1,001	03-19 19:34
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$760	1,250	0	+1,250	Lakers	-$760	05-02 00:01
ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 lev2	1	$601	939	0	+939	Yes	-$601	02-18 03:34
cbb ndkst sdkst 2026 02 18	4	$528	1,149	0	+1,149	North Dakota State Bison	-$528	02-19 00:36
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	7	$281	493	0	+493	Under	-$281	02-17 16:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$277	128	169	-41	open	—	06-07 00:32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	1	$252	399	0	+399	Yes	+$148	10-20 18:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	3	$99	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$99	10-16 19:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	1	$94	150	0	+150	Yes	-$94	06-07 00:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$93	119	0	+119	No	+$26	03-02 12:43
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	1	$69	87	0	+87	Yes	-$69	06-30 12:59
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	1	$67	69	0	+69	Yes	+$2	06-07 00:34
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$63	3,002	3,002	+0	open	—	07-06 13:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	1	$33	38	0	+38	open	—	09-25 00:51
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$1	07-06 13:48
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	02-05 03:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$24	800	0	+800	No	-$24	10-20 14:14
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$21	25	0	+25	No	+$4	01-08 12:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$12	18	0	+18	Yes	+$6	10-22 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:58:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xc08164…
10-21 14:59:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	36	43¢	$16	0x2fe54d…
10-21 14:54:47	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdaa2e5…
10-21 14:54:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xd20bde…
10-21 14:51:47	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x7f6867…
10-21 14:45:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0x62bf11…
10-21 14:42:14	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x35d376…
10-21 14:37:33	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc393aa…
10-21 14:32:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb8baec…
10-21 14:30:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x02bc81…
10-21 14:30:41	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	123	43¢	$53	0x50a157…
10-21 14:29:45	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x120cb4…
10-21 14:26:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	154	43¢	$66	0xc9a096…
10-21 14:23:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	851	43¢	$366	0x5c9d32…
10-21 14:21:35	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb24713…
10-21 14:20:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xfbcc14…
10-21 14:20:05	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3,160	43¢	$1,359	0x934cdd…
10-21 14:19:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	222	43¢	$96	0x318325…
10-21 14:16:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x728716…
10-21 14:16:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	213	43¢	$91	0x5571ea…
10-21 14:14:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	147	43¢	$63	0xcb15e6…
10-21 14:13:41	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2dc6bd…
10-21 13:53:59	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9b93df…
10-21 13:52:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x97dff5…
10-21 13:52:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1cbe7e…
10-21 13:51:59	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0b8814…
10-21 13:46:48	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	346	43¢	$149	0x0fd7d9…
10-20 18:48:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	399	63¢	$252	0x62ee3c…
10-20 14:14:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$24	0x55d957…
10-17 00:01:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3,500	51¢	$1,785	0x4a5667…
10-17 00:00:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x2c3728…
10-16 19:23:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	758	10¢	$76	0x33acaa…
10-16 19:23:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x27f501…
10-16 19:22:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	217	10¢	$21	0x5ae815…
09-25 00:51:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x5a8e68…
07-06 13:48:05	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xdbe04a…
07-06 13:47:26	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,002	1¢	$33	0x48e838…
06-30 12:59:40	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	87	79¢	$69	0x0881f1…
06-07 00:34:25	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xda7ea8…
06-07 00:33:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0xb0eca0…
06-07 00:32:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	169	94¢	$159	0x9eddb7…
05-02 18:36:02	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,002	1¢	$30	0x331d2e…
05-02 00:01:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x17207b…
05-01 19:13:34	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x568b80…
04-30 14:19:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	128	93¢	$119	0xc89555…
03-19 19:34:57	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	Yes	BUY	1,820	55¢	$1,001	0x1b02f7…
03-02 12:43:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	69	78¢	$54	0x7489b4…
03-02 12:42:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x4c6e5c…
02-19 00:36:20	cbb ndkst sdkst 2026 02 18	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x10bea8…
02-19 00:30:06	cbb ndkst sdkst 2026 02 18	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1123e9…
02-19 00:11:08	cbb ndkst sdkst 2026 02 18	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x718742…
02-19 00:10:54	cbb ndkst sdkst 2026 02 18	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	BUY	892	46¢	$410	0x373e8f…
02-18 18:02:30	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	1,698	38¢	$645	0x80acc2…
02-18 17:49:28	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x421977…
02-18 17:45:34	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	109	38¢	$41	0x7eaa75…
02-18 17:24:08	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xbec530…
02-18 17:21:00	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x966707…
02-18 17:11:04	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xbdebc6…
02-18 17:01:30	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0xaf2cb5…
02-18 16:56:50	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x09276f…
02-18 16:54:32	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xefbafa…
02-18 16:50:38	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	43	38¢	$16	0x9488d8…
02-18 16:45:36	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xd52a17…
02-18 16:38:14	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x780f34…
02-18 16:38:14	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 oly	Yes	BUY	1,835	38¢	$697	0x6d179b…
02-18 03:34:12	ucl oly lev2 2026 02 18 lev2	No	BUY	939	64¢	$601	0x37c3ef…
02-17 16:33:03	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	266	57¢	$152	0xf85993…
02-17 16:32:07	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3e3feb…
02-17 16:30:27	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x241330…
02-17 16:29:59	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xbcaff6…
02-17 16:28:23	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x40bd79…
02-17 16:27:59	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xcf40a1…
02-17 16:27:51	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	155	57¢	$89	0xbd510b…
02-05 03:03:59	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0fda7d…
01-08 12:48:03	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xf96878…