Married-Special — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

828

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-17 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-60

Other

32% 0% $-7

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	29	$585	356	337	+20	open	—	03-01 20:54
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	19	$566	398	398	+0	open	—	03-10 15:16
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	16	$543	446	446	+0	open	—	03-12 05:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	31	$536	384	384	+0	open	—	03-04 10:12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	21	$396	485	485	+0	open	—	04-09 14:36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	26	$379	676	676	+0	open	—	03-17 05:22
Will the US strike Syria next?	18	$363	217	217	+0	open	—	01-10 20:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	10	$361	226	216	+10	open	—	04-28 17:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	14	$347	280	280	+0	open	—	03-06 13:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	17	$337	333	333	+0	open	—	04-09 14:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	16	$312	234	234	+0	open	—	04-08 18:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	13	$294	262	104	+158	open	—	05-21 19:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	17	$293	304	258	+45	open	—	03-26 20:47
spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	5	$279	679	155	+524	open	—	06-12 13:33
spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	9	$256	320	270	+50	open	—	06-12 20:16
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$253	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 10:54
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$251	220	220	+0	open	—	01-12 19:40
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 5000m sander eitrem nor	7	$240	125	125	+0	open	—	02-08 16:44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	14	$238	183	73	+110	open	—	02-28 21:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	12	$235	169	83	+86	open	—	04-11 07:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	20	$220	217	191	+25	open	—	05-11 20:39
will iran strike the united kingdom by march 31	10	$218	110	110	+0	open	—	04-03 18:42
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	9	$218	113	113	+0	open	—	03-30 15:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$217	110	110	+0	open	—	03-01 01:34
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	16	$202	135	135	+0	open	—	02-08 17:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$200	111	111	+0	open	—	05-04 18:20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	10	$199	139	79	+60	open	—	02-28 20:09
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$196	161	78	+82	open	—	04-09 10:44
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$195	104	104	+0	open	—	04-05 14:08
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	9	$189	145	145	+0	open	—	06-09 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 20:29:11	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x105859…
06-12 20:16:21	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	27	50¢	$13	0x9c594d…
06-12 13:33:06	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	SELL	155	44¢	$68	0xc6fabb…
06-10 20:41:19	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	86	50¢	$43	0xc8da14…
06-10 19:32:16	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	BUY	293	32¢	$94	0x5e6566…
06-10 19:20:34	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x3a6c5a…
06-10 19:16:45	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x646448…
06-10 19:14:30	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x6b54c4…
06-10 18:04:28	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	68	44¢	$30	0xdda93a…
06-10 07:44:39	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x80603c…
06-09 20:47:39	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x0d0912…
06-09 20:01:31	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x391c8e…
06-09 19:41:52	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xc44533…
06-09 19:41:28	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x2b54bb…
06-09 19:28:10	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x3c45b2…
06-09 19:23:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	53	41¢	$22	0x3703ed…
06-09 19:21:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	53	41¢	$22	0xb9960a…
06-09 19:05:25	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	140	39¢	$55	0xc64753…
06-09 19:04:27	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	180	38¢	$68	0xd3b2e9…
06-09 18:49:57	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	72	50¢	$36	0xa97f8c…
06-09 18:49:10	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x11c6d9…
06-09 17:54:10	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x560ab5…
06-09 17:52:28	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	72	52¢	$38	0x035d71…
06-09 17:46:48	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	BUY	320	30¢	$96	0xd742f2…
06-09 17:44:45	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x03500d…
06-05 20:11:54	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x15844d…
06-05 20:11:48	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x126dd3…
06-05 19:57:12	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x627a16…
06-05 19:32:54	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe86dd6…
06-05 19:22:48	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x255326…
06-05 18:40:39	Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xc8e98c…
06-05 18:40:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc36570…
06-05 18:36:49	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xce8792…
06-05 18:33:01	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x612632…
06-05 18:32:55	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x0a7eba…
06-05 18:31:28	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x66533b…
06-05 18:30:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x22b706…
06-05 18:29:52	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x46085a…
05-31 17:14:58	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x58b145…
05-31 17:10:13	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	No	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0x80c003…
05-28 18:09:21	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	91¢	$33	0xe57d56…
05-21 19:03:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa21db0…
05-18 19:53:02	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf87a92…
05-15 21:52:27	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x18829c…
05-13 19:14:25	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xab203a…
05-13 19:08:00	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0xea1cad…
05-13 17:21:24	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x834fd2…
05-12 16:14:58	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x65953f…
05-12 16:14:44	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x1a9d3b…
05-12 16:14:28	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x783e00…
05-12 16:14:14	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x777f66…
05-12 16:13:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x44116c…
05-12 16:13:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x5f1372…
05-11 20:39:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x114b9f…
05-11 20:38:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0xccb7ec…
05-11 20:38:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x81493c…
05-11 20:37:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xd9a96c…
05-11 20:35:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x1386b3…
05-11 20:33:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0xe8b1ed…
05-11 20:33:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x2ece12…
05-11 20:32:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x4fbe7e…
05-11 20:32:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x95863b…
05-11 20:32:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xf0d3de…
05-11 20:32:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x65b4ae…
05-11 20:32:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x7dabf5…
05-11 20:32:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x12af0a…
05-11 20:31:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x165a15…
05-11 20:28:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xab8b90…
05-11 20:28:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x54715b…
05-11 20:28:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x95cf0b…
05-11 20:23:39	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xfaaeab…
05-11 20:21:51	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xcfacda…
05-11 20:21:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5617e5…
05-11 20:15:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa8f9ce…
05-11 16:38:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$35	0x0d7a06…
05-06 18:55:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb41823…
05-06 18:54:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xf877a5…
05-05 19:12:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x26b642…
05-04 18:27:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5a17e8…
05-04 18:20:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0x049633…
05-04 18:20:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xbe3e44…
05-04 17:26:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x35f1be…
05-04 17:25:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x9eda62…
05-04 17:24:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3cae38…
05-04 15:24:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc74702…
05-03 20:10:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xbd19e5…
04-28 17:53:58	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1bfada…
04-28 17:53:52	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x662734…
04-28 17:53:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b2e84…
04-28 17:51:36	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,000 (LOW) by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2e138f…
04-27 23:29:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x53b274…
04-27 19:32:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xae42da…
04-27 19:25:24	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0fc5f3…
04-16 14:09:56	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,000 (LOW) by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x859230…
04-15 08:47:04	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3eb90a…
04-12 19:19:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	17	79¢	$13	0xcb257f…
04-12 15:08:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x96d1b6…
04-12 13:39:55	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0x31dc15…
04-12 09:01:53	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,250 (LOW) by April 30?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb66b1a…
04-12 09:01:37	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0xfcaf5b…