Considerate-Chalet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$382

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$5.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-02 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

92% 63% -$267

Other

7% 25% -$102

Crypto

0% 0% -$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	21	$703	1,645	1,054	+591	Yes	-$475	06-18 02:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	7	$555	369	369	+0	No	+$34	07-14 11:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	5	$452	252	252	+0	No	+$49	07-04 00:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	8	$442	415	246	+169	No	+$110	05-24 09:30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	12	$381	507	507	+0	No	-$18	07-29 22:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	6	$253	212	212	+0	No	+$34	06-09 21:42
iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	10	$217	164	164	+0	No	+$6	07-16 04:44
iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	8	$198	113	113	+0	Yes	+$12	07-15 08:31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?	9	$195	168	168	+0	No	+$29	07-24 00:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	2	$168	116	116	+0	Yes	+$3	07-13 01:27
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?	2	$139	111	111	+0	No	+$21	07-20 23:01
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$135	125	125	+0	No	+$12	04-22 03:03
iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	8	$134	100	100	+0	Yes	+$26	07-17 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$120	96	96	+0	No	-$3	06-30 00:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	10	$104	71	71	+0	No	+$15	05-03 22:39
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	4	$94	91	91	+0	No	-$17	07-23 03:02
iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	3	$89	70	70	+0	Yes	+$21	07-18 14:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	4	$88	75	75	+0	Yes	-$7	08-02 02:25
iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	3	$85	154	154	+0	No	-$70	07-26 06:32
iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	3	$84	131	131	+0	No	-$58	07-25 22:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	3	$81	88	88	+0	No	-$9	07-10 22:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$80	48	48	+0	No	+$9	04-27 02:30
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	11	$73	173	173	+0	No	-$18	05-15 11:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	2	$55	34	34	+0	No	+$10	06-02 00:14
Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?	5	$52	201	201	+0	Yes	-$47	05-24 09:29
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	3	$43	55	55	+0	No	+$14	07-16 23:53
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$1	04-19 22:38
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$30	400	400	+0	No	-$14	05-24 09:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	24	$29	24	24	+0	No	+$4	04-13 23:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$27	22	22	+0	No	+$2	04-21 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 02:25:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	75	54¢	$40	0xaf9642…
07-30 01:38:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe2d38c…
07-29 23:07:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x9af56a…
07-29 22:55:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	87	7¢	$6	0x47d478…
07-29 04:08:20	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x7ebcf7…
07-29 04:07:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x54ffdd…
07-29 04:07:11	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0x1c3c8c…
07-29 04:06:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0x1c4a8c…
07-29 04:05:05	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	SELL	183	34¢	$62	0xbadd2e…
07-28 05:16:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	161	51¢	$82	0x2121fc…
07-28 03:31:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x42a259…
07-27 22:16:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	160	48¢	$77	0xffa2ee…
07-27 22:14:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	67	48¢	$32	0xaac97a…
07-27 22:14:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5bfb83…
07-26 08:20:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	119	32¢	$38	0x89f4be…
07-26 07:53:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	118	32¢	$37	0xb0de78…
07-26 06:32:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	SELL	154	5¢	$8	0x781dca…
07-25 22:26:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	SELL	131	10¢	$13	0x11ac9e…
07-25 06:13:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0xb71dff…
07-24 11:39:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0x393357…
07-24 11:28:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x995b8f…
07-24 07:51:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x8d4fa6…
07-24 00:38:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	SELL	160	67¢	$107	0x27a963…
07-23 17:41:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	80	54¢	$43	0x6e9d2a…
07-23 03:05:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xf0501a…
07-23 03:02:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	71	32¢	$23	0x2c3575…
07-22 12:01:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xd7ee08…
07-21 09:45:18	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?	Yes	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0xaaa646…
07-20 23:05:30	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe329cf…
07-20 23:05:27	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xec7084…
07-20 23:05:07	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xd25e78…
07-20 23:05:07	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x9911ae…
07-20 23:05:06	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xf5dac1…
07-20 23:01:13	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?	Yes	SELL	111	72¢	$80	0xe31b80…
07-18 22:36:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf800d6…
07-18 22:36:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	83	61¢	$51	0x7f489c…
07-18 14:52:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	SELL	70	79¢	$55	0x24aaa4…
07-18 04:02:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	111	53¢	$59	0xfdfa32…
07-17 10:13:27	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x5b860b…
07-17 09:27:18	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xd6c6ad…
07-17 06:35:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xb00a26…
07-17 03:59:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x95a823…
07-17 03:37:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x0d20e0…
07-17 00:20:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xe83ba2…
07-16 23:55:52	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x79ac80…
07-16 23:53:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	55	52¢	$29	0x83fb2d…
07-16 21:24:17	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0x82ecc2…
07-16 15:54:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$8	0xca50f0…
07-16 15:19:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb46eb7…
07-16 15:03:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf684bb…
07-16 13:01:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0xddef24…
07-16 11:36:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa3331c…
07-16 09:27:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xa1f802…
07-16 08:23:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x389b7c…
07-16 08:04:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x0c9aac…
07-16 04:44:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	SELL	164	68¢	$111	0xc56cc5…
07-15 16:51:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0x0b3d60…
07-15 15:24:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x437492…
07-15 14:33:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0xcc00e7…
07-15 14:33:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa8175d…
07-15 14:29:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xb379c3…
07-15 09:00:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0e4c36…
07-15 08:48:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7e04ec…
07-15 08:31:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	56	93¢	$53	0xcd436e…
07-15 02:55:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x9aaedc…
07-15 02:53:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	56	92¢	$52	0x519b6a…
07-15 02:44:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x3fe056…
07-14 15:03:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x4c77e2…
07-14 15:01:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x027eff…
07-14 14:53:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xd89249…
07-14 13:28:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x709335…
07-14 12:36:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xdf389b…
07-14 11:21:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0xe23041…
07-14 11:19:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	96	97¢	$93	0x57af47…
07-13 08:08:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x6d9f87…
07-13 04:02:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	44	90¢	$39	0xc6ce22…
07-13 01:27:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	SELL	116	74¢	$86	0x726da7…
07-12 03:08:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	116	71¢	$82	0xf5b941…
07-10 22:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	88	41¢	$36	0x540a87…
07-10 22:34:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	242	75¢	$181	0x4c03d1…
07-08 08:41:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	83	51¢	$42	0x0c9a9b…
07-08 08:39:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9d7951…
07-08 00:22:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x2db213…
07-06 23:46:08	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x336238…
07-06 08:24:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0xecff58…
07-04 22:38:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	173	54¢	$93	0xa92ce2…
07-04 01:40:56	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x9d82aa…
07-04 00:52:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x2adfd5…
07-03 21:48:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	110	87¢	$95	0x4bca7a…
07-03 21:48:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0x04a897…
07-02 09:14:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x454e5d…
06-30 00:28:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	89	67¢	$60	0x324323…
06-30 00:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	96	61¢	$59	0x75d3ae…
06-28 02:33:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	96	64¢	$61	0x6a89f2…
06-21 21:48:41	Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$1	0xd58a85…
06-18 02:53:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	256	19¢	$49	0x27d4c1…
06-18 02:31:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x08fd1d…
06-18 02:27:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x4a7de9…
06-18 02:27:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x6312dd…
06-18 02:27:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0xeac921…