Crazy-Waiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$277

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-09 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

98% 40% -$274

Politics

2% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes		+6	$4	92¢	$5	+$1	09-02 08:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	2	$797	425	425	+0	CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo	+$7	06-09 05:18
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	4	$747	400	400	+0	No	$0	05-22 05:40
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	2	$739	402	402	+0	open	—	05-21 05:30
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	3	$667	352	352	+0	open	—	07-04 09:04
atp bennan halys 2026 03 30	1	$603	655	0	+655	Karim Bennani	-$603	03-30 07:08
Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$368	396	0	+396	Al Kholood Saudi Club	+$28	05-21 05:32
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	1	$352	371	0	+371	Dalian Yingbo FC	+$19	05-19 09:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	4	$88	804	804	+0	No	-$3	05-18 05:46
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	2	$65	923	0	+923	Pharco FC	-$65	05-18 05:48
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	2	$55	782	0	+782	CD Huachipato	-$55	05-17 05:38
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	3	$42	749	749	+0	No	+$0	05-17 05:34
cs2 fokus fokusr 2026 03 23	2	$39	434	0	+434	FOKUS	-$39	03-23 08:31
uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 total 4pt5	1	$33	466	0	+466	Over	+$433	03-26 07:48
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	09-02 08:59
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-09 06:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 06:31:03	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc94091…
09-02 08:59:57	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x2b7022…
07-04 09:04:46	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	352	95¢	$335	0x23360f…
07-04 06:11:49	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0xe16368…
07-04 06:09:40	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	266	94¢	$251	0xa4f7d3…
06-09 05:18:18	Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo	SELL	425	95¢	$402	0xb240b0…
05-22 05:44:09	Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo	BUY	425	93¢	$395	0xaa7733…
05-22 05:40:37	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x68587b…
05-22 05:40:02	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x28eb2d…
05-22 05:39:15	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	SELL	360	93¢	$336	0xe96029…
05-22 02:59:11	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$374	0x65ac42…
05-21 05:32:31	Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Kholood Saudi Club	BUY	396	93¢	$368	0x2d5a4f…
05-21 05:30:46	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	402	92¢	$369	0xd4c8ad…
05-21 02:07:08	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	402	92¢	$370	0x6019bf…
05-19 09:30:59	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	371	95¢	$352	0xd96616…
05-18 05:48:48	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	548	7¢	$38	0x83add2…
05-18 05:48:46	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	375	7¢	$26	0x222822…
05-18 05:46:53	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	804	5¢	$43	0x1596a9…
05-18 02:48:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	414	6¢	$24	0xcde7da…
05-18 02:48:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	290	6¢	$17	0x057ab5…
05-17 05:38:42	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Unión La Calera	BUY	414	7¢	$29	0xc78fdf…
05-17 05:38:40	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Unión La Calera	BUY	368	7¢	$26	0xdea48e…
05-17 05:34:54	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	Yes	SELL	749	3¢	$21	0x1b23bb…
05-17 02:48:48	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	Yes	BUY	352	3¢	$10	0x7fabed…
05-17 02:48:48	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	Yes	BUY	397	3¢	$11	0x0a6dda…
03-30 07:08:26	atp bennan halys 2026 03 30	Quentin Halys	BUY	655	92¢	$603	0xa030d9…
03-26 07:48:07	uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	466	7¢	$33	0x829294…
03-23 08:31:07	cs2 fokus fokusr 2026 03 23	FOKUS REALITY	BUY	215	9¢	$19	0x76917b…
03-23 08:31:05	cs2 fokus fokusr 2026 03 23	FOKUS REALITY	BUY	219	9¢	$20	0x84a66a…