Windy-Thunderbolt 0xc5d648…02cf7a Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved (30d)
194
Trades (30d)
197
919 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$691
$3.67K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$71
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 11-13 06:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
80% 60% +$51
Sports
9% 46% -$84
Politics
5% 50% -$14
Crypto
4% 48% -$9
Tech
2% 20% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +16 $3 82¢ $13 +$10 10-23 07:42
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +8 $3 94¢ $8 +$5 04-28 18:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? No +8 $3 97¢ $7 +$4 11-06 08:59
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 05-09 20:26
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? No +8 $6 72¢ $6 $0 10-23 07:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 06-04 18:39
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +7 $5 65¢ $4 -$1 11-13 06:28
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 11-06 09:11
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +12 $3 34¢ $4 +$1 11-04 12:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $4 3¢ $4 $0 11-07 18:27
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +6 $3 56¢ $3 +$0 11-10 21:18
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? No +8 $4 43¢ $3 -$1 11-01 09:42
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +8 $3 21¢ $2 -$1 11-04 21:55
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +13 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 10-26 14:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +11 $4 3¢ $0 -$4 10-27 06:24
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +7 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 08-25 05:42