Assured-Watercress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

471

Trades

742

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-23 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$21

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-17	-$4	17¢	$-3	+$1	05-22 17:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-5	-$2	40¢	$-2	$0	05-22 22:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-20	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	05-22 22:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-18	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	05-23 01:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 98k on january 5	9	$882	393	493	-100	No	+$0	01-05 11:32
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 14	13	$822	585	245	+340	No	-$4	01-14 14:59
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	5	$598	400	200	+200	No	-$1	01-14 12:59
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 7	1	$513	513	0	+513	No	+$1	01-07 13:32
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 14	5	$376	267	110	+157	No	-$1	01-14 14:53
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 9	2	$313	313	0	+313	No	+$0	01-09 03:08
bitcoin above 100k on january 9	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	01-08 19:46
bitcoin above 96k on january 2	4	$249	249	0	+249	No	+$0	01-02 12:37
bitcoin above 94k on january 2	6	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$1	01-02 12:47
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	2	$216	216	0	+216	No	+$0	01-08 12:37
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 27	10	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	02-27 15:34
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 11	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-10 21:35
bitcoin above 96k on january 4	4	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-04 15:03
bitcoin above 82k on january 16	2	$189	190	0	+190	Yes	+$1	01-16 15:58
will the price of solana be greater than 180 on january 15	2	$163	163	0	+163	No	+$0	01-15 16:54
will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt50 on january 23	3	$151	152	0	+152	No	+$0	01-23 16:22
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 25	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	02-25 01:16
will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt50 on january 18	3	$150	50	100	-50	No	+$0	01-18 09:39
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt60 on january 18	3	$150	100	50	+50	No	+$0	01-18 13:55
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on february 15	4	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	02-15 11:04
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 23	3	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	02-22 19:23
bitcoin above 80k on january 29	3	$125	125	0	+125	Yes	+$0	01-29 14:02
will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt50 on january 26	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	01-25 21:51
bitcoin above 80k on february 15	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	02-15 10:58
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 25	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	02-25 02:16
ethereum above 2400 on february 25	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	02-24 23:00
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 20	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	03-20 08:24
bitcoin above 78k on january 3	3	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	01-03 15:53
will the price of xrp be between 2pt20 2pt30 on february 1	3	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	02-01 09:02
bitcoin above 98k on january 3	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	01-03 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 01:07:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x1d3fb7…
05-23 01:02:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x5e4c60…
05-22 22:36:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x57e701…
05-22 22:34:48	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0b9567…
05-22 22:34:36	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x895fca…
05-22 17:29:57	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x00f02e…
04-20 18:48:32	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42271f…
04-20 18:47:22	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbfdd55…
04-07 13:09:15	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa37379…
04-07 13:04:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8726ce…
03-21 06:40:19	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 21	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8ac114…
03-20 23:06:35	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on march 21	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa1ef2e…
03-20 22:37:19	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01e23e…
03-20 21:09:49	will the price of solana be less than 40 on march 21	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x6031fe…
03-20 19:05:57	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f444d…
03-20 18:30:19	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 21	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa619f8…
03-20 18:26:39	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x018f66…
03-20 18:26:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe4151c…
03-20 12:36:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 20	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3f1253…
03-20 10:52:49	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on march 20	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x85fc3d…
03-20 08:24:01	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 20	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf0b571…
03-19 07:24:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 19	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2eb15a…
03-19 05:07:55	solana above 40 on march 19	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4c121a…
03-18 21:58:25	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 19	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x49e06c…
03-18 19:17:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 19	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x09ec3a…
03-18 02:22:57	bitcoin above 60k on march 18	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc6de1f…
03-14 08:08:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x5c91c2…
03-13 08:46:03	will the price of solana be less than 40 on march 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3bede…
03-13 05:06:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x207eb3…
03-13 05:04:49	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1cdc3b…
03-12 19:07:17	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdb7ef…
03-12 10:20:45	ethereum above 2600 on march 12	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f2a0a…
03-12 09:01:07	bitcoin above 80k on march 12	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe5fa51…
03-12 02:48:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3f47dc…
03-12 02:29:01	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 12	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5c52f8…
03-11 23:13:27	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2364fb…
03-11 22:09:13	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe11773…
03-11 21:57:55	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on march 12	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x747177…
03-11 14:18:53	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5bd3fc…
03-11 13:30:19	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 12	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb274c4…
03-10 15:26:23	ethereum above 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd3ab38…
03-10 08:16:45	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xea14b6…
03-10 01:47:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1f43ee…
03-09 20:37:47	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa3752e…
03-07 04:10:05	bitcoin above 76k on march 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x569cee…
03-07 03:23:49	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd02693…
03-07 01:17:19	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on march 7	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x87e2d8…
03-06 21:35:25	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd8cce1…
03-06 20:41:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x00034c…
03-06 20:36:39	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6336b0…
03-06 20:36:25	ethereum above 2400 on march 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x604d08…
03-06 19:09:13	ethereum above 1400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa3cb3e…
03-06 14:59:11	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x68718e…
03-04 02:52:17	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc5c216…
03-04 02:51:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeae1a1…
03-04 01:38:31	ethereum above 2500 on march 4	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d45e0…
03-02 15:09:45	ethereum above 2400 on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a69af…
03-02 14:32:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2300 on march 2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa52f68…
03-02 14:12:11	solana above 130 on march 3	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe243fb…
03-02 10:09:23	ethereum above 2400 on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43163d…
03-02 09:57:09	ethereum above 2400 on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfeef25…
03-02 08:56:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb03043…
03-02 08:22:15	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1cd2e0…
03-02 01:17:27	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2300 on march 2	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61feb1…
03-01 23:05:59	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0baa86…
03-01 23:04:57	will the price of solana be greater than 120 on march 2	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xafa838…
03-01 22:59:33	ethereum above 2400 on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd914e3…
03-01 22:45:43	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2300 on march 2	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xcbdeda…
03-01 22:45:15	ethereum above 2400 on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82b892…
03-01 22:41:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x24d630…
02-28 21:58:15	solana above 130 on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde70f4…
02-28 21:57:47	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdea07c…
02-28 21:22:37	bitcoin above 78k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf0ae69…
02-28 19:40:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on march 1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeed440…
02-28 19:31:39	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5c5fae…
02-28 19:31:19	ethereum above 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd36070…
02-28 15:49:19	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8be6dc…
02-28 15:48:57	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe1bf4e…
02-28 15:48:35	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xccb5dc…
02-28 15:48:11	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa1177d…
02-28 15:47:51	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87a998…
02-28 15:47:31	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b01e9…
02-28 15:47:09	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0cd177…
02-28 14:09:11	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7efb5…
02-28 13:40:21	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 28	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7b19dc…
02-28 13:39:03	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 28	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d4fb7…
02-28 13:37:11	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5b93e…
02-28 13:36:53	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb557e4…
02-28 08:35:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 28	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0dcb96…
02-28 08:35:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 28	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe3c401…
02-28 08:15:03	solana above 140 on february 28	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xee2fea…
02-28 08:05:25	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd2a00…
02-27 19:06:55	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 28	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x78f77a…
02-27 19:06:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x024fd3…
02-27 19:05:49	ethereum above 2400 on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ac23a…
02-27 19:00:21	bitcoin above 78k on february 28	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x464486…
02-27 15:34:25	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 27	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe561ed…
02-27 15:33:45	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 27	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9da845…
02-27 15:33:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 27	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xebea47…
02-27 15:33:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5481e4…