Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$681

Open exposure

$11

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-28 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Sports

47% 50% +$6

Politics

22% 100% +$0

Other

15% 70% -$1

Crypto

15% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	07-08 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$3	100¢	$1	-$2	08-23 16:19
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1	$4	99¢	$1	-$3	08-17 13:34
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	08-26 11:10
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+1	$2	100¢	$1	-$2	08-26 11:05
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+1	$2	100¢	$1	-$1	08-28 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6.2K	3,195	3,035	+160	No	+$0	05-26 07:24
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	4	$5.6K	2,783	2,781	+1	open	—	08-17 13:34
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$5.2K	2,603	2,602	+1	No	$0	08-26 11:05
will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	2	$4.5K	2,252	2,230	+23	No	+$0	07-21 17:26
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	5	$4.2K	2,094	2,087	+8	No	-$2	08-17 13:29
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$3.5K	1,756	1,756	+1	open	—	08-26 11:05
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$2.6K	1,303	1,302	+1	open	—	08-28 03:57
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	+$5	04-13 12:25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$2.3K	2,296	0	+2,296	No	+$5	04-03 03:56
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$2.3K	1,142	1,141	+1	open	—	08-23 16:19
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+1	open	—	08-26 11:10
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,012	1,011	+1	open	—	08-23 16:19
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	-$3	04-02 09:21
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,200	660	+540	No	$0	06-06 16:02
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$1.2K	619	613	+6	open	—	08-03 11:49
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$989	990	0	+990	No	+$1	06-01 10:54
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$941	472	471	+1	open	—	08-26 11:10
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$938	939	0	+939	No	+$1	06-01 11:11
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	1	$720	720	0	+720	No	+$1	03-30 06:10
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	1	$666	667	0	+667	No	+$1	03-28 11:02
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$229	0	230	-230	No	$0	05-20 16:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$101	103	0	+103	Yes	+$2	05-23 13:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-05 10:37
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	03-31 09:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	07-23 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 12:00 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	04-13 12:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$8	11	0	+11	Yes	+$2	06-01 11:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	07-08 13:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	08-26 15:48
spx up or down on august 27 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	08-27 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 03:57:51	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x80fa74…
08-27 15:20:00	spx up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2d19a3…
08-26 15:59:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0x6bcd23…
08-26 15:52:39	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	694	100¢	$692	0x957c52…
08-26 15:48:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x252915…
08-26 15:48:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x156a2a…
08-26 15:46:40	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0xfb68db…
08-26 11:12:16	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,303	100¢	$1,300	0xf2f791…
08-26 11:10:54	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3e96a8…
08-26 11:10:33	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0xe1f814…
08-26 11:10:15	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	496	100¢	$495	0x277dfc…
08-26 11:05:31	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1ec26c…
08-26 11:05:19	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb4191d…
08-23 16:20:09	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	448	100¢	$447	0x605575…
08-23 16:19:42	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	501	100¢	$499	0xe12232…
08-23 16:19:18	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaeff30…
08-23 16:19:03	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x742ec2…
08-23 16:17:52	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,739	100¢	$1,732	0xe0cb73…
08-17 14:49:36	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	746	100¢	$744	0x1f64d9…
08-17 13:52:18	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	673	100¢	$671	0x16b9b7…
08-17 13:35:22	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xfe9fd2…
08-17 13:34:45	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x39f549…
08-17 13:32:52	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	337	100¢	$336	0x255284…
08-17 13:30:16	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2,671	100¢	$2,663	0x689326…
08-17 13:29:52	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd7e7a3…
08-11 16:59:39	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	472	100¢	$471	0x758a10…
08-11 16:51:39	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,781	100¢	$1,777	0x57f5f5…
08-08 03:55:49	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	1,551	100¢	$1,547	0x489a75…
08-08 03:51:40	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x35d378…
08-08 03:50:54	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	294	100¢	$293	0x62d001…
08-08 03:50:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1fcf69…
08-08 03:50:07	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	845	100¢	$843	0xeea5db…
08-06 17:00:21	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x47000c…
08-06 16:57:12	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0xb340aa…
08-04 07:05:14	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,142	100¢	$1,141	0xda449b…
08-04 07:01:51	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdca92e…
08-03 11:51:14	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	670	100¢	$669	0xf5b0c5…
08-03 11:50:39	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2,094	100¢	$2,090	0x21edc9…
08-03 11:49:33	Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	613	100¢	$611	0xb056fb…
08-03 11:47:03	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,926	100¢	$1,924	0x80eaab…
07-23 04:05:15	Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	606	100¢	$605	0xb533ea…
07-23 04:03:54	Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a2821…
07-23 04:00:24	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	2,603	100¢	$2,600	0xa6ac5f…
07-23 03:59:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xc5c6db…
07-21 17:26:45	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	No	SELL	2,230	100¢	$2,227	0x6d4aff…
07-21 17:26:18	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1e806c…
07-21 17:25:24	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	283	99¢	$279	0x4c392c…
07-21 17:25:22	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	363	99¢	$358	0x559d19…
07-21 17:25:21	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	357	99¢	$352	0x9aded9…
07-08 13:38:49	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	No	BUY	2,252	100¢	$2,250	0x7c3b5f…
07-08 13:38:02	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,012	99¢	$1,000	0xefd5a9…
07-08 13:36:53	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xbcd536…
07-08 13:36:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x84483e…
06-06 16:02:04	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	660	100¢	$659	0xb01f75…
06-01 11:11:22	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	939	100¢	$938	0xffd231…
06-01 11:10:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x344641…
06-01 10:55:28	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,199	0x24ccac…
06-01 10:54:38	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	990	100¢	$989	0x95e753…
05-26 07:24:41	Chisinau: Filip Jianu vs Franco Agamenone	Filip Jianu	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5ff53e…
05-26 07:24:05	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,035	100¢	$3,032	0x48b5cf…
05-26 07:23:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5fec15…
05-23 13:11:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x6429ce…
05-20 16:18:36	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,195	100¢	$3,192	0x9eb21f…
05-20 16:17:30	Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0x29f628…
04-13 12:25:57	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2,300	100¢	$2,296	0xc9cfbb…
04-13 12:14:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x764c92…
04-05 10:37:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8bc067…
04-03 03:56:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	2,296	100¢	$2,291	0x95ae8d…
04-03 03:55:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd3dce1…
04-02 09:21:31	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	420	99¢	$418	0xffea2d…
03-31 10:38:21	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	580	100¢	$579	0x2276cb…
03-31 10:37:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0124f9…
03-31 09:30:55	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x837a70…
03-31 09:27:49	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x233a52…
03-30 06:10:04	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	720	100¢	$720	0xce3a58…
03-28 11:06:03	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xc15737…
03-28 11:02:19	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	667	100¢	$666	0x2d58a9…