Dishonest-Personnel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$761

Unrealized P&L

-$70

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

129

Trades

1,381

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$435

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-05 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

42% 36% -$197

Politics

36% 45% -$68

Crypto

17% 4% -$565

Sports

5% 50% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+830	$285	31¢	$257	-$28	11-05 15:44
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+300	$78	28¢	$82	+$4	10-27 11:10
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	Yes	+300	$75	26¢	$76	+$2	10-25 19:56
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+182	$20	6¢	$10	-$10	07-31 00:21
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+317	$20	2¢	$5	-$15	09-10 20:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$27	1¢	$4	-$23	05-14 15:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$717	1,385	554	+830	open	—	11-05 15:44
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	12	$691	403	403	+0	Up	-$10	03-31 11:02
will trump say fake news during address to the nation	23	$566	1,312	1,039	+273	No	-$58	04-01 23:52
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	43	$543	985	1,138	-153	No	+$29	04-21 22:34
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$525	651	300	+351	open	—	10-07 19:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	26	$466	400	400	+0	Down	-$6	05-07 10:11
spx up or down on april 22 2026	11	$453	231	450	-219	Up	-$80	04-21 23:46
val nova wol 2026 04 16	8	$450	541	540	+1	Nova Esports	-$37	04-16 10:20
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$390	297	297	+0	Yes	$0	04-16 10:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	13	$373	263	263	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 10:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$370	396	396	+0	No	-$17	04-21 22:18
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	6	$326	500	500	+0	Yes	-$38	03-31 10:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$286	210	210	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 15:30
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$282	439	439	+0	No	-$2	04-16 10:26
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$249	220	220	+0	No	+$2	05-14 10:05
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	2	$196	200	200	+0	Down	-$4	04-02 00:12
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	3	$180	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-07 11:39
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$176	400	400	+0	open	—	08-09 08:52
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$155	168	156	+12	No	+$157	05-03 09:20
wti up or down on april 22 2026	10	$128	126	126	+0	Up	+$0	04-21 23:16
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	2	$122	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:42
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	11	$122	1,015	1,015	+0	76ers	+$0	04-21 23:31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	2	$121	570	0	+570	No	-$121	05-06 20:24
will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	63	$120	800	800	+0	No	+$8	03-18 17:16
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	2	$111	350	350	+0	No	+$76	01-19 23:34
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	3	$100	117	117	+0	Yes	-$25	04-01 23:00
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	3	$96	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 20:42
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	13	$89	290	129	+161	Down	+$23	05-07 09:55
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians	6	$85	202	202	+0	Cleveland Guardians	$0	04-21 22:47
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$78	300	0	+300	open	—	10-27 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:44:30	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x4de588…
10-27 11:10:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x08ce38…
10-25 21:57:50	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	205	5¢	$10	0x0b791c…
10-25 21:53:32	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	58	9¢	$5	0xdc9fd0…
10-25 21:52:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0xad48e3…
10-25 21:50:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xae715a…
10-25 21:29:50	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x55c329…
10-25 21:29:15	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	30¢	$19	0x609e1c…
10-25 21:29:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0xd7dca2…
10-25 21:26:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x750a5f…
10-25 20:44:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xea5e8e…
10-25 20:10:29	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0684c1…
10-25 19:56:45	Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xb1113e…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfe30f8…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf20440…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x969fef…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8739e2…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8636e9…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	183	2¢	$4	0x835b45…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x766786…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6c1654…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x3c97c1…
10-08 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x107b9f…
10-08 07:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x27c5b9…
10-08 07:45:39	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x9c6f2d…
10-07 19:43:33	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	48¢	$32	0x6151f9…
10-07 18:22:21	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	224	48¢	$108	0x101395…
10-07 05:39:23	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x32adc2…
09-23 12:57:17	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xbce950…
09-23 12:55:50	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x4c8eab…
09-10 20:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	341	2¢	$7	0xe0704c…
09-10 20:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xae23e1…
09-10 20:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x337039…
09-10 20:50:01	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	302	38¢	$115	0x4cde4c…
09-10 20:49:31	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	58¢	$174	0xf2084e…
09-10 20:48:31	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	6¢	$20	0x51f39b…
09-10 20:48:03	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	4¢	$17	0x792695…
09-10 20:47:24	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x07742d…
08-09 09:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf22e55…
08-09 09:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc382a9…
08-09 09:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5ea8ec…
08-09 09:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf1ebe0…
08-09 09:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xcf6a53…
08-09 09:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc4ab85…
08-09 09:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb30d06…
08-09 09:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x76e1c0…
08-09 09:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xdd5d86…
08-09 09:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbaf88c…
08-09 09:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8d1bd0…
08-09 09:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x66ba12…
08-09 09:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3e010a…
08-09 09:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x33ab04…
08-09 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd8a0f8…
08-09 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x80bd4e…
08-09 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x255ce0…
08-09 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x20ad52…
08-09 09:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x477dbb…
08-09 09:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x0335bd…
08-09 09:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x886321…
08-09 09:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x670a0e…
08-09 09:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x136783…
08-09 09:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x0e63a6…
08-09 09:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc25f71…
08-09 09:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x85d0fd…
08-09 09:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6f2e8e…
08-09 09:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4764b8…
08-09 09:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x35a9f5…
08-09 09:01:21	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xf38f3e…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xed1a90…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xe770fe…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xdca9d2…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc9400a…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x913db5…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x58f8d0…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x38ede8…
08-09 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x373b57…
08-09 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe09973…
08-09 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc9c6f3…
08-09 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xc5cab9…
08-09 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7a473e…
08-09 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5f06a2…
08-09 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2fe039…
08-09 08:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe77594…
08-09 08:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xc15654…
08-09 08:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb2781a…
08-09 08:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa56c81…
08-09 08:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8f736d…
08-09 08:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x6d3df6…
08-09 08:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x392812…
08-09 08:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc26aef…
08-09 08:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x651fde…
08-09 08:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x5a29fe…
08-09 08:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x002a29…
08-09 08:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5d8081…
08-09 08:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	203	3¢	$6	0x1848c7…
08-09 08:52:30	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	400	17¢	$68	0xda0bd9…
08-09 08:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf5eb8f…
08-09 08:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd292a1…
08-09 08:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc27d8f…
08-09 08:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x7f843d…