Melodic-Packaging — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$862

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-28 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

73% 0% -$1

Other

14% 17% +$864

Crypto

11% 0% -$1

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	open	—	06-07 03:53
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	open	—	06-07 02:43
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.9K	967	967	+0	No	-$1	06-08 00:12
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$1.9K	938	938	+0	open	—	06-06 13:16
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$1.9K	926	926	+0	open	—	06-07 23:36
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$1.8K	908	908	+0	open	—	06-06 12:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	3	$1.7K	834	834	+0	No	-$1	04-14 23:56
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-12?	2	$647	1,170	76	+1,094	Yes	+$524	09-11 12:46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	2	$544	874	82	+793	Yes	+$340	09-07 14:55
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$286	143	143	+0	No	$0	04-03 07:42
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	10-20 13:35
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	3	$186	94	94	+0	open	—	10-18 03:07
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	3	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	10-23 17:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	4	$122	61	61	+0	No	$0	06-08 00:47
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	4	$118	59	59	+0	No	$0	04-16 04:04
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	10-28 00:57
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$112	56	56	+0	No	$0	04-16 23:29
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	4	$112	56	56	+0	No	$0	06-10 07:58
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	05-14 16:45
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	06-07 03:44
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	10-20 13:20
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	10-18 02:44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	06-06 13:58
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-14 16:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	06-08 00:39
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	06-10 07:52
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-07 03:15
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$57	28	28	+0	open	—	10-28 00:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	3	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	10-20 13:13
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	10-23 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:57:20	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xe5c593…
10-28 00:49:24	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x959262…
10-28 00:43:11	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x117394…
10-28 00:36:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x31ef20…
10-28 00:29:26	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x638fb6…
10-28 00:19:48	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5a6bd1…
10-23 17:52:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0xe590fc…
10-23 17:07:12	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x298372…
10-23 16:54:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0xa55afe…
10-23 16:45:32	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb7e00e…
10-23 16:38:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc7f70b…
10-23 16:29:09	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xffcff5…
10-23 16:23:08	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x1eff8f…
10-23 15:32:17	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6306c4…
10-20 13:35:33	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xd05000…
10-20 13:26:03	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xa02d8d…
10-20 13:20:20	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x926737…
10-20 13:13:32	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb59868…
10-20 13:04:36	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x180f30…
10-20 12:56:56	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x3d2295…
10-20 12:49:51	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x021157…
10-20 12:43:20	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf48355…
10-20 12:36:12	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x347c21…
10-18 03:07:50	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x8d2f52…
10-18 03:00:35	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x650c74…
10-18 02:54:03	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0e3c18…
10-18 02:44:14	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x8f441b…
10-18 02:36:44	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7310af…
10-18 02:31:24	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd5feb9…
10-18 02:22:32	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x0c14aa…
10-18 02:15:21	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3ce358…
10-18 02:05:27	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9c3bf6…
09-11 12:46:19	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	76	51¢	$39	0x0cad69…
09-11 12:02:24	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	1,170	52¢	$608	0xee5268…
09-07 14:55:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	SELL	82	56¢	$46	0x34ccfd…
09-07 14:05:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	874	57¢	$498	0xe6626d…
06-10 07:58:28	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x5b0b55…
06-10 07:52:30	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe505e1…
06-10 07:43:49	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xc84175…
06-10 07:34:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x408ddb…
06-10 07:27:57	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6d98ca…
06-10 07:19:31	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7238d6…
06-10 07:12:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c6e5f…
06-10 07:02:34	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2dc06f…
06-10 06:56:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7572b3…
06-10 06:47:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0582ea…
06-08 00:47:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x2bde77…
06-08 00:39:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xfa6046…
06-08 00:32:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2ca6fb…
06-08 00:19:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x86d712…
06-08 00:12:33	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	967	100¢	$965	0x2d3870…
06-08 00:02:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3cddb…
06-07 23:46:28	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	929	100¢	$928	0xe2024d…
06-07 23:36:24	Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	684	100¢	$682	0x450aa2…
06-07 23:30:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xdd51db…
06-07 23:22:57	Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0x97c29f…
06-07 23:15:33	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6d0fcb…
06-07 23:05:40	Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	926	100¢	$925	0xf3285d…
06-07 03:53:34	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,017	99¢	$1,009	0x486e10…
06-07 03:44:31	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x673394…
06-07 03:36:27	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2b22c5…
06-07 03:29:42	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	948	99¢	$941	0x0a2147…
06-07 03:23:46	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x38b3cb…
06-07 03:15:46	Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0dc8cb…
06-07 03:07:31	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xafd533…
06-07 02:57:57	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2ea9ef…
06-07 02:43:06	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	773	99¢	$762	0xf2bab5…
06-07 02:36:46	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x3ae6ef…
06-07 02:27:01	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	238	99¢	$235	0x3f8d2b…
06-07 02:20:09	Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7a3525…
06-07 02:11:39	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,012	99¢	$999	0xbc0fcf…
06-06 13:58:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc7f7aa…
06-06 13:50:12	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa3532d…
06-06 13:16:57	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	938	99¢	$929	0xf38fe9…
06-06 13:09:45	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1c30cb…
06-06 12:59:10	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	922	99¢	$914	0xfdebe0…
06-06 12:51:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc84eb4…
06-06 12:43:52	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	908	100¢	$907	0xe0fe6b…
06-06 12:38:27	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb749c7…
06-06 12:31:52	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	908	100¢	$907	0xe15139…
05-14 16:45:43	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xa455d3…
05-14 16:32:23	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x294531…
05-14 16:15:47	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xea5f34…
05-14 14:38:14	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x832766…
05-14 14:32:18	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x240eed…
05-14 14:22:30	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0xb5f3e9…
05-14 14:16:40	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0f600a…
05-14 14:06:16	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8b6ef6…
05-14 13:59:59	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x72336a…
05-14 13:52:37	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7953da…
04-16 23:29:34	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x3761a5…
04-16 23:15:20	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf40557…
04-16 23:07:42	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3e64dd…
04-16 04:04:10	Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x46ad4b…
04-16 03:52:38	Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x2b5f1f…
04-16 03:36:14	Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xaf1041…
04-16 03:19:04	Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x94e457…
04-15 00:31:20	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x292175…
04-14 23:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	SELL	834	100¢	$832	0x134df0…
04-14 23:38:54	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8c3c0d…