(anonymous) 0xc6ccfa…c6c48a Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$285
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved (7d)
52
Trades (7d)
355
12,547 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.95K
$71.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$11.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-04
last 11-09 21:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
46% 23% -$152
Sports
40% 26% +$5
Politics
13% 56% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 341 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,801 $1,512 92¢ $1.6K +$136 10-16 11:29
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,445 $1,289 100¢ $1.4K +$153 10-14 20:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +758 $719 99¢ $753 +$34 11-08 18:32
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +521 $500 99¢ $514 +$15 11-08 19:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +621 $411 80¢ $494 +$83 11-09 22:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +553 $403 82¢ $451 +$48 11-09 20:22
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +466 $446 95¢ $442 -$4 11-08 11:54
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +463 $431 92¢ $424 -$6 11-09 08:56
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +411 $383 99¢ $409 +$25 11-09 04:38
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +475 $441 86¢ $408 -$33 11-09 21:30
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +393 $377 94¢ $370 -$7 11-08 15:54
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +373 $358 96¢ $357 -$1 11-08 02:16
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +350 $308 100¢ $350 +$42 07-25 08:39
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +339 $330 97¢ $329 -$1 11-08 23:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +303 $298 99¢ $301 +$3 11-09 08:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +270 $267 100¢ $269 +$1 11-08 23:02
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +276 $270 97¢ $268 -$2 11-09 16:47
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +276 $239 94¢ $258 +$19 11-09 08:56
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +259 $240 96¢ $249 +$9 11-08 20:13
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +228 $220 98¢ $223 +$3 11-08 16:58
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +185 $133 98¢ $181 +$49 11-03 15:22
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +164 $162 98¢ $160 -$2 11-09 13:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,793 $287 8¢ $152 -$135 10-16 09:48
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +147 $146 100¢ $147 +$1 10-16 05:43
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +146 $127 94¢ $137 +$10 11-08 07:12
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +147 $139 90¢ $131 -$8 11-09 22:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +621 $221 20¢ $127 -$94 11-09 21:36
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +120 $119 100¢ $120 +$1 11-08 21:31
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +109 $108 99¢ $108 +$0 10-15 19:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +538 $155 18¢ $100 -$55 11-09 18:20