Unsteady-Fridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

114

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

90% 59% -$10

Politics

7% 100% +$2

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	$0	06-29 02:45
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 17:45
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-12 19:22
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-10 09:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-18 06:04
Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 01:05
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 05:44
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-21 05:27
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:55
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-28 08:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-25 08:39
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-20 00:54
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:31
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-23 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-28 18:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-06 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 22:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 4?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 11?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 05:36
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:16:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4d6a49…
08-31 04:10:01	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa47450…
06-29 16:35:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8faee8…
06-29 12:27:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe55ccc…
06-29 12:01:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e0a81…
06-29 02:45:49	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x19418a…
06-29 02:45:28	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1a637c…
06-28 20:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x05aabb…
06-28 18:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xeb3946…
06-28 08:25:31	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x17a4e3…
06-27 22:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xc6cca7…
06-27 22:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x10cab1…
06-27 22:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8aabcf…
06-27 09:06:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xdda84e…
06-27 07:50:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2b9b0a…
06-27 02:03:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfc2a7a…
06-26 19:05:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 27?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6a7457…
06-26 00:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8fe553…
06-26 00:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc13ee7…
06-26 00:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xedc12d…
06-25 14:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x31ae0c…
06-25 12:55:05	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa28f8f…
06-25 12:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x83cb13…
06-24 13:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf273eb…
06-24 01:30:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x452f49…
06-24 01:29:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c163d…
06-23 12:13:10	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f6d0e…
06-23 04:00:59	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0c06db…
06-22 17:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa7bd3c…
06-22 17:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xfeb133…
06-21 22:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 22?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc25eab…
06-21 21:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc2ff36…
06-21 05:27:32	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa751df…
06-20 13:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff4462…
06-20 00:54:20	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5ec9ff…
06-19 12:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x5ff0e5…
06-19 12:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6b7acf…
06-19 12:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x004bc0…
06-19 05:44:11	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x17e861…
06-18 03:47:25	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6f4e68…
06-16 13:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x95573b…
06-16 13:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd7a502…
06-16 12:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaf4a36…
06-15 18:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3256de…
06-15 14:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x83af18…
06-15 05:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x82b6d3…
06-14 19:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x202dc1…
06-14 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xeec82f…
06-14 07:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa3dcd9…
06-13 22:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9fa9bd…
06-13 07:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd7b23c…
06-13 04:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa3d29f…
06-12 19:22:37	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa99215…
06-12 04:02:33	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x5562f0…
06-11 13:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4dc05a…
06-11 13:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x93b3df…
06-11 12:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85b589…
06-10 12:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2963c7…
06-10 12:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 11?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x312b6b…
06-08 19:16:43	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xf0e104…
06-08 04:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7c4e2c…
06-08 04:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7385e2…
06-08 01:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x5acc76…
06-08 01:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x302ef8…
06-08 01:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x55ff07…
06-07 12:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9554f4…
06-06 15:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x959395…
06-06 15:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6c571a…
06-06 15:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x61b97e…
06-06 15:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe0cf60…
06-05 23:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2d35af…
06-05 21:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd1925a…
06-05 06:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3ea2a0…
06-05 06:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x68bf9a…
06-05 06:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xbbcaef…
06-05 03:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x62eaf7…
06-03 20:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x53546a…
06-03 13:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x563b52…
06-03 13:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x278225…
06-03 12:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd295c4…
06-03 01:05:10	Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbd6cb7…
06-02 18:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xabedd2…
06-02 12:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc80adb…
06-02 11:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xb9c4c1…
06-02 00:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x8a163f…
06-01 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdb2536…
06-01 12:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x317f2a…
06-01 03:18:52	Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xd37f46…
05-31 18:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3148e4…
05-31 18:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x658695…
05-31 18:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e4b25…
05-31 12:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd82965…
05-31 00:02:56	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x04cd32…
05-30 22:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9a9026…
05-30 22:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x411182…
05-30 12:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe147b5…
05-30 03:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe9eb7e…
05-30 02:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc4922…
05-30 02:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbd6837…
05-29 19:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x72575a…