Trusting-Bungalow 0xc6dd72…604b9f
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$339.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$48.1K
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved
499
Trades
22,106
lifetime
Volume
$35.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.58K
Open exposure
$556.0K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Politics
66% 76% +$161,310
Other
27% 76% +$221,037
Tech
3% 76% -$53,855
Sports
2% 64% +$1,809
Crypto
1% 100% +$8,905
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +228,564 $152,019 55¢ $124.6K -$27,451 10-28 03:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +110,000 $99,600 94¢ $102.8K +$3,250 10-06 07:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +76,556 $68,992 92¢ $70.4K +$1,440 10-25 23:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +89,433 $57,787 70¢ $63.1K +$5,263 10-25 22:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +83,964 $53,921 70¢ $59.2K +$5,274 10-25 21:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +43,599 $21,057 97¢ $42.3K +$21,212 10-28 02:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50,000 $39,300 80¢ $40.3K +$950 10-24 15:11
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +28,742 $23,583 74¢ $21.3K -$2,314 09-14 17:34
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +15,558 $12,973 80¢ $12.4K -$526 10-25 00:41
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,400 94¢ $9.4K +$1,030 09-08 07:26
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +4,714 $4,101 92¢ $4.3K +$236 10-03 06:55
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +2,137 $1,817 85¢ $1.8K +$0 07-14 22:11
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -1,210 -$1,234 98¢ $-1189 +$45 09-17 17:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,697 $874 69¢ $1.2K +$301 10-27 22:01
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +1,236 $933 84¢ $1.0K +$105 08-06 20:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +48,696 $48,866 1¢ $487 -$48,379 10-28 01:20
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +896 $534 18¢ $166 -$368 07-11 18:50
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $8,100 0¢ $10 -$8,090 09-04 22:41
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +146 $50 4¢ $6 -$43 06-07 23:47
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 34¢ $1 $0 07-08 02:55