Trusting-Bungalow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

17,367

lifetime

Volume

$29.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.68K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$35,079

Other

25% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 1922 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	197	$5.64M	5,658,051	12,092	+5,645,959	Yes	+$11,133	05-09 19:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	406	$2.07M	1,090,074	1,050,074	+40,000	open	—	04-08 23:55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	244	$1.71M	1,003,409	846,454	+156,955	open	—	03-04 18:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,369	$1.37M	817,286	834,958	-17,672	open	—	02-03 19:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	284	$1.35M	699,865	775,506	-75,641	open	—	04-07 23:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	524	$1.10M	766,937	697,995	+68,942	open	—	03-01 02:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	190	$751.0K	494,406	261,711	+232,695	open	—	04-16 23:49
netanyahu out by march 31 854	113	$673.2K	342,463	347,477	-5,013	open	—	04-01 04:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	340	$645.6K	324,581	351,168	-26,587	open	—	03-04 16:21
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	68	$576.2K	350,644	228,852	+121,792	open	—	01-04 05:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	54	$469.2K	591,573	166,834	+424,739	open	—	06-04 00:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	98	$463.7K	468,181	7,000	+461,181	Yes	+$4,482	05-09 12:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	81	$431.6K	451,052	162	+450,891	Yes	+$19,461	05-09 19:44
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	165	$402.8K	355,583	76,939	+278,644	open	—	04-30 21:01
iran closes its airspace by june 8	109	$401.7K	211,277	211,277	+0	open	—	06-08 22:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	218	$343.9K	175,277	183,433	-8,156	open	—	01-24 22:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	163	$319.2K	190,098	240,098	-50,000	open	—	02-28 07:21
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	39	$318.4K	276,979	42,124	+234,855	open	—	02-03 22:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	143	$316.0K	378,297	5,383	+372,914	open	—	07-02 17:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	237	$302.2K	190,563	176,568	+13,995	open	—	01-25 00:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	290	$283.3K	250,694	192,723	+57,971	open	—	03-13 05:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	129	$283.3K	478,815	260,985	+217,830	open	—	06-17 17:28
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	3	$281.7K	141,027	141,027	+0	open	—	07-28 16:23
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	249	$278.4K	146,443	146,443	+0	open	—	07-18 23:00
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	55	$269.8K	218,000	53,000	+165,000	open	—	07-09 00:20
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	47	$242.3K	123,255	123,255	+0	open	—	07-22 02:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	410	$228.4K	126,667	114,363	+12,304	open	—	04-17 16:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	261	$218.8K	133,609	108,609	+25,000	open	—	04-22 22:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	242	$205.6K	138,504	105,057	+33,447	open	—	01-31 16:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	130	$200.2K	130,011	130,580	-569	open	—	07-24 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 09:02:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x70a4de…
08-10 07:12:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	70	88¢	$62	0xe9764f…
08-10 06:27:39	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x7958a0…
08-10 05:29:30	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x1631e4…
08-10 03:22:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x6fefc4…
08-10 01:11:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xd0d398…
08-09 18:47:43	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x560f42…
08-09 18:47:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xbb3da0…
08-09 17:33:45	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0xdce9ff…
08-09 17:28:49	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x4685ae…
08-09 17:18:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1,200	88¢	$1,056	0x9853ba…
08-09 16:29:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xbf9ff8…
08-09 15:07:48	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x3727c0…
08-09 13:37:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xbe1721…
08-09 10:37:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x7dbbcf…
08-09 10:15:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xbaefbc…
08-09 09:58:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0x9d5359…
08-09 09:39:49	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xb79c48…
08-09 05:50:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xc54e36…
08-09 05:37:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xea2dfc…
08-09 04:58:45	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x3f4567…
08-09 04:50:49	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	269	88¢	$237	0xff61ea…
08-09 02:11:54	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xc843a5…
08-09 01:13:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xd555d9…
08-08 22:39:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0xc8b495…
08-08 22:20:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xcd3710…
08-08 22:13:21	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xf9f9cd…
08-08 21:03:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xd8d53e…
08-08 17:35:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x703e8f…
08-08 17:13:43	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	78	88¢	$69	0x5e2cbf…
08-08 16:50:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xe24964…
08-08 13:47:45	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x92da92…
08-08 13:34:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x9feb48…
08-08 12:42:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x315755…
08-08 10:08:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xb7620b…
08-08 09:04:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xad6697…
08-08 07:21:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0xf1c13f…
08-08 07:21:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xe7f040…
08-08 05:41:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x409cbf…
08-08 04:45:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xb88635…
08-08 02:13:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x36ff03…
08-08 01:01:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xe7100d…
08-07 22:11:57	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x8210b0…
08-07 22:00:51	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x26eced…
08-07 21:01:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xf8e285…
08-07 19:28:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0x241c89…
08-07 18:06:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x58eca8…
08-07 16:59:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x12665b…
08-07 09:32:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x9f67f6…
08-07 09:08:16	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x21003d…
08-07 08:47:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x5ee2a1…
08-07 06:39:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	19	88¢	$16	0x19b65a…
08-07 06:07:33	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x537d7b…
08-07 05:08:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0xd2b0f7…
08-07 03:38:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	28,357	87¢	$24,671	0x5ab2bd…
08-07 02:03:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x794bad…
08-07 01:01:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x143672…
08-06 22:12:14	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xdddb5e…
08-06 20:54:38	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	BUY	220	89¢	$196	0x2585fa…
08-06 19:59:57	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	BUY	340	74¢	$251	0x10cc79…
08-06 19:59:53	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	No	BUY	222	89¢	$198	0x811d46…
08-06 18:58:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	786	87¢	$684	0x0f88dc…
08-06 18:58:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xa1cf3f…
08-06 18:17:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xbc94af…
08-06 18:17:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	1,114	87¢	$969	0xe39bf9…
08-06 18:16:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	817	25¢	$204	0xa5f496…
08-06 18:16:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0x92018f…
08-06 18:16:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	600	25¢	$150	0xf9d401…
08-06 18:15:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3,000	25¢	$750	0x4dc13a…
08-06 18:15:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	990	30¢	$297	0xc6327c…
08-06 18:15:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,194	40¢	$478	0x8aa545…
08-06 18:15:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xeea9c8…
08-06 18:13:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5,759	23¢	$1,347	0xdb43eb…
08-06 18:13:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,355	22¢	$298	0x685a4e…
08-06 17:25:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	3,000	76¢	$2,295	0x795575…
08-06 17:24:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	17,376	77¢	$13,362	0xb11b2b…
08-06 16:55:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x8d4078…
08-06 15:23:57	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xf747f1…
08-06 13:56:30	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc00fdd…
08-06 13:37:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xea6703…
08-06 13:11:20	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	227	88¢	$200	0xe22ebe…
08-06 12:55:47	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x27b955…
08-06 12:45:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	42	87¢	$37	0x9fb4fb…
08-06 10:10:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x959246…
08-06 09:03:17	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x034638…
08-06 06:01:08	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xb91b37…
08-06 05:06:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x37b115…
08-06 04:44:32	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xa80321…
08-06 03:46:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xf0976e…
08-06 02:02:33	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xb45228…
08-06 00:55:08	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x2dbc4a…
08-05 22:01:54	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xe436f2…
08-05 21:13:48	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0xe2ff8b…
08-05 21:07:53	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x3a2762…
08-05 19:52:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xac05e2…
08-05 17:35:06	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	28	86¢	$25	0xd29722…
08-05 16:25:39	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x5f0836…
08-05 16:10:20	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x687872…
08-05 13:56:51	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x435dcb…
08-05 12:59:17	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x8d3734…