Realized P&L
+$35.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.54K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
16,848
lifetime
Volume
$28.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.69K
Open exposure
$273.9K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
69% 100% +$35,079
Other
25%
Tech
4%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1922 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -151,241 $-141,898 96¢ $-145872 $-3,973 06-08 14:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +69,406 $69,348 98¢ $68.3K $-1,018 07-11 23:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +53,990 $46,961 86¢ $46.2K $-800 07-19 19:17
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No +4,722 $4,205 97¢ $4.6K +$366 07-14 22:11
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +3,594 $3,198 85¢ $3.1K $-143 06-29 18:23
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +2,137 $1,817 90¢ $1.9K +$96 07-14 22:11
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +1,580 $1,414 99¢ $1.6K +$147 07-14 23:50
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +926 $828 92¢ $852 +$23 07-04 19:52
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +676 $486 74¢ $497 +$11 07-14 22:11
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +454 $400 92¢ $415 +$16 07-05 02:15
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +896 $534 38¢ $336 $-198 07-11 18:50
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +221 $202 92¢ $202 +$0 07-14 22:12
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No -131 $-92 94¢ $-122 $-30 06-09 00:40
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +146 $50 $7 $-42 06-07 23:47