Realized P&L
+$35.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$38.9K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
15,704
lifetime
Volume
$27.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.74K
Open exposure
$540.5K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 04:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
71% 100% +$35,079
Other
24%
Tech
4%
Crypto
2%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 1922 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +368,909 $305,581 100¢ $367.1K +$61,484 06-26 15:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -151,241 $-141,898 96¢ $-145040 $-3,142 06-08 14:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +16,126 $14,745 100¢ $16.1K +$1,341 06-19 21:07
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +5,350 $4,898 96¢ $5.1K +$237 06-30 04:25
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +3,594 $3,198 84¢ $3.0K $-179 06-29 18:23
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +3,169 $2,983 90¢ $2.9K $-130 06-23 19:53
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +872 $781 90¢ $781 $-0 06-22 01:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -569 $3,634 64¢ $-362 $-3,995 06-25 04:59
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No -131 $-92 82¢ $-107 $-15 06-09 00:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +16,126 $16,729 $40 $-16,689 06-19 21:00
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +146 $50 $8 $-41 06-07 23:47