Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
245
lifetime
Volume
$1.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$69
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-08 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$2
Other
41%
Tech
4%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 05-30 08:01
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 +$0 06-02 17:01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-03 15:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 06-02 01:32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 06-08 15:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +10 $5 84¢ $8 +$3 06-01 22:16
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-30 03:21
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 05-31 07:48
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 05:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 23:07