Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$380

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

1,330

Trades

3,337

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-26

last 11-14 19:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

76% 67% -$863

Crypto

22% 16% +$707

Politics

2% 33% -$224

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes		+135	$3	5¢	$6	+$4	10-26 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	34	$1.1K	4,204	602	+3,602	Yes	-$59	10-22 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	28	$697	912	51	+861	Yes	-$682	10-14 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?	7	$370	196	196	+0	No	+$10	10-09 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?	7	$309	160	160	+0	No	+$9	10-15 16:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$292	1,053	64	+989	No	-$208	10-25 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?	5	$208	110	110	+0	No	+$8	10-12 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15?	6	$205	107	106	+0	No	+$5	10-15 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 15?	4	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	10-15 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?	4	$203	107	107	+0	No	+$6	10-10 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 9?	8	$203	106	105	+0	No	+$3	10-08 19:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$184	127	127	+0	Yes	-$16	10-25 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 10?	2	$170	93	93	+0	No	+$10	10-10 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 20?	4	$166	87	87	+0	No	+$6	10-20 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20?	6	$165	86	86	+0	No	+$5	10-20 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?	5	$164	85	85	+0	No	+$4	10-19 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 20?	13	$163	84	84	+0	No	+$3	10-20 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?	3	$163	84	84	+0	No	+$3	10-20 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	2	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$3	10-20 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?	11	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$2	10-20 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 19?	5	$162	82	82	+0	No	+$2	10-19 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 11?	4	$159	83	83	+0	No	+$5	10-11 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	11	$151	229	229	+0	No	+$44	10-18 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 12?	3	$147	77	77	+0	No	+$5	10-12 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 13?	2	$147	77	77	+0	No	+$7	10-13 11:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13?	4	$145	75	75	+0	No	+$5	10-13 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	2	$144	75	75	+0	No	+$4	10-13 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 14?	4	$142	73	73	+0	No	+$3	10-14 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?	7	$140	74	74	+0	No	+$4	10-12 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	2	$129	70	70	+0	No	+$9	10-16 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 15?	4	$129	66	66	+0	No	+$3	10-15 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 19:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xb7610c…
11-14 18:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x5b8efe…
11-14 18:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x1c859f…
11-14 17:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x9b18eb…
11-14 16:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x57386a…
11-14 16:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe9b115…
11-14 13:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xa0b2d6…
11-14 13:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xfb5c55…
11-14 12:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xb6db8e…
11-14 12:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1ff3f0…
11-14 12:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xb0c91c…
11-14 11:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x5c3ce9…
11-14 11:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x0e9bed…
11-14 10:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xeb4f1d…
11-14 10:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x870144…
11-14 09:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x263189…
11-14 08:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x8a8961…
11-14 08:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x27230b…
11-14 06:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xb2a1b1…
11-14 04:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x69b8a1…
11-14 03:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x5ef501…
11-14 02:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x89230c…
11-14 01:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	74	2¢	$2	0x0e9378…
11-14 00:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x29e4a2…
11-14 00:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xb441cf…
11-14 00:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x751d92…
11-13 23:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xc6f7f3…
11-13 21:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x037aa3…
11-13 20:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xb3a5ad…
11-13 19:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x680c48…
11-13 19:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xea2553…
11-13 19:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xd94aa8…
11-13 18:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xf07f35…
11-13 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x41f103…
11-13 14:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xcba8ef…
11-13 13:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x51cd1d…
11-13 12:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xa7e12e…
11-13 12:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xffbab0…
11-13 11:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x6a8a4e…
11-13 11:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xa0f7f3…
11-13 10:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x4bea82…
11-13 10:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x57730d…
11-13 10:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xb28a43…
11-13 10:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x61249a…
11-13 10:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x5670a6…
11-13 09:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x1f17bb…
11-13 09:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xcf22d1…
11-13 09:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x95e503…
11-13 09:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x89ab78…
11-13 08:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xb7d7f4…
11-13 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd83b31…
11-13 08:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xf4f979…
11-13 08:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xa125e1…
11-13 06:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xeea6f5…
11-13 04:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x6bcb3d…
11-13 04:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x06dd40…
11-13 04:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd263a1…
11-13 02:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xc46036…
11-13 02:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xc63e7e…
11-13 00:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x70baf4…
11-13 00:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x774a3f…
11-13 00:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xb1950c…
11-12 23:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x1eac9f…
11-12 22:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3d28b6…
11-12 21:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xb82255…
11-12 20:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xf25714…
11-12 19:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x626aa0…
11-12 19:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0xac4d27…
11-12 18:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x411e53…
11-12 18:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x065663…
11-12 18:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xdf8f89…
11-12 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xb2f9f4…
11-12 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4e6d59…
11-12 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xe44106…
11-12 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xc5d6f5…
11-12 13:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x1846bf…
11-12 12:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xe0320b…
11-12 11:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa87465…
11-12 08:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xe0df6f…
11-12 08:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x78d32a…
11-12 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x97149a…
11-12 06:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x1e50b9…
11-12 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xd99a15…
11-12 06:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xee28fe…
11-12 05:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8bffc8…
11-12 05:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x030d42…
11-12 02:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0a73f1…
11-12 01:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc26d87…
11-12 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xe400e9…
11-11 23:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x08f6e3…
11-11 22:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf7506f…
11-11 22:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1e23d1…
11-11 21:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	394	1¢	$2	0xf72f53…
11-11 19:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0a2764…
11-11 19:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x79be6c…
11-11 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd79a80…
11-11 16:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x1a9d5e…
11-11 14:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4328e0…
11-11 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xa7ada6…
11-10 17:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xe0feb2…