Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved (30d)

640

Trades (30d)

1,586

3,206 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$19.8K

$26.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 11-08 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

77% 67% -$863

Crypto

21% 18% +$753

Politics

2% 33% -$224

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes		+50	$9	45¢	$22	+$13	10-19 03:20
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes		+135	$3	4¢	$6	+$3	10-26 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	34	$1.1K	4,204	602	+3,602	Yes	-$59	10-22 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	28	$697	912	51	+861	Yes	-$682	10-14 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?	7	$370	196	196	+0	No	+$10	10-09 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?	7	$309	160	160	+0	No	+$9	10-15 16:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$292	1,053	64	+989	No	-$208	10-25 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?	5	$208	110	110	+0	No	+$8	10-12 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15?	6	$205	107	106	+0	No	+$5	10-15 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 15?	4	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	10-15 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?	4	$203	107	107	+0	No	+$6	10-10 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 9?	8	$203	106	105	+0	No	+$3	10-08 19:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$184	127	127	+0	Yes	-$16	10-25 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 10?	2	$170	93	93	+0	No	+$10	10-10 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 20?	4	$166	87	87	+0	No	+$6	10-20 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20?	6	$165	86	86	+0	No	+$5	10-20 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?	5	$164	85	85	+0	No	+$4	10-19 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 20?	13	$163	84	84	+0	No	+$3	10-20 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?	3	$163	84	84	+0	No	+$3	10-20 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	2	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$3	10-20 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?	11	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$2	10-20 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 19?	5	$162	82	82	+0	No	+$2	10-19 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 11?	4	$159	83	83	+0	No	+$5	10-11 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	11	$151	229	229	+0	No	+$44	10-18 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 12?	3	$147	77	77	+0	No	+$5	10-12 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 13?	2	$147	77	77	+0	No	+$7	10-13 11:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13?	4	$145	75	75	+0	No	+$5	10-13 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	2	$144	75	75	+0	No	+$4	10-13 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 14?	4	$142	73	73	+0	No	+$3	10-14 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?	7	$140	74	74	+0	No	+$4	10-12 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	2	$129	70	70	+0	No	+$9	10-16 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 15?	4	$129	66	66	+0	No	+$3	10-15 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 00:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	385	1¢	$3	0x633eae…
11-08 00:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x94c96a…
11-07 15:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xf7742f…
11-07 10:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x927742…
11-07 09:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32df8b…
11-07 08:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3fff59…
11-07 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x505033…
11-07 01:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5bd45…
11-07 00:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x747763…
11-06 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc2a7e7…
11-06 19:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x84fd09…
11-06 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x67f72e…
11-06 11:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb6eaf7…
11-06 09:54:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x90e2e0…
11-06 08:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8f8579…
11-06 08:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeeba0d…
11-06 06:52:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb520f7…
11-06 06:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3550e…
11-06 02:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1bbab8…
11-05 21:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x66d06d…
11-04 18:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9e0191…
11-04 18:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa3295a…
11-04 18:14:39	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x54556a…
11-04 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xa5e61f…
11-04 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9d1d2d…
11-04 16:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa934a1…
11-04 15:48:24	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7dc1e1…
11-04 15:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x932134…
11-04 15:39:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x949571…
11-04 15:39:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x647f60…
11-04 15:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x798aff…
11-04 15:19:04	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x862a29…
11-04 15:19:04	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6465bf…
11-04 15:09:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x31dd70…
11-04 14:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x217f94…
11-04 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x75c665…
11-04 14:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x28be8a…
11-04 12:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x89aeea…
11-04 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xfd493e…
11-04 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x9848bc…
11-04 11:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf9b47c…
11-04 11:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xa92b1d…
11-04 11:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x5fcb25…
11-04 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xda1880…
11-04 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xc5be6a…
11-04 07:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a45a5…
11-04 07:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x8d4f5f…
11-04 06:22:43	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd7c330…
11-04 06:22:43	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xa6c301…
11-04 06:22:43	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x74a761…
11-04 05:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xb95bae…
11-04 05:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb11155…
11-04 04:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf4515f…
11-04 03:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa42995…
11-04 03:33:54	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xa1f663…
11-04 03:33:54	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9c141b…
11-03 23:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xe4c0ad…
11-03 21:29:15	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x33b678…
11-03 21:29:15	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x32971b…
11-03 21:29:15	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x012565…
11-03 17:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x63eaec…
11-03 15:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x022649…
11-03 14:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x06b1e2…
11-03 07:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf6b521…
11-03 07:04:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf264ed…
11-03 07:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x23e6d4…
11-03 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9b45d6…
11-03 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x213c58…
11-03 03:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x52e91b…
11-03 03:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x316dff…
11-03 03:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x29e591…
11-03 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x4126fa…
11-03 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x1b4a94…
11-03 00:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe7ebfa…
11-02 23:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x495512…
11-02 23:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x2956ac…
11-02 20:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x08461f…
11-02 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xbbb512…
11-02 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x71a29f…
11-02 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x706e67…
11-02 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x365919…
11-02 17:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa88cd4…
11-02 17:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe1eae8…
11-02 17:04:16	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8d9692…
11-02 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4f969f…
11-02 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$0	0x2bb540…
11-02 13:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x414f6e…
11-02 12:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x43446a…
11-02 12:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd2e739…
11-02 11:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x079970…
11-02 07:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x687522…
11-02 07:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x4ca27d…
11-02 06:19:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x423448…
11-02 06:19:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x10ca8f…
11-02 03:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xd8f87e…
11-02 03:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xc58db9…
11-02 03:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xb1ea90…
11-02 03:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x6a070d…
11-02 01:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xfd6eac…
11-02 01:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x326cda…