Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$690

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

44% 43% -$40

Politics

44% 29% -$1

Crypto

7% 21% -$16

Tech

3% 100% +$9

Sports

1% 25% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+50	$6	30¢	$15	+$9	10-26 07:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No		+17	$4	22¢	$4	-$1	10-31 09:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	14	$94	110	110	+0	Yes	-$2	02-28 13:53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	18	$63	215	165	+50	open	—	10-26 07:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$54	40	32	+8	Yes	+$1	03-11 21:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$28	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 17:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$27	57	57	+0	Yes	-$4	02-27 15:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$26	29	29	+0	No	+$2	10-19 12:58
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	5	$25	12	58	-45	Yes	-$30	02-27 07:02
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	6	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	01-17 11:20
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	8	$21	87	87	+0	No	+$11	09-13 20:30
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	09-18 12:36
aeo quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt72	1	$13	21	0	+21	No	-$13	03-01 19:35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$13	18	8	+10	Yes	+$9	10-25 22:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$11	28	28	+0	No	-$1	01-14 20:48
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$11	10	10	+0	No	-$1	01-15 13:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	10-27 22:08
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	3	$10	16	16	+0	No	-$3	01-23 11:31
oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt25	2	$9	10	5	+5	Yes	+$4	02-18 14:30
ucl liv1 qar1 2026 01 28 liv1	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	01-28 19:20
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$9	8	12	-4	No	+$1	01-15 08:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	10-27 22:08
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	$0	01-29 07:37
nothing ever happens khamenei	3	$7	18	18	+0	No	-$1	02-27 07:02
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$7	8	8	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:10 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	09-21 16:14
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$7	13	13	+0	No	-$1	01-15 07:06
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	09-13 18:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:15 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	09-21 16:15
spx up or down on march 2 2026	4	$5	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	02-28 21:11
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 wes	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	+$7	02-10 21:37
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	2	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	02-27 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:06:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5dec7a…
10-31 09:05:58	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x64d629…
10-31 08:32:25	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc5d527…
10-29 10:34:44	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x706421…
10-27 22:08:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xcd7c29…
10-27 22:08:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x4ba6b2…
10-27 21:42:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4ec7e3…
10-27 21:40:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcdf442…
10-27 21:34:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5ef302…
10-27 21:16:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x20d3da…
10-26 07:35:33	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x9f0dea…
10-25 22:47:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd8d07e…
10-25 22:23:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x89d9bb…
10-25 22:04:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x3f5e1d…
10-25 22:03:11	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd75b6b…
10-25 21:36:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x55dc66…
10-25 21:33:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x8a7c6a…
10-25 19:15:20	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xa927fd…
10-19 12:58:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe67764…
10-14 13:12:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x349e84…
10-14 13:12:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x18f65b…
10-14 13:04:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ff87f…
10-13 09:17:50	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x42bb74…
10-13 09:17:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe99220…
10-13 09:14:56	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0x7283ed…
10-04 09:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe88386…
10-04 09:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x31ff17…
10-04 09:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8b6d51…
10-04 09:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd7f712…
10-04 09:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4618d2…
10-04 09:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb1b5fa…
10-04 09:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x427913…
10-04 09:21:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7d7491…
10-04 09:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc94af1…
10-04 09:16:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa4f1a6…
10-04 09:12:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe73060…
10-04 09:05:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1b3028…
10-04 09:04:40	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xfbaf89…
10-04 09:04:32	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0x1ba0af…
10-04 09:01:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x175232…
10-04 09:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1c8e36…
10-04 08:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4c01d1…
10-04 08:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xae13b0…
10-04 08:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xec8f7f…
10-01 17:40:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x93207b…
10-01 14:21:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xebb98c…
09-23 12:57:05	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x44b6ae…
09-23 12:54:59	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x4428cc…
09-21 16:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xe417af…
09-21 16:14:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d6cc0…
09-21 16:14:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaf2ed0…
09-21 16:12:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3fe368…
09-20 17:26:10	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x4e3c41…
09-20 17:25:30	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xc78b96…
09-18 12:37:11	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x6ee8d7…
09-18 12:36:21	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xcf548b…
09-16 14:52:35	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd5ddb3…
09-15 15:24:58	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xab1c6e…
09-15 15:24:48	will the christian democrats kd be in the next swedish government	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x7e0f04…
09-14 12:58:07	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x54b4c5…
09-13 22:13:06	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x259765…
09-13 21:26:31	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0xd07082…
09-13 21:26:19	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xab80c6…
09-13 20:30:12	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x8efbd8…
09-13 20:01:37	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x6535f2…
09-13 19:26:06	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfb4581…
09-13 18:56:18	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xa17d00…
09-13 18:55:22	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xf07bcb…
09-13 18:48:55	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xab62dd…
09-13 18:47:51	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xa8b96a…
09-13 18:30:25	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8cb06c…
09-13 18:17:00	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x764f88…
09-13 18:15:01	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	31	40¢	$12	0xd5c768…
09-13 18:07:43	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0xd94048…
09-13 18:07:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb1dd7c…
09-13 18:07:12	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x57a35a…
09-13 18:03:27	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0dfe7f…
09-13 18:03:10	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xf1b88b…
09-13 17:54:54	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0339c7…
09-13 17:52:36	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xb70e49…
09-13 17:50:54	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x1f3a86…
09-13 16:42:25	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf94fa7…
09-13 16:37:58	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x265384…
09-12 20:39:55	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3b76c7…
09-12 20:23:48	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xfa4b5b…
09-12 20:20:52	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe58652…
06-14 09:03:09	Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0xd24c78…
05-30 15:21:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x78755c…
05-23 16:03:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x0d3478…
05-16 21:30:11	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xf9fa2a…
05-16 21:21:52	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x9ef18b…
03-30 11:59:44	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0a6990…
03-26 19:22:47	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7e1f1c…
03-26 18:44:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xbf9d4c…
03-23 15:40:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf97ede…
03-23 15:40:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xec447c…
03-11 21:11:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xabf3cc…
03-07 20:58:03	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x759710…
03-01 19:35:45	aeo quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x9d6f61…
03-01 19:34:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc45125…