Organic-Replacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

356

Trades

10,933

lifetime

Volume

$146.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-26 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776354300	3	$95	87	87	+0	open	—	04-16 15:49
btc updown 15m 1776391200	5	$94	86	86	+0	open	—	04-17 02:02
btc updown 15m 1781310600	5	$92	87	87	+0	open	—	06-13 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$92	87	87	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$90	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$90	85	85	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:14
btc updown 15m 1781282700	3	$90	85	85	-0	open	—	06-12 16:45
btc updown 15m 1781275500	9	$89	87	87	+0	open	—	06-12 14:45
btc updown 15m 1780816500	9	$89	82	82	+0	open	—	06-07 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	12	$88	82	82	+0	open	—	06-03 10:15
btc updown 15m 1781311500	6	$88	77	85	-8	open	—	06-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$88	82	82	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:29
btc updown 15m 1780793100	6	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-07 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$87	81	81	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 03:44
btc updown 15m 1780798500	2	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-07 02:15
btc updown 15m 1781284500	2	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-12 17:15
btc updown 15m 1775902500	6	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	04-11 10:16
btc updown 15m 1776055500	7	$87	80	77	+3	open	—	04-13 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 08:44
btc updown 15m 1781259300	6	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-12 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:14
btc updown 15m 1776102300	3	$87	84	81	+3	open	—	04-13 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	10	$86	82	82	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	10	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	05-04 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$86	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$86	81	81	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:44
btc updown 15m 1776132000	4	$86	78	76	+3	open	—	04-14 02:00
btc updown 15m 1780960500	16	$86	83	83	+0	open	—	06-08 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$85	79	79	+0	open	—	05-02 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$85	80	80	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 08:56:22	btc updown 15m 1785056400	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xc480b1…
07-26 08:55:15	btc updown 15m 1785056400	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xed0cbb…
07-26 08:55:10	btc updown 15m 1785056400	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xd60a98…
07-26 07:45:10	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa6521d…
07-26 07:45:09	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xe20491…
07-26 07:45:09	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0xa61f46…
07-26 07:45:07	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x717005…
07-26 07:45:07	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3bac05…
07-26 07:40:55	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xa74037…
07-26 07:40:54	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x753545…
07-26 07:40:12	btc updown 15m 1785051900	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x78ca3a…
07-26 06:44:10	btc updown 15m 1785048300	Up	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xcfafe6…
07-26 06:43:03	btc updown 15m 1785048300	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa112a1…
07-26 06:42:55	btc updown 15m 1785048300	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x941ee1…
07-26 06:42:34	btc updown 15m 1785048300	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xb4915d…
07-26 06:31:15	btc updown 15m 1785047400	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x79faad…
07-26 06:31:09	btc updown 15m 1785047400	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc4b250…
07-26 06:31:09	btc updown 15m 1785047400	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6339aa…
07-26 06:31:06	btc updown 15m 1785047400	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4fade3…
07-26 06:00:13	btc updown 15m 1785046500	Up	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x1abda3…
07-26 05:15:09	btc updown 15m 1785042900	Up	SELL	49	54¢	$27	0x4bf18a…
07-26 05:08:07	btc updown 15m 1785042900	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$25	0x416240…
07-26 05:00:30	btc updown 15m 1785042000	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xf53668…
07-26 05:00:30	btc updown 15m 1785042000	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xd5c464…
07-26 05:00:30	btc updown 15m 1785042000	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x41e111…
07-26 05:00:30	btc updown 15m 1785042000	Down	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0x1beff0…
07-26 04:45:09	btc updown 15m 1785042000	Down	BUY	51	50¢	$25	0x12d52f…
07-26 04:30:04	btc updown 15m 1785040200	Down	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0x277618…
07-26 04:25:10	btc updown 15m 1785040200	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$25	0x1c6f9a…
07-26 04:15:43	btc updown 15m 1785039300	Down	SELL	51	52¢	$27	0x8e330c…
07-26 04:00:15	btc updown 15m 1785039300	Down	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0xa04861…
07-26 03:38:10	btc updown 15m 1785037500	Down	BUY	27	53¢	$15	0xbe11bc…
07-26 03:37:10	btc updown 15m 1785037500	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd0375a…
07-26 03:22:12	btc updown 15m 1785036600	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x548a9d…
07-26 03:00:16	btc updown 15m 1785035700	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4331e6…
07-26 02:52:09	btc updown 15m 1785034800	Down	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x91b9da…
07-26 01:45:40	btc updown 15m 1785030300	Down	SELL	34	53¢	$18	0xfed1db…
07-26 01:45:40	btc updown 15m 1785030300	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf7e6f7…
07-26 01:45:40	btc updown 15m 1785030300	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xe770c8…
07-26 01:45:40	btc updown 15m 1785030300	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4fa5c3…
07-26 01:38:09	btc updown 15m 1785030300	Down	BUY	35	53¢	$18	0x9b6a51…
07-26 01:37:34	btc updown 15m 1785030300	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7a713e…
07-26 01:37:10	btc updown 15m 1785030300	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2a86f4…
07-26 01:14:09	btc updown 15m 1785028500	Down	SELL	49	53¢	$26	0x5b2d11…
07-26 01:10:13	btc updown 15m 1785028500	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x9f6fb4…
07-26 01:00:31	btc updown 15m 1785028500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb6a3af…
07-26 01:00:18	btc updown 15m 1785028500	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$21	0x662c84…
07-26 00:53:09	btc updown 15m 1785027600	Down	BUY	48	51¢	$25	0x2992d8…
07-26 00:45:24	btc updown 15m 1785026700	Down	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x975a3a…
07-26 00:45:24	btc updown 15m 1785026700	Down	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x208ddc…
07-26 00:45:22	btc updown 15m 1785026700	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x5bda89…
07-26 00:40:03	btc updown 15m 1785026700	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xf9f397…
07-26 00:30:15	btc updown 15m 1785026700	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbcf83d…
07-26 00:22:10	btc updown 15m 1785025800	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x136eea…
07-26 00:07:10	btc updown 15m 1785024900	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$25	0xf40b27…
07-25 21:30:48	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xe254ed…
07-25 21:30:48	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xe01b19…
07-25 21:30:48	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9aa5a6…
07-25 21:30:48	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x857399…
07-25 21:30:48	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x397f56…
07-25 21:30:48	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x16c711…
07-25 21:25:45	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0xee4064…
07-25 21:23:07	btc updown 15m 1785015000	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x7b8875…
07-25 20:00:03	btc updown 15m 1785009600	Down	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x6f47df…
07-25 20:00:03	btc updown 15m 1785009600	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x470483…
07-25 19:57:10	btc updown 15m 1785009600	Down	BUY	48	51¢	$25	0x1a9ecc…
07-25 19:30:43	btc updown 15m 1785007800	Down	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0x950cd2…
07-25 19:30:42	btc updown 15m 1785007800	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6b1fff…
07-25 19:30:33	btc updown 15m 1785007800	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xda8d41…
07-25 19:30:33	btc updown 15m 1785007800	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x74929d…
07-25 19:28:09	btc updown 15m 1785007800	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xcac6b9…
07-25 18:53:40	btc updown 15m 1785006000	Down	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x851b46…
07-25 18:42:12	btc updown 15m 1785005100	Down	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0xa17ad0…
07-25 18:26:07	btc updown 15m 1785004200	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x63cba2…
07-25 18:25:19	btc updown 15m 1785004200	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb15713…
07-25 18:25:12	btc updown 15m 1785004200	Down	BUY	41	52¢	$22	0x59bd21…
07-25 18:08:10	btc updown 15m 1785003300	Down	BUY	51	54¢	$27	0xc14ed0…
07-25 17:30:13	btc updown 15m 1785001500	Down	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x82a87c…
07-25 17:25:10	btc updown 15m 1785000600	Down	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xb0743a…
07-25 15:46:28	btc updown 15m 1784994300	Down	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0xf99eac…
07-25 15:45:01	btc updown 15m 1784994300	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x80d8af…
07-25 15:45:01	btc updown 15m 1784994300	Down	SELL	31	53¢	$16	0x5799ee…
07-25 15:40:10	btc updown 15m 1784994300	Down	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x27531d…
07-25 15:30:22	btc updown 15m 1784993400	Down	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xacc290…
07-25 15:30:22	btc updown 15m 1784993400	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xaa7471…
07-25 15:30:22	btc updown 15m 1784993400	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x9b6048…
07-25 15:30:22	btc updown 15m 1784993400	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x79ab6a…
07-25 15:30:22	btc updown 15m 1784993400	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x63bf4e…
07-25 15:22:10	btc updown 15m 1784993400	Down	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x862fd3…
07-25 15:10:12	btc updown 15m 1784992500	Down	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xc13643…
07-25 14:55:12	btc updown 15m 1784991600	Down	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xc7e7ef…
07-25 14:45:12	btc updown 15m 1784990700	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x5dcb14…
07-25 14:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784990700	Down	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0xb63bc7…
07-25 14:40:10	btc updown 15m 1784990700	Down	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x15f9d6…
07-25 14:00:07	btc updown 15m 1784988000	Down	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x56cb31…
07-25 13:53:09	btc updown 15m 1784988000	Down	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0x4d1934…
07-25 13:46:03	btc updown 15m 1784988000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x163f84…
07-25 13:45:09	btc updown 15m 1784988000	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6e071c…
07-25 13:41:21	btc updown 15m 1784987100	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x71f9be…
07-25 13:41:10	btc updown 15m 1784987100	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc98139…