Organic-Replacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

356

Trades

11,755

lifetime

Volume

$170.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 08-15 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1786380300	3	$96	189	0	+189	open	—	08-10 16:45
btc updown 15m 1776354300	3	$95	87	87	+0	open	—	04-16 15:49
btc updown 15m 1776391200	5	$94	86	86	+0	open	—	04-17 02:02
btc updown 15m 1781310600	5	$92	87	87	+0	open	—	06-13 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$92	87	87	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$90	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$90	85	85	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:14
btc updown 15m 1781282700	3	$90	85	85	-0	open	—	06-12 16:45
btc updown 15m 1781275500	9	$89	87	87	+0	open	—	06-12 14:45
btc updown 15m 1780816500	9	$89	82	82	+0	open	—	06-07 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	12	$88	82	82	+0	open	—	06-03 10:15
btc updown 15m 1781311500	6	$88	77	85	-8	open	—	06-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$88	82	82	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:29
btc updown 15m 1780793100	6	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-07 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$87	81	81	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 03:44
btc updown 15m 1780798500	2	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-07 02:15
btc updown 15m 1781284500	2	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-12 17:15
btc updown 15m 1775902500	6	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	04-11 10:16
btc updown 15m 1776055500	7	$87	80	77	+3	open	—	04-13 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 08:44
btc updown 15m 1781259300	6	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-12 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:14
btc updown 15m 1776102300	3	$87	84	81	+3	open	—	04-13 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	10	$86	82	82	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	10	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	05-04 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$86	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$86	81	81	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:44
btc updown 15m 1776132000	4	$86	78	76	+3	open	—	04-14 02:00
btc updown 15m 1780960500	16	$86	83	83	+0	open	—	06-08 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$85	79	79	+0	open	—	05-02 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 09:40:10	btc updown 15m 1786787100	Down	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0x07385c…
08-15 09:14:07	btc updown 15m 1786785300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7cd454…
08-15 09:14:04	btc updown 15m 1786785300	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x559a37…
08-15 09:14:04	btc updown 15m 1786785300	Up	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x2ca749…
08-15 09:13:58	btc updown 15m 1786785300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x305fc0…
08-15 09:13:57	btc updown 15m 1786785300	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4860e7…
08-15 09:00:31	btc updown 15m 1786784400	Up	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x256320…
08-15 09:00:30	btc updown 15m 1786784400	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd3b7c5…
08-15 09:00:30	btc updown 15m 1786784400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbac998…
08-15 09:00:30	btc updown 15m 1786784400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5b2293…
08-15 09:00:30	btc updown 15m 1786784400	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x22bd30…
08-15 09:00:28	btc updown 15m 1786784400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa9a54e…
08-15 09:00:27	btc updown 15m 1786784400	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x937ddc…
08-15 07:14:09	btc updown 15m 1786778100	Down	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x8e1a76…
08-15 06:15:09	btc updown 15m 1786775400	Up	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x41b09e…
08-15 05:59:07	btc updown 15m 1786773600	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6f7121…
08-15 05:59:04	btc updown 15m 1786773600	Up	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x4b9db4…
08-15 05:58:34	btc updown 15m 1786773600	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xad8385…
08-15 05:58:27	btc updown 15m 1786773600	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf97925…
08-15 05:58:19	btc updown 15m 1786773600	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x320fa8…
08-15 05:40:10	btc updown 15m 1786772700	Up	BUY	77	51¢	$39	0x8f56df…
08-15 04:44:45	btc updown 15m 1786769100	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x34fce2…
08-15 04:38:12	btc updown 15m 1786769100	Down	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x92e352…
08-15 04:23:12	btc updown 15m 1786768200	Down	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x0cedf1…
08-15 03:29:04	btc updown 15m 1786764600	Down	BUY	64	52¢	$33	0xf46a40…
08-15 03:28:40	btc updown 15m 1786764600	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7de5b0…
08-15 03:28:40	btc updown 15m 1786764600	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2fbff7…
08-15 03:15:10	btc updown 15m 1786764600	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1f3d14…
08-15 03:00:10	btc updown 15m 1786763700	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xd2eb61…
08-15 02:53:12	btc updown 15m 1786762800	Down	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0x92ae08…
08-15 02:30:10	btc updown 15m 1786761900	Down	BUY	81	52¢	$42	0x8be62b…
08-15 02:23:12	btc updown 15m 1786761000	Down	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0xc8f5a5…
08-15 02:08:12	btc updown 15m 1786760100	Down	BUY	81	51¢	$41	0x8bb065…
08-15 01:38:12	btc updown 15m 1786758300	Down	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0x818c10…
08-15 01:25:12	btc updown 15m 1786757400	Down	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0xeaac74…
08-15 00:23:10	btc updown 15m 1786753800	Down	BUY	86	51¢	$44	0x83602d…
08-14 23:45:10	btc updown 15m 1786752000	Down	BUY	88	52¢	$46	0x909961…
08-14 23:44:09	btc updown 15m 1786751100	Down	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0xc60409…
08-14 23:40:12	btc updown 15m 1786751100	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x542720…
08-14 23:25:10	btc updown 15m 1786750200	Down	BUY	88	47¢	$42	0xcd2dd7…
08-14 22:29:49	btc updown 15m 1786746600	Up	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0x4f8472…
08-14 22:29:48	btc updown 15m 1786746600	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x66a411…
08-14 22:29:43	btc updown 15m 1786746600	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc05b84…
08-14 22:29:43	btc updown 15m 1786746600	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xb59d73…
08-14 22:12:12	btc updown 15m 1786745700	Up	BUY	88	52¢	$46	0x27fc31…
08-14 17:23:10	btc updown 15m 1786728600	Down	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x5c5b0f…
08-14 16:59:10	btc updown 15m 1786726800	Down	BUY	80	53¢	$43	0x8532aa…
08-14 16:59:06	btc updown 15m 1786726800	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0ebb1b…
08-14 16:38:12	btc updown 15m 1786725900	Down	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0x91849b…
08-14 16:23:10	btc updown 15m 1786725000	Down	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0xf65c07…
08-14 16:08:12	btc updown 15m 1786724100	Down	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x76002d…
08-14 15:53:10	btc updown 15m 1786723200	Down	BUY	92	53¢	$49	0x6a1101…
08-14 15:38:10	btc updown 15m 1786722300	Down	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0x88399c…
08-14 14:57:12	btc updown 15m 1786719600	Up	BUY	92	51¢	$47	0xdc709f…
08-14 14:10:13	btc updown 15m 1786716900	Up	BUY	93	53¢	$49	0x47574e…
08-14 13:13:37	btc updown 15m 1786713300	Up	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0x914aac…
08-14 13:13:19	btc updown 15m 1786713300	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa425df…
08-14 13:13:13	btc updown 15m 1786713300	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaa4a22…
08-14 11:55:10	btc updown 15m 1786708800	Down	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x45bea8…
08-14 09:40:10	btc updown 15m 1786700700	Up	BUY	86	53¢	$46	0x60a572…
08-14 08:23:09	btc updown 15m 1786696200	Up	BUY	87	53¢	$46	0x826cb6…
08-14 07:57:10	btc updown 15m 1786694400	Up	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0xfa7357…
08-14 07:00:10	btc updown 15m 1786691700	Up	BUY	85	52¢	$44	0x1dbfab…
08-14 06:45:10	btc updown 15m 1786690800	Up	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0x337856…
08-14 06:38:12	btc updown 15m 1786689900	Up	BUY	51	54¢	$28	0x0a72ec…
08-14 06:30:52	btc updown 15m 1786689900	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x12167c…
08-14 06:30:19	btc updown 15m 1786689900	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x4a4911…
08-14 06:30:10	btc updown 15m 1786689900	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xe03766…
08-14 06:23:09	btc updown 15m 1786689000	Up	BUY	89	52¢	$46	0x3764e9…
08-14 03:53:12	btc updown 15m 1786680000	Up	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0x1d4278…
08-14 03:40:12	btc updown 15m 1786679100	Up	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0x644d79…
08-14 02:08:12	btc updown 15m 1786673700	Down	BUY	83	51¢	$42	0x871a45…
08-14 01:59:12	btc updown 15m 1786672800	Down	BUY	83	53¢	$44	0x4b59de…
08-14 00:53:10	btc updown 15m 1786669200	Down	BUY	85	50¢	$43	0x4dee93…
08-14 00:25:10	btc updown 15m 1786667400	Down	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0x52abf3…
08-13 23:55:12	btc updown 15m 1786665600	Up	BUY	83	52¢	$43	0xa7fa14…
08-13 22:15:10	btc updown 15m 1786660200	Down	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0x0bd08f…
08-13 22:08:10	btc updown 15m 1786659300	Down	BUY	85	52¢	$44	0xb7bf5c…
08-13 19:08:13	btc updown 15m 1786648500	Down	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0x07e404…
08-13 18:55:12	btc updown 15m 1786647600	Down	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0xf20c8d…
08-13 16:45:10	btc updown 15m 1786640400	Up	BUY	89	52¢	$46	0x69403a…
08-13 16:38:12	btc updown 15m 1786639500	Up	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0xa883b1…
08-13 16:00:12	btc updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0x9f01ca…
08-13 15:59:10	btc updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	86	55¢	$47	0x980912…
08-13 14:45:10	btc updown 15m 1786633200	Down	BUY	86	52¢	$45	0xbc0242…
08-13 14:38:12	btc updown 15m 1786632300	Down	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0xfd28d9…
08-13 14:23:12	btc updown 15m 1786631400	Down	BUY	83	52¢	$43	0xaee10d…
08-13 14:14:10	btc updown 15m 1786630500	Down	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0xcd68c0…
08-13 13:40:10	btc updown 15m 1786628700	Down	BUY	83	50¢	$42	0xec2125…
08-13 13:08:12	btc updown 15m 1786626900	Down	BUY	82	51¢	$42	0xdbed5d…
08-13 11:30:09	btc updown 15m 1786621500	Up	BUY	84	52¢	$43	0xbba912…
08-13 11:23:10	btc updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0x539d1b…
08-13 09:08:09	btc updown 15m 1786612500	Up	BUY	81	53¢	$43	0x4b86ed…
08-13 08:55:10	btc updown 15m 1786611600	Up	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0xf34d27…
08-13 07:23:09	btc updown 15m 1786606200	Down	BUY	82	51¢	$42	0x6e5241…
08-13 07:10:12	btc updown 15m 1786605300	Down	BUY	81	51¢	$41	0x70c25b…
08-13 06:55:10	btc updown 15m 1786604400	Down	BUY	81	51¢	$41	0xb4fe1c…
08-13 05:15:09	btc updown 15m 1786599000	Down	BUY	83	51¢	$42	0x14e762…
08-13 05:08:10	btc updown 15m 1786598100	Down	BUY	81	53¢	$43	0xb0f828…
08-13 04:55:10	btc updown 15m 1786597200	Down	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0x4cd7f4…