Organic-Replacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

356

Trades

9,429

lifetime

Volume

$124.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-05 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776354300	3	$95	87	87	+0	open	—	04-16 15:49
btc updown 15m 1776391200	5	$94	86	86	+0	open	—	04-17 02:02
btc updown 15m 1781310600	5	$92	87	87	+0	open	—	06-13 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$92	87	87	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$90	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$90	85	85	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:14
btc updown 15m 1781282700	3	$90	85	85	-0	open	—	06-12 16:45
btc updown 15m 1781275500	9	$89	87	87	+0	open	—	06-12 14:45
btc updown 15m 1780816500	9	$89	82	82	+0	open	—	06-07 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	12	$88	82	82	+0	open	—	06-03 10:15
btc updown 15m 1781311500	6	$88	77	85	-8	open	—	06-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$88	82	82	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:29
btc updown 15m 1780793100	6	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-07 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$87	81	81	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 03:44
btc updown 15m 1780798500	2	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-07 02:15
btc updown 15m 1781284500	2	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-12 17:15
btc updown 15m 1775902500	6	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	04-11 10:16
btc updown 15m 1776055500	7	$87	80	77	+3	open	—	04-13 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 08:44
btc updown 15m 1781259300	6	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-12 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:14
btc updown 15m 1776102300	3	$87	84	81	+3	open	—	04-13 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	10	$86	82	82	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	10	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	05-04 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$86	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$86	81	81	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:44
btc updown 15m 1776132000	4	$86	78	76	+3	open	—	04-14 02:00
btc updown 15m 1780960500	16	$86	83	83	+0	open	—	06-08 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$85	79	79	+0	open	—	05-02 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$85	80	80	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xebdafe…
07-05 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xacce2e…
07-05 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x8cac8d…
07-05 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x37fa71…
07-05 23:25:17	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xf92546…
07-05 23:25:10	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe68bb9…
07-05 23:25:07	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb5631b…
07-05 23:08:08	btc updown 15m 1783293300	Down	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0xf6986c…
07-05 22:55:10	btc updown 15m 1783292400	Down	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xc92de8…
07-05 22:30:14	btc updown 15m 1783291500	Down	BUY	36	52¢	$18	0x9b72ac…
07-05 22:29:13	btc updown 15m 1783290600	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe5d341…
07-05 22:28:35	btc updown 15m 1783290600	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0a2904…
07-05 22:28:07	btc updown 15m 1783290600	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x26ab12…
07-05 22:28:05	btc updown 15m 1783290600	Down	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x1616cf…
07-05 22:12:13	btc updown 15m 1783289700	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x0b198a…
07-05 21:55:11	btc updown 15m 1783288800	Down	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xa25ddd…
07-05 21:37:10	btc updown 15m 1783287900	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5b025d…
07-05 21:22:11	btc updown 15m 1783287000	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe0425a…
07-05 21:17:40	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x8d113c…
07-05 21:17:38	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x5963c3…
07-05 21:17:34	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x740ac9…
07-05 21:17:32	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xa99643…
07-05 21:17:32	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x4119e0…
07-05 21:16:13	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x820f7f…
07-05 21:16:11	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x5a77fa…
07-05 21:07:11	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x229f02…
07-05 19:14:32	btc updown 15m 1783278900	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x3d344d…
07-05 19:14:17	btc updown 15m 1783278900	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xbeadd0…
07-05 19:13:47	btc updown 15m 1783278900	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd61fe8…
07-05 19:13:07	btc updown 15m 1783278900	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x3d078b…
07-05 18:52:10	btc updown 15m 1783278000	Down	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x8d2b41…
07-05 17:54:59	btc updown 15m 1783274400	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x79ee1a…
07-05 17:53:08	btc updown 15m 1783274400	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xb73ec9…
07-05 16:29:37	btc updown 15m 1783269000	Up	SELL	38	54¢	$20	0x671a8d…
07-05 16:27:10	btc updown 15m 1783269000	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xfdb442…
07-05 15:43:10	btc updown 15m 1783266300	Up	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xd57e85…
07-05 15:14:10	btc updown 15m 1783264500	Down	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0xc2baaa…
07-05 15:11:35	btc updown 15m 1783264500	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x2ef54d…
07-05 15:11:02	btc updown 15m 1783264500	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x67709d…
07-05 15:10:56	btc updown 15m 1783264500	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf604a2…
07-05 15:10:17	btc updown 15m 1783264500	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdf373c…
07-05 15:08:08	btc updown 15m 1783264500	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7d65d1…
07-05 14:00:14	btc updown 15m 1783260000	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$10	0xf96a38…
07-05 14:00:13	btc updown 15m 1783260000	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x0160a8…
07-05 14:00:07	btc updown 15m 1783260000	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xaf5856…
07-05 13:59:40	btc updown 15m 1783260000	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x02ec77…
07-05 13:59:20	btc updown 15m 1783260000	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x9a8731…
07-05 13:55:10	btc updown 15m 1783260000	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xcc4075…
07-05 13:15:14	btc updown 15m 1783257300	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc440ee…
07-05 13:15:14	btc updown 15m 1783257300	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x5be1ae…
07-05 13:15:14	btc updown 15m 1783257300	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x515635…
07-05 13:15:11	btc updown 15m 1783257300	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xfa07ca…
07-05 13:15:10	btc updown 15m 1783257300	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x103878…
07-05 13:15:05	btc updown 15m 1783257300	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xf429f7…
07-05 13:10:11	btc updown 15m 1783257300	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x877740…
07-05 12:15:11	btc updown 15m 1783253700	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x8610be…
07-05 12:15:11	btc updown 15m 1783253700	Up	SELL	31	53¢	$17	0x7177d3…
07-05 12:10:10	btc updown 15m 1783253700	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x595478…
07-05 11:30:05	btc updown 15m 1783251000	Up	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0xf38591…
07-05 11:25:11	btc updown 15m 1783251000	Up	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x7f03b6…
07-05 10:00:05	btc updown 15m 1783245600	Up	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x52d476…
07-05 09:56:40	btc updown 15m 1783245600	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xe5d449…
07-05 09:55:28	btc updown 15m 1783245600	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe350c9…
07-05 09:38:08	btc updown 15m 1783244700	Up	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xabac75…
07-05 09:22:11	btc updown 15m 1783243800	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x407781…
07-05 07:52:11	btc updown 15m 1783238400	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbf1aaa…
07-05 07:38:08	btc updown 15m 1783237500	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xc8ee82…
07-05 06:15:26	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0xfffb04…
07-05 06:15:26	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xe12d5f…
07-05 06:15:26	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x01f4c6…
07-05 06:15:25	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x25955e…
07-05 06:15:25	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x05a8c7…
07-05 06:10:10	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x304d32…
07-05 04:44:46	btc updown 15m 1783226700	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x1bdc1b…
07-05 04:44:35	btc updown 15m 1783226700	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x1efe01…
07-05 04:44:10	btc updown 15m 1783226700	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x860de1…
07-05 04:44:10	btc updown 15m 1783226700	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x04c12c…
07-05 04:42:10	btc updown 15m 1783226700	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xaf1fbc…
07-05 04:25:11	btc updown 15m 1783225800	Down	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x6ba48f…
07-05 03:30:19	btc updown 15m 1783222200	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x0c413e…
07-05 03:30:19	btc updown 15m 1783222200	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x03d613…
07-05 03:30:11	btc updown 15m 1783222200	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xbd183f…
07-05 03:30:05	btc updown 15m 1783222200	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x215264…
07-05 03:30:05	btc updown 15m 1783222200	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x040127…
07-05 03:23:08	btc updown 15m 1783222200	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0065d8…
07-05 02:59:08	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Up	SELL	39	53¢	$21	0x078da8…
07-05 02:56:31	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xba8e95…
07-05 02:54:07	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x48fefd…
07-05 02:53:08	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7354b1…
07-05 02:23:01	btc updown 15m 1783218600	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfd9309…
07-05 02:10:10	btc updown 15m 1783217700	Up	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x528e84…
07-05 01:44:10	btc updown 15m 1783215900	Up	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0xd1e15e…
07-05 01:38:08	btc updown 15m 1783215900	Up	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x439927…
07-05 01:22:10	btc updown 15m 1783215000	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x6baa37…
07-05 00:57:10	btc updown 15m 1783213200	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3a578e…
07-04 22:25:10	btc updown 15m 1783204200	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x705930…
07-04 22:15:01	btc updown 15m 1783203300	Up	SELL	39	54¢	$21	0x557c7e…
07-04 22:12:10	btc updown 15m 1783203300	Up	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x8d032b…
07-04 21:23:08	btc updown 15m 1783200600	Down	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x63f61c…
07-04 21:01:04	btc updown 15m 1783198800	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xd8da67…