Organic-Replacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

356

Trades

7,492

lifetime

Volume

$101.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-13 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776354300	3	$95	87	87	+0	open	—	04-16 15:49
btc updown 15m 1776391200	5	$94	86	86	+0	open	—	04-17 02:02
btc updown 15m 1781310600	5	$92	87	87	+0	open	—	06-13 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$92	87	87	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$90	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$90	85	85	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:14
btc updown 15m 1781282700	3	$90	85	85	-0	open	—	06-12 16:45
btc updown 15m 1781275500	9	$89	87	87	+0	open	—	06-12 14:45
btc updown 15m 1780816500	9	$89	82	82	+0	open	—	06-07 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	12	$88	82	82	+0	open	—	06-03 10:15
btc updown 15m 1781311500	6	$88	77	85	-8	open	—	06-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$88	82	82	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:29
btc updown 15m 1780793100	6	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-07 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$87	81	81	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 03:44
btc updown 15m 1780798500	2	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-07 02:15
btc updown 15m 1781284500	2	$87	83	83	+0	open	—	06-12 17:15
btc updown 15m 1775902500	6	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	04-11 10:16
btc updown 15m 1776055500	7	$87	80	77	+3	open	—	04-13 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 08:44
btc updown 15m 1781259300	6	$87	81	81	+0	open	—	06-12 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	7	$87	82	82	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:14
btc updown 15m 1776102300	3	$87	84	81	+3	open	—	04-13 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	10	$86	82	82	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	10	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	05-04 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$86	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$86	81	81	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:44
btc updown 15m 1776132000	4	$86	78	76	+3	open	—	04-14 02:00
btc updown 15m 1780960500	16	$86	83	83	+0	open	—	06-08 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$85	79	79	+0	open	—	05-02 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$85	80	80	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 02:59:15	btc updown 15m 1781406000	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$10	0x6dedfe…
06-14 02:58:37	btc updown 15m 1781406000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf2aef7…
06-14 02:58:37	btc updown 15m 1781406000	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xdb55f5…
06-14 01:15:18	btc updown 15m 1781399700	Down	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xd103c9…
06-14 01:15:18	btc updown 15m 1781399700	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$19	0x6c450d…
06-13 22:27:42	btc updown 15m 1781389800	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x4e5af2…
06-13 22:26:55	btc updown 15m 1781389800	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x619ecc…
06-13 21:58:07	btc updown 15m 1781388000	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xb500ee…
06-13 21:58:07	btc updown 15m 1781388000	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x0ce000…
06-13 21:56:37	btc updown 15m 1781388000	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0x0751b8…
06-13 21:44:10	btc updown 15m 1781387100	Down	BUY	69	56¢	$38	0x7f8c03…
06-13 20:03:42	btc updown 15m 1781380800	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe7aafc…
06-13 20:03:42	btc updown 15m 1781380800	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaeafa5…
06-13 19:43:24	btc updown 15m 1781379900	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x54dcbd…
06-13 19:41:19	btc updown 15m 1781379900	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xcd3c33…
06-13 19:40:51	btc updown 15m 1781379900	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe66c06…
06-13 19:38:09	btc updown 15m 1781379900	Down	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x236e8b…
06-13 18:44:16	btc updown 15m 1781376300	Down	SELL	48	54¢	$26	0x6c8ebb…
06-13 18:38:51	btc updown 15m 1781376300	Down	BUY	48	53¢	$26	0x3d179e…
06-13 17:59:09	btc updown 15m 1781373600	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x79a1ef…
06-13 17:58:46	btc updown 15m 1781373600	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7e2c1a…
06-13 17:57:13	btc updown 15m 1781373600	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb03b3c…
06-13 16:52:13	btc updown 15m 1781370000	Up	BUY	77	50¢	$39	0xea54ae…
06-13 16:45:40	btc updown 15m 1781369100	Up	SELL	60	52¢	$31	0xfa206e…
06-13 16:45:40	btc updown 15m 1781369100	Up	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x3f1dfb…
06-13 16:40:30	btc updown 15m 1781369100	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8216e8…
06-13 16:39:00	btc updown 15m 1781369100	Up	BUY	73	52¢	$38	0xed1fbc…
06-13 16:13:10	btc updown 15m 1781367300	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x28cd0d…
06-13 16:13:06	btc updown 15m 1781367300	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x4a240e…
06-13 16:13:06	btc updown 15m 1781367300	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x439e96…
06-13 15:43:39	btc updown 15m 1781365500	Down	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x7e240b…
06-13 15:43:33	btc updown 15m 1781365500	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6c8409…
06-13 15:28:31	btc updown 15m 1781364600	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x4fdd63…
06-13 15:28:10	btc updown 15m 1781364600	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xe0875f…
06-13 15:27:55	btc updown 15m 1781364600	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x9d04c4…
06-13 15:14:15	btc updown 15m 1781363700	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x6cb2d6…
06-13 15:14:10	btc updown 15m 1781363700	Down	BUY	56	57¢	$32	0xc8f9f2…
06-13 14:53:06	btc updown 15m 1781362800	Down	BUY	64	52¢	$34	0x5b1ed3…
06-13 13:43:21	btc updown 15m 1781358300	Down	BUY	77	54¢	$41	0x05ad4b…
06-13 13:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781355600	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9bb341…
06-13 13:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781355600	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x707c6e…
06-13 13:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781355600	Down	BUY	47	54¢	$26	0x688b17…
06-13 13:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781355600	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x66f6c5…
06-13 13:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781355600	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x64ce05…
06-13 12:45:21	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x9d90c7…
06-13 12:45:21	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x330fe9…
06-13 12:45:19	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf5fa7d…
06-13 12:45:19	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb34e83…
06-13 12:42:25	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2319e8…
06-13 12:42:12	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x72a639…
06-13 12:40:49	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x84cd56…
06-13 12:40:10	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x2fd14a…
06-13 12:38:54	btc updown 15m 1781354700	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x097b19…
06-13 12:00:12	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xf0771e…
06-13 12:00:10	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xb4bb39…
06-13 12:00:10	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x224a9e…
06-13 12:00:09	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x49c567…
06-13 12:00:07	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7020c0…
06-13 12:00:07	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0463a1…
06-13 11:59:31	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf772c2…
06-13 11:59:16	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x42ae1d…
06-13 11:59:12	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x06d50d…
06-13 11:29:12	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x7aceac…
06-13 11:22:12	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Down	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xcb19d8…
06-13 11:15:13	btc updown 15m 1781349300	Down	BUY	79	54¢	$43	0x92f236…
06-13 08:42:37	btc updown 15m 1781340300	Down	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0xc12418…
06-13 08:42:06	btc updown 15m 1781340300	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xcc699d…
06-13 08:42:03	btc updown 15m 1781340300	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xce4cbb…
06-13 08:42:03	btc updown 15m 1781340300	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4a7419…
06-13 07:40:09	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xdad775…
06-13 07:40:09	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x84cc7a…
06-13 07:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8e35bd…
06-13 07:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x806c21…
06-13 07:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x6d8be8…
06-13 07:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2daec7…
06-13 07:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x0d060b…
06-13 07:38:09	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3c8e27…
06-13 07:25:09	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xff086a…
06-13 07:25:09	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x364566…
06-13 07:25:09	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x2e7edd…
06-13 07:25:09	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x17a9cf…
06-13 07:25:09	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x04b8cc…
06-13 07:25:07	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8524ff…
06-13 07:25:07	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x67d148…
06-13 07:25:07	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x123d6f…
06-13 07:19:43	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd37cbe…
06-13 07:19:43	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd2391c…
06-13 07:19:43	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x72a908…
06-13 07:19:43	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5a0714…
06-13 07:19:42	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x3beb03…
06-13 07:15:25	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x292c05…
06-13 06:41:00	btc updown 15m 1781333100	Down	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x452bba…
06-13 06:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781333100	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf41059…
06-13 06:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781333100	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8f6ec8…
06-13 06:40:07	btc updown 15m 1781333100	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x10c1b4…
06-13 06:38:10	btc updown 15m 1781333100	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xadd3a2…
06-13 06:27:12	btc updown 15m 1781332200	Down	BUY	85	54¢	$46	0x784b43…
06-13 03:31:16	btc updown 15m 1781321400	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x9b8db0…
06-13 03:31:15	btc updown 15m 1781321400	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xd1eaa2…
06-13 03:31:15	btc updown 15m 1781321400	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x6db92f…