Harsh-Downforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$326

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-19 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 100% +$0

Other

23% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-11 15:00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	$-0	07-19 14:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	5	$18	14	4	+10	open	—	05-22 17:00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	5	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	06-17 12:51
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	02-24 07:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	3	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-11 18:00
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	3	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-16 03:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	3	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	06-02 17:00
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	3	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 11:00
bitcoin above 72k on february 22	3	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-22 07:00
bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	3	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	06-05 13:00
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	3	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-04 12:00
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	3	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-23 12:00
bitcoin above 56k on march 6	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-04 18:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-03 16:00
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	3	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 03:00
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-17 17:00
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-06 14:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-07 11:00
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-16 13:00
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-21 09:00
ethereum above 2100 on february 23	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	02-23 06:00
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-27 12:00
ethereum above 1600 on march 5	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-04 18:00
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-06 05:00
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-09 06:00
ethereum above 1600 on march 7	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-06 14:00
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-09 06:00
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 09:00
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-24 08:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-22 17:00
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-21 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 14:00:24	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x60919d…
06-17 12:51:07	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1ef2ae…
06-14 12:00:22	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21b09d…
06-14 12:00:10	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1f6170…
06-12 12:54:01	bitcoin above 70k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cca4d…
06-11 15:00:15	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3004fe…
06-10 17:00:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77f68a…
06-10 17:00:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x186448…
06-08 11:00:21	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9eb786…
06-05 14:00:15	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe0d15…
06-05 13:00:34	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd5ce3…
06-05 13:00:34	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf2b55…
06-05 13:00:33	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65fc05…
06-02 17:00:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb8eb63…
06-02 17:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x95ffa1…
06-02 17:00:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb83e6d…
05-27 17:00:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x112d0b…
05-24 06:00:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x74ba5a…
05-22 17:00:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf64e75…
05-22 17:00:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x34ab20…
05-22 17:00:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x087c86…
05-22 17:00:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b2671…
05-22 17:00:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b2b0c…
05-21 14:11:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2ff416…
05-19 12:00:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8c3a53…
05-16 17:00:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82d82d…
05-15 10:00:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x31a6d3…
05-15 10:00:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2ecd3…
05-11 18:00:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x572130…
05-11 18:00:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa631ee…
05-11 18:00:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x066b0f…
05-10 13:49:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6911d2…
04-21 09:00:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d290a…
04-21 09:00:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7b2433…
04-21 09:00:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5a5158…
04-21 09:00:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb877f0…
04-21 09:00:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3fa248…
04-16 13:00:30	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf64c10…
04-16 13:00:22	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4238e4…
04-16 13:00:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9dcb2d…
04-16 13:00:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x522869…
04-12 13:00:11	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0753bd…
04-11 07:00:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xe624ce…
04-11 07:00:11	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8645ce…
04-08 09:00:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x030d02…
04-07 11:00:45	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcec36d…
04-07 11:00:37	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4cc13b…
04-07 11:00:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12f70a…
04-06 05:00:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b9512…
04-06 05:00:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25bd82…
04-06 05:00:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6940b3…
04-04 12:00:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17c13e…
04-04 12:00:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15b78a…
04-04 12:00:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d8a47…
04-03 16:00:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4f7ef8…
04-03 16:00:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x52437f…
04-01 09:00:19	will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 1	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd791b3…
04-01 09:00:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb4b884…
03-27 12:00:13	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c2132…
03-27 12:00:13	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x840f48…
03-24 09:00:09	will the price of ethereum be less than 1900 on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc4aff…
03-23 12:00:27	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf39138…
03-23 12:00:19	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfa1185…
03-23 12:00:11	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3a4fce…
03-23 11:00:35	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9fd8dd…
03-23 11:00:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1a0587…
03-23 11:00:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbbb199…
03-17 17:00:27	bitcoin above 66k on march 18	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a352f…
03-17 17:00:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2279ae…
03-17 17:00:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd85e1f…
03-16 03:00:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6cf8cd…
03-16 03:00:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x311b46…
03-16 03:00:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdf7f41…
03-16 03:00:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x15a715…
03-16 03:00:13	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x30d090…
03-16 03:00:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1a9c56…
03-09 06:00:27	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x233aea…
03-09 06:00:19	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb9fd1e…
03-09 06:00:11	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x736cc6…
03-06 14:00:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12a9f8…
03-06 14:00:31	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5d2b17…
03-06 14:00:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfaaa1e…
03-06 14:00:21	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58225d…
03-04 18:00:23	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4a85b6…
03-04 18:00:21	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ce4f6…
03-04 18:00:15	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb19121…
03-04 18:00:11	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x869356…
02-25 16:00:22	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe7ce39…
02-25 16:00:14	ethereum above 1400 on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9a9908…
02-24 08:00:18	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x922797…
02-24 07:56:40	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1d9825…
02-24 07:00:14	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x401f02…
02-24 07:00:10	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1cd9a8…
02-23 06:00:18	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xebc23f…
02-23 06:00:12	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xabcf86…
02-23 06:00:10	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x76c9b0…
02-22 07:00:16	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c1f03…
02-22 07:00:12	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xccb28a…
02-22 07:00:10	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe44450…
02-21 04:00:12	bitcoin above 72k on february 21	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6f5cdd…