Severe-Ballot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$9	19	+19	Up	+$4	05-06 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$7	13	+13	Down	+$0	05-06 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-10 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-07 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-06 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	+$4	05-06 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	7	+7	Down	+$5	05-07 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 18:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x56a2ee…
05-07 01:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb233dc…
05-07 00:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xb2033b…
05-06 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x1628b6…
05-06 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x9d1447…
05-06 18:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb2d92f…
05-06 18:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x01d147…
05-06 18:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x545838…
05-06 18:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x928ca4…
05-06 17:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdd3327…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$2.74K	79	05-10 18:31
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	7	$1.15K	43	05-10 18:31
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	6	$991	91	05-07 01:08
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$849	27	05-10 18:31
Impossible-Bolt 0xc905…b394	5	$781	10	05-07 01:08