Focused-Fat-Antling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

108

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-17 04:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

72% 65% -$2,741

Other

28% 32% +$73

Sports

1% 25% -$18

Crypto

0% 33% +$3

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$4.3K	2,772	2,772	+0	No	+$235	10-17 04:33
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	7	$3.6K	4,484	4,484	+0	open	—	10-17 04:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	6	$2.9K	4,300	159	+4,141	Yes	-$2,632	06-14 21:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.4K	867	867	+0	No	+$267	05-31 17:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	7	$1.3K	2,692	2,692	+0	open	—	06-09 04:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$1.3K	830	830	+0	No	+$129	05-26 09:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	8	$1.1K	1,271	1,271	+0	Yes	+$3	06-06 00:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.1K	812	812	+0	Yes	-$269	06-13 23:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$1.0K	1,231	1,231	+0	Yes	-$562	06-14 21:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$694	1,182	1,182	+0	open	—	10-17 04:33
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$283	222	222	+0	Yes	+$83	10-17 01:43
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$230	411	411	+0	Yes	+$33	09-30 23:59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$212	512	512	+0	open	—	10-17 04:32
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	2	$205	189	189	+0	open	—	09-13 16:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	4	$204	162	162	+0	open	—	10-17 04:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$197	197	197	+0	open	—	10-17 04:33
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?	1	$189	279	0	+279	Yes	+$90	09-04 11:05
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	2	$188	203	203	+0	No	-$12	09-29 20:05
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	2	$185	176	176	+0	open	—	09-13 15:25
wnba dal la 2026 06 05	2	$182	200	200	+0	Dallas Wings	-$2	06-06 00:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$177	209	209	+0	open	—	09-28 09:03
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	2	$171	186	186	+0	open	—	09-28 09:03
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	2	$170	316	316	+0	open	—	09-16 10:51
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)	2	$167	200	200	+0	Dallas Wings	-$7	06-06 00:41
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$159	421	421	+0	open	—	09-16 10:51
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	1	$150	172	0	+172	Yes	+$22	09-16 10:52
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	2	$147	114	114	+0	Yes	-$12	09-10 14:53
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$121	204	204	+0	No	+$1	06-14 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	3	$56	36	36	+0	Yes	+$16	06-06 10:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$50	42	42	+0	No	+$30	05-23 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 04:33:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,203	77¢	$928	0xce2bc5…
10-17 04:33:31	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	SELL	1,151	72¢	$829	0x203a40…
10-17 04:33:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,034	29¢	$300	0xcc553a…
10-17 04:33:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	197	49¢	$97	0x56574b…
10-17 04:33:10	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	152	62¢	$94	0x11612b…
10-17 04:32:59	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0x12faa2…
10-17 04:32:50	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	57	9¢	$5	0x043c04…
10-17 01:52:06	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	BUY	246	73¢	$179	0x50d0a0…
10-17 01:43:03	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	222	82¢	$183	0xb89aa6…
10-10 01:03:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf06fc3…
10-10 01:03:19	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x1622c2…
10-06 14:22:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,107	85¢	$940	0xc44fe3…
10-06 14:16:29	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	SELL	3,333	29¢	$967	0x84e350…
10-06 02:32:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xec3020…
10-06 02:30:55	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	3,333	30¢	$1,000	0x508aa4…
10-06 02:12:55	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x87dd20…
10-06 01:55:49	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x919b0e…
10-05 14:40:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,569	85¢	$1,327	0xfcbc4e…
10-04 14:07:34	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	BUY	710	70¢	$497	0xce9ea7…
10-04 14:07:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,569	64¢	$1,000	0xb8a67f…
10-02 11:32:39	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x68fc7a…
10-02 11:19:59	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x7b665d…
09-30 23:59:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	411	32¢	$132	0x9aa7e6…
09-29 20:18:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	411	24¢	$99	0x9c53e6…
09-29 20:13:05	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	481	21¢	$100	0x1a723f…
09-29 20:09:38	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	481	21¢	$100	0x16b47d…
09-29 20:05:11	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	203	43¢	$88	0x940642…
09-28 09:22:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,034	29¢	$300	0xe2a60c…
09-28 09:03:54	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	37¢	$77	0xf1302e…
09-28 09:03:44	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	38¢	$71	0x500b6b…
09-16 10:52:10	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0xa0891f…
09-16 10:51:40	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	316	22¢	$70	0x898cf8…
09-16 10:51:34	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	14¢	$59	0xcc196d…
09-13 17:04:00	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xce39ec…
09-13 16:35:07	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	56¢	$105	0x33c755…
09-13 16:21:16	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x08a7e1…
09-13 15:25:15	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	SELL	176	48¢	$85	0x1c5143…
09-10 17:16:36	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	24¢	$100	0xbcb22a…
09-10 17:11:16	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	32¢	$100	0x7b110d…
09-10 17:10:51	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x29029b…
09-10 14:53:40	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	SELL	114	59¢	$68	0xf6e800…
09-04 11:05:24	Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	279	68¢	$189	0x3479ba…
09-04 10:39:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0xb63325…
09-04 10:25:45	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x80bb9f…
09-04 10:18:54	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x9e7dfc…
09-04 10:08:07	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	BUY	114	69¢	$79	0xea2032…
07-19 16:51:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	117	41¢	$48	0xbc2610…
06-25 22:23:58	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xb51af8…
06-25 22:23:10	itf kuramoc ohwaki 2026 06 26	Yui Ohwaki	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xddcdb0…
06-25 22:22:55	itf aidanki sakagaw 2026 06 25	Hiroki Sakagawa	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbe138b…
06-25 22:22:46	atp santos almeida 2026 06 25	Paulo Dos Santos	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x427128…
06-25 22:22:31	atp kicker fernand 2026 06 22	Bruno Fernandez	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x77c2e8…
06-25 22:22:19	atp migu wild 2026 06 23	Luis Felipe Miguel	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd613fe…
06-25 22:22:07	itf vagramo suh 2026 06 25	Sophie Suh	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x829b49…
06-22 07:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x77cd23…
06-22 07:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x582d60…
06-22 07:58:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x578dba…
06-15 04:07:15	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x9998f1…
06-15 04:05:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x70feda…
06-15 04:05:42	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x99ca94…
06-15 04:05:37	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x505f69…
06-15 04:05:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x7c5659…
06-15 04:05:27	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xc5e5f5…
06-15 04:05:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x7ab2bf…
06-15 04:05:09	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x3d7fa1…
06-14 21:59:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	447	25¢	$110	0x7a5256…
06-14 21:59:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	147	30¢	$44	0xcd14bd…
06-14 21:59:12	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	204	30¢	$61	0x52cdba…
06-14 21:53:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	870	26¢	$230	0x59e1a5…
06-14 21:52:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,231	19¢	$238	0x368d51…
06-13 23:22:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	535	77¢	$410	0x26f6e3…
06-13 23:20:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	812	50¢	$406	0x336159…
06-09 04:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	786	84¢	$660	0x0177fa…
06-09 04:15:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,652	24¢	$636	0x8bf480…
06-06 10:36:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,190	25¢	$300	0xcf1e75…
06-06 10:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xca5793…
06-06 10:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xab2659…
06-06 10:28:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb9b6a9…
06-06 10:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5dfc00…
06-06 10:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc427ad…
06-06 10:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x958746…
06-06 10:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xedcf71…
06-06 10:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5a09fa…
06-06 10:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xa6d5a5…
06-06 01:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9dab6d…
06-06 01:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5d4f38…
06-06 01:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xaf917b…
06-06 01:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1f482a…
06-06 01:02:07	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Knicks	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x4a0644…
06-06 00:41:49	wnba dal la 2026 06 05	Los Angeles Sparks	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x70ce06…
06-06 00:41:25	Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)	Dallas Wings	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x3a8d69…
06-06 00:36:57	Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)	Dallas Wings	BUY	200	44¢	$87	0x50d037…
06-06 00:36:51	wnba dal la 2026 06 05	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x3bbec2…
06-06 00:17:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	635	60¢	$381	0xe57d11…
06-06 00:16:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 6pt5	Knicks	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x747ed5…
06-05 22:59:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4910a0…
06-05 22:58:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 6pt5	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3c903d…
06-05 22:40:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x609ac7…
06-05 22:39:04	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x6ac172…
06-05 16:59:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x921e84…