Shrill-Insight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

168

Trades

2,848

lifetime

Volume

$5.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-22 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-107

Other

0% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 436 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	90	$180	879	217	+662	No	$-13	05-13 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	139	$166	247	247	+0	open	—	05-18 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	18	$118	102	102	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	12	$73	83	83	+0	open	—	05-19 12:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	57	$68	75	50	+25	open	—	05-14 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	9	$63	63	63	+0	open	—	05-19 11:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	42	$61	126	49	+76	open	—	05-16 09:53
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	30	$59	83	83	+0	open	—	05-15 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	11	$58	51	39	+12	open	—	05-19 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	10	$56	226	201	+25	Down	+$2	05-08 16:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	34	$56	48	47	+0	open	—	05-16 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$53	57	57	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 16:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	29	$52	42	26	+16	open	—	05-13 15:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	28	$51	79	60	+19	open	—	05-19 15:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	44	$51	129	26	+102	open	—	05-15 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	10	$50	44	37	+7	Up	$-2	05-08 15:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	49	$49	44	44	+0	open	—	05-18 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	15	$47	42	42	+0	open	—	05-18 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	9	$45	67	44	+23	Down	$-15	05-08 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	13	$45	48	31	+17	Up	$-13	05-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$45	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	8	$40	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 12:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	16	$39	364	364	+0	open	—	05-13 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$39	36	36	+0	open	—	05-20 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	6	$38	38	38	+0	open	—	05-19 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$38	26	26	+0	open	—	05-18 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	17	$37	26	21	+4	open	—	05-19 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	14	$37	48	45	+3	Down	+$6	05-09 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$35	39	26	+13	Down	$-5	05-08 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	18	$35	143	23	+120	Down	$-0	05-12 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 23:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x698142…
05-22 20:16:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf4df50…
05-22 20:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf94cf1…
05-22 20:16:31	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x61d6e7…
05-22 20:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbe6310…
05-22 20:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd4edd4…
05-22 20:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9166c3…
05-22 20:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x06530b…
05-22 20:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7e5af6…
05-22 20:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd8ab68…
05-22 20:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x961068…
05-22 20:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c6a44…
05-22 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x662a83…
05-22 20:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe3d790…
05-22 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x748961…
05-22 20:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa584f0…
05-22 20:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf6406f…
05-22 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x127c7c…
05-22 20:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf4a42…
05-22 20:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7d622c…
05-22 20:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x18b928…
05-22 20:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x243249…
05-22 20:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7d522f…
05-22 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc9103…
05-22 20:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13dd42…
05-22 20:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5466c0…
05-22 20:10:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6b6829…
05-22 20:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaf57a7…
05-22 20:06:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e9500…
05-22 20:06:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x45d438…
05-22 20:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb7da13…
05-22 20:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1aeb52…
05-22 20:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x753d64…
05-22 20:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7741b4…
05-22 20:06:24	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x20d590…
05-22 20:06:19	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x67fbd1…
05-22 20:06:17	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2d06c5…
05-22 20:05:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3c62c1…
05-22 20:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0389aa…
05-22 20:05:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdf7f09…
05-22 20:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x825a8a…
05-22 20:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x480285…
05-22 20:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2460be…
05-22 20:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9394ed…
05-22 20:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x23ad14…
05-22 20:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x657c2d…
05-22 20:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcbab8b…
05-22 20:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf32ee3…
05-22 20:03:29	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb2c2dd…
05-22 20:03:15	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2d01b8…
05-22 17:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x26e466…
05-22 17:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4d25f8…
05-22 17:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x626760…
05-22 17:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbfc4b3…
05-22 16:55:44	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7b9c4e…
05-22 16:51:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xae0d66…
05-22 16:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8b9cd4…
05-22 16:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x883c82…
05-22 16:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x241a2c…
05-22 16:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x962dfb…
05-22 16:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6cdc87…
05-22 16:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5ece18…
05-22 16:51:01	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2eea5f…
05-22 16:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x804770…
05-22 16:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0fcc47…
05-22 16:50:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1a228a…
05-22 16:50:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe590c8…
05-22 16:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9bf069…
05-22 16:50:50	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x98afeb…
05-22 16:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9446c4…
05-22 16:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xafb116…
05-22 16:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59e067…
05-22 16:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff7921…
05-22 16:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaf1c92…
05-22 16:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9b5547…
05-22 16:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x007248…
05-22 16:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc34c7b…
05-22 16:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x254a2f…
05-22 16:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x090049…
05-22 16:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x693dea…
05-22 16:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x75b5aa…
05-22 16:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x45f466…
05-22 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6b94cd…
05-22 16:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4984fd…
05-22 16:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x961978…
05-22 16:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdbf126…
05-22 16:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5e34ef…
05-22 16:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd36eb7…
05-22 16:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe64455…
05-22 16:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaf6446…
05-22 16:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x676b06…
05-22 16:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd2737a…
05-22 16:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf09738…
05-22 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5ad246…
05-22 16:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc50bb2…
05-22 16:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbcf6f2…
05-22 13:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xa1ae21…
05-22 13:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x329c5d…
05-22 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3c414d…
05-22 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a5ebb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	359	$324.5K	12,727	06-01 05:55
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	323	$131.9K	9,875	05-22 23:07
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	320	$28.0K	3,596	05-22 23:02
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	318	$20.2K	3,163	05-22 23:02
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	317	$168.7K	22,916	05-22 23:08
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	311	$38.2K	2,906	05-22 23:10
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	302	$78.3K	12,552	05-22 23:08
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	294	$12.4K	1,908	05-22 20:29