Far-Off-Poor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$752

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,950

lifetime

Volume

$75.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$430

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-21 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$742

Other

28% — —

Sports

1% 67% +$10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+754	$452	57¢	$430	$-22	07-20 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$11.0K	5,829	5,829	+0	open	—	03-01 07:14
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	81	$4.9K	4,122	2,440	+1,681	open	—	03-22 19:15
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	107	$4.7K	3,116	2,559	+557	open	—	03-22 19:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	23	$4.6K	3,624	2,395	+1,229	open	—	03-05 16:13
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	42	$4.1K	2,607	3,005	-398	open	—	03-06 05:14
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$4.1K	2,081	2,081	+0	open	—	03-01 07:54
nothing ever happens khamenei	37	$3.6K	2,148	2,048	+100	open	—	02-28 22:35
will uae strike iran by march 31	37	$3.5K	5,600	3,071	+2,529	open	—	03-03 12:25
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	30	$3.4K	1,982	1,982	+0	open	—	03-06 18:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	39	$2.0K	1,546	1,610	-64	open	—	03-04 12:16
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	39	$1.9K	1,775	1,823	-48	open	—	03-06 19:17
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	16	$1.7K	1,089	783	+306	open	—	03-28 02:35
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	28	$1.4K	1,062	1,258	-196	open	—	03-25 08:45
will uk strike iran by march 31	54	$1.4K	3,998	4,647	-649	open	—	03-02 19:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	57	$1.3K	40,329	8,235	+32,095	open	—	04-08 01:28
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	152	$1.2K	33,484	18,365	+15,119	open	—	02-07 01:36
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	43	$1.1K	2,931	2,885	+45	open	—	02-06 01:56
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	25	$996	740	786	-46	open	—	03-05 18:03
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	18	$878	1,504	500	+1,004	open	—	02-28 08:11
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	12	$867	1,384	1,384	+0	open	—	03-06 02:46
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	26	$722	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	03-27 14:22
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	54	$695	1,214	1,207	+7	open	—	01-22 14:16
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	42	$625	7,246	7,998	-752	open	—	02-09 17:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	21	$614	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	02-28 23:38
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	87	$588	7,185	6,924	+261	open	—	02-06 20:42
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	8	$586	480	390	+90	open	—	07-11 23:32
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	134	$541	8,992	9,297	-305	open	—	01-31 01:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$526	3,404	2,802	+602	Yes	+$592	04-07 22:10
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	20	$509	658	246	+412	open	—	04-26 08:07
will israel strike gaza on january 13 2026	8	$484	157	596	-439	open	—	01-13 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 10:22:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x4a908b…
07-20 20:55:12	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x21dae5…
07-20 20:54:37	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	63¢	$169	0x02d6e8…
07-20 20:51:09	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$99	0x1535a8…
07-18 03:43:27	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xcf8a0f…
07-18 03:40:16	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	56¢	$115	0x4be41a…
07-17 09:24:25	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0a9e0a…
07-17 02:48:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0xd319dc…
07-15 09:17:46	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xe34d7a…
07-15 09:17:46	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xbe16be…
07-15 09:17:37	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	79	58¢	$46	0x434db8…
07-15 09:17:35	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x5a6dca…
07-15 09:17:28	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc95cfd…
07-15 09:17:26	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xac1568…
07-15 09:17:26	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8fd162…
07-15 09:17:26	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x19edc4…
07-13 21:44:13	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x210939…
07-13 14:16:29	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	232	39¢	$91	0x5a055f…
07-13 02:08:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	413	45¢	$186	0xce4993…
07-11 23:47:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	SELL	167	27¢	$45	0x2a4255…
07-11 23:32:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0xbb7187…
07-11 22:08:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	SELL	120	68¢	$81	0xb1c8c5…
07-11 21:38:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xe65f91…
07-11 21:31:35	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xf535c3…
07-11 21:25:50	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x0667c6…
07-11 21:22:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x48d46c…
07-11 21:12:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x368b0a…
07-08 07:08:59	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x56cbb8…
07-07 23:18:37	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	98	53¢	$52	0xbf0eba…
07-07 23:12:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x8b0199…
07-05 09:15:28	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	112	55¢	$61	0x0ff507…
07-05 08:46:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc34324…
06-17 14:37:26	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2e793c…
06-17 07:16:01	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x1a03a1…
06-15 03:21:45	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xa87d81…
06-11 07:47:39	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x275762…
06-11 04:26:49	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xf318d8…
06-11 02:00:39	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x211ce3…
06-09 16:38:37	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260609011545514	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xc9679d…
06-09 16:38:33	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260609011545514	Yes	BUY	74	70¢	$52	0xc241a5…
06-09 04:15:42	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x26c820…
06-04 20:34:43	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec26ee…
06-04 17:16:24	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe018bc…
06-04 17:16:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x992ca3…
06-04 17:16:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5efafa…
06-04 17:16:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4b6f74…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf15acf…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xeb93e8…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcccb86…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb12d78…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xadbec6…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9d1cb2…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x830314…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x293333…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x0857e5…
06-04 17:16:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xabb21e…
06-04 17:16:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6a2495…
06-04 01:52:43	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc734d1…
06-03 23:31:40	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd22309…
06-03 23:31:22	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x827481…
06-03 23:31:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x226550…
06-03 22:18:48	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x632b7c…
06-03 22:18:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfb7434…
06-03 22:17:42	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x80e907…
06-03 22:00:42	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x83618a…
06-03 20:55:28	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x71ab31…
06-03 04:02:51	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x3e27a0…
06-03 04:02:50	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x518e13…
06-03 04:02:20	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xd0927d…
06-03 03:37:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xaf67f1…
06-03 01:14:44	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe58bf5…
06-03 01:14:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0x9d4027…
06-02 20:45:27	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x7bb868…
06-02 18:37:08	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8a433b…
06-02 18:36:47	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa1ef87…
06-01 23:34:34	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xc55ef8…
06-01 23:34:08	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xf1a0f1…
06-01 23:23:50	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x10d753…
06-01 23:23:34	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x653d52…
06-01 22:47:12	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$72	0x2d3ef4…
06-01 22:37:08	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x76e99a…
06-01 20:58:05	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x302574…
06-01 20:10:57	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x8798d9…
06-01 17:28:59	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x6706f0…
06-01 17:13:16	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xad240c…
06-01 06:06:19	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xda4756…
06-01 01:01:56	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xbf1d8e…
05-31 18:57:16	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xbd7dad…
05-31 14:42:07	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc5460b…
05-31 10:12:14	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x182e6f…
05-31 07:29:38	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x645870…
05-31 07:04:05	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Chandler	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x54633e…
05-31 06:59:44	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Chandler	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xbdfd13…
05-30 20:30:17	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x368192…
05-30 18:52:26	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Chandler	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x6c3ca3…
05-30 17:59:33	UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd15dc9…
05-30 17:53:33	UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xf8b5fb…
05-30 17:24:30	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Chandler	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0xa2fc57…
05-30 17:24:17	UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x68a193…
05-30 16:27:11	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Chandler	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x48e96e…