Deficient-Artichoke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$289

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-11 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

79% 72% +$14

Sports

15% 67% +$3

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	93¢	$10	$0	09-16 02:19
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+6	$5	78¢	$5	$0	10-06 22:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+22	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	05-07 21:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	09-09 02:21
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	05-10 03:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	09-03 19:57
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	09-16 02:19
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	14	0	+14	Spurs	+$4	05-19 02:43
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-05 21:30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	07-19 21:17
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 btts	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	06-26 00:20
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$6	15	0	+15	Spain	-$6	07-19 21:36
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-14 21:25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	04-28 20:31
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	09-16 02:22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	1	$5	8	0	+8	Club Atlético de Madrid	+$3	05-05 16:44
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-06 22:55
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)	2	$4	2	2	+0	CF América	+$0	05-11 02:44
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$4	6	0	+6	England	+$2	07-01 17:09
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$4	7	0	+7	England	+$3	07-11 21:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	06-03 18:48
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	05-05 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	05-06 14:13
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	06-11 18:08
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$3	5	0	+5	Spain	-$3	07-14 18:26
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-16 20:14
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$3	4	0	+4	Argentina	+$1	07-11 23:40
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	1	$3	4	0	+4	Jannik Sinner	+$1	07-12 17:52
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-02?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	09-02 17:13
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$3	4	0	+4	United States	+$1	07-02 00:38
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$3	4	0	+4	Over	+$1	06-14 17:00
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)	1	$3	3	0	+3	Argentina	+$0	10-06 22:53
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$3	3	0	+3	Over	-$3	06-16 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 20:09:01	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe25221…
10-06 22:55:03	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5ea11b…
10-06 22:53:33	Spread: Argentina (-2.5)	Argentina	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xcdcd3b…
09-16 02:22:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x06e64c…
09-16 02:22:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x67c257…
09-16 02:20:16	Will NEC win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2c9d03…
09-16 02:19:40	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3fb6b8…
09-14 18:14:45	Steelers vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x142f6d…
09-13 19:18:13	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x09f380…
09-13 19:17:31	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x657248…
09-09 02:21:52	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbb78d0…
09-09 02:16:33	US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro	Jessica Pegula	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc75a04…
09-08 01:28:34	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2054a6…
09-07 01:04:01	Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)	Patriots	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaeb4c1…
09-06 19:32:39	Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-06?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd64acc…
09-04 04:20:34	mlb stl lad 2026 09 03 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf688cc…
09-04 03:43:51	atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	Alexander Zverev	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9ad4a5…
09-03 19:57:51	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-03?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x929f4e…
09-03 19:57:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xbd05ec…
09-02 17:13:27	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x476a73…
08-31 02:02:10	atp navone djokovi 2026 08 30	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x162168…
08-23 16:34:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x899f3d…
08-23 16:27:16	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xeca98a…
08-12 16:35:49	Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-13?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5b3ff6…
07-19 21:36:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa2cddc…
07-19 21:35:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x3ff520…
07-19 21:17:28	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xca1206…
07-19 19:08:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7c6a92…
07-19 19:07:37	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc29a1f…
07-19 15:13:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x53471e…
07-18 22:32:18	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x505752…
07-17 21:43:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x345a9b…
07-17 21:43:39	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xaa1189…
07-15 19:22:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2fe22f…
07-15 19:22:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x78c243…
07-14 18:26:17	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd03531…
07-12 17:52:11	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x1f4910…
07-11 23:41:55	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x963fd4…
07-11 23:40:28	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x24244f…
07-11 21:41:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb7b2a8…
07-11 20:58:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9a147f…
07-11 20:58:17	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xe16040…
07-09 17:52:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x152b35…
07-07 17:18:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x86b651…
07-03 22:11:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbe2349…
07-02 00:38:17	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xf39e00…
07-01 17:09:34	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd5b31d…
06-29 20:05:31	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc63763…
06-26 20:58:02	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5cd1d4…
06-26 00:20:47	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x92b671…
06-25 19:54:53	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x94d3a2…
06-25 19:54:23	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x128e77…
06-24 20:06:02	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc03c3d…
06-24 20:02:05	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2ed222…
06-23 01:09:19	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf4b372…
06-23 00:25:38	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc5ccb5…
06-20 20:35:04	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe18211…
06-20 17:00:20	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd0e70c…
06-18 02:10:34	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 2pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa1b79d…
06-18 02:09:52	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x378895…
06-16 20:20:35	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x848fef…
06-16 20:14:58	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3b49b4…
06-16 18:59:53	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe33dfc…
06-16 18:59:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9795f3…
06-16 18:59:25	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf9c875…
06-15 19:06:25	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x932d68…
06-15 17:12:07	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb7ae10…
06-15 00:12:46	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7315e3…
06-14 21:25:51	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x5aa85d…
06-14 20:02:07	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x74b33c…
06-14 17:00:30	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x191279…
06-13 22:27:34	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x72159a…
06-11 18:08:48	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa00d9d…
06-11 18:08:39	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe508da…
06-10 01:35:33	Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfa0370…
06-07 17:05:27	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x64ab5e…
06-03 18:48:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xed973c…
06-03 18:45:28	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x9246f3…
06-03 18:45:06	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xde9822…
05-30 15:00:30	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf061ca…
05-30 14:54:54	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xabe8d5…
05-28 19:29:37	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc59466…
05-26 03:58:01	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x51d432…
05-26 03:57:12	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xec391a…
05-26 03:51:29	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3ae825…
05-22 13:59:15	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc9a7e6…
05-21 01:49:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1f5839…
05-19 02:43:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xeb2b6a…
05-15 02:48:58	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7dc9f0…
05-13 01:20:51	Spread: Spurs (-14.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9c21e5…
05-13 01:14:31	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3a7fda…
05-12 20:11:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xec369b…
05-12 20:10:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9d7c6b…
05-12 20:07:45	Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x6f1054…
05-11 02:44:05	Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)	CF América	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x4a0033…
05-11 01:56:22	Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)	CF América	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x866b35…
05-10 05:18:48	Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)	Atlas FC	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x40ac2d…
05-10 03:41:51	Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)	Atlas FC	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x90a092…
05-10 03:32:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x588bfb…
05-10 03:17:51	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa2b2fa…