Bustling-Chivalry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

426

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-23 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Politics

37% — —

Crypto

23% 0% $-1

Tech

1% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	46	$1.1K	7,782	7,672	+110	open	—	01-22 09:43
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	16	$1.1K	2,120	1,808	+312	open	—	01-15 01:30
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	12	$398	368	368	+0	open	—	01-03 23:13
will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	5	$127	78	51	+27	open	—	01-30 10:13
maduro mugshot released by monday	2	$81	102	102	+0	open	—	01-05 12:19
iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	3	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-01 01:19
btc updown 15m 1770995700	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	02-13 15:28
btc updown 15m 1770117300	2	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	02-03 11:23
btc updown 15m 1770369300	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	02-06 09:24
will donald trump say cuba during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 831	2	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	01-03 18:53
btc updown 15m 1770186600	4	$33	36	5	+32	open	—	02-04 06:42
btc updown 15m 1770144300	3	$29	37	0	+37	open	—	02-03 18:51
btc updown 15m 1770114600	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	02-03 10:40
will russia enter toretske by january 31	1	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	01-29 19:39
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$26	64	0	+64	open	—	01-15 01:43
btc updown 5m 1772894100	4	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	03-07 14:39
btc updown 15m 1770142500	4	$24	48	14	+34	open	—	02-03 18:29
btc updown 15m 1770153300	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	02-03 21:24
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 11:31
btc updown 5m 1771069800	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-14 11:51
btc updown 15m 1770195600	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-04 09:08
btc updown 15m 1770183900	2	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	02-04 05:58
btc updown 15m 1770169500	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 01:54
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	01-28 22:57
btc updown 15m 1770167700	2	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	02-04 01:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$18	28	0	+28	open	—	04-09 00:33
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	3	$17	10	24	-13	open	—	01-03 15:04
btc updown 15m 1770573600	4	$16	19	4	+16	open	—	02-08 18:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$15	27	27	+0	open	—	03-03 10:38
btc updown 15m 1770571800	4	$15	18	3	+15	open	—	02-08 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 06:33:25	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x36a5ab…
06-21 10:06:32	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0baddc…
06-21 10:06:23	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x48fbbd…
06-21 10:06:13	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2aadb5…
06-21 10:05:16	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54ab51…
06-21 10:04:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc5f87e…
06-17 19:42:35	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x927cdf…
06-17 19:41:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe17598…
06-14 12:20:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb09672…
06-14 12:02:16	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8f2e1e…
06-14 11:59:54	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9e5b24…
05-10 10:40:06	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x384cf8…
05-10 10:39:45	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xafcb5a…
05-10 10:35:49	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xffb996…
05-10 10:35:45	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0ff186…
05-10 10:35:40	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x270dd0…
05-09 09:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9fb143…
05-04 17:08:50	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7c3b8c…
05-04 13:13:14	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf87d02…
04-24 22:32:44	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc8515f…
04-21 14:32:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x6ef39d…
04-09 00:33:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2d5f38…
04-07 23:36:57	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x62c1dd…
04-07 22:28:05	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2bb9c4…
04-07 22:27:01	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x429803…
04-07 22:26:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xef2230…
04-07 22:26:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb3f8d3…
04-02 12:19:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xab59be…
04-02 09:20:19	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc3b11b…
04-01 19:49:23	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x594862…
04-01 19:48:35	will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x336a00…
04-01 19:48:17	will trump say nuclear during address to the nation 726	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x101211…
04-01 19:48:13	will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x96a012…
04-01 19:47:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaa64fc…
04-01 19:46:15	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e7fab…
03-25 11:17:13	will iran strike saudi arabia again in march	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x481b9c…
03-21 20:06:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x307217…
03-21 20:06:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa95499…
03-21 19:57:25	will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0074a8…
03-21 19:49:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1657cc…
03-21 19:49:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x066fc8…
03-21 19:46:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcbda6d…
03-21 19:43:57	will iran strike saudi arabia again in march	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x835af4…
03-21 19:43:03	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5a79ed…
03-21 19:42:57	military action against iran ends by march 27 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc57ebe…
03-21 19:40:21	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3f9753…
03-21 19:36:55	will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x41c6e9…
03-21 19:35:59	will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x955284…
03-21 16:55:27	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9b60e3…
03-21 16:55:21	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd437ea…
03-13 18:32:23	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2b32b4…
03-13 18:30:39	btc updown 5m 1773426600	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe8fe61…
03-13 18:28:47	btc updown 5m 1773426300	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x3383f7…
03-13 18:28:31	btc updown 5m 1773426300	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xa54d06…
03-13 18:26:25	btc updown 5m 1773426300	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdff047…
03-13 18:25:03	btc updown 15m 1773425700	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9458aa…
03-13 18:24:41	btc updown 5m 1773426000	Up	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xe32105…
03-13 18:24:29	btc updown 5m 1773426000	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9e899d…
03-11 09:47:39	btc updown 5m 1773222300	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe8067e…
03-11 09:47:33	btc updown 5m 1773222300	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xcd2fde…
03-11 09:45:31	btc updown 5m 1773222300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf5bad0…
03-11 09:40:53	btc updown 5m 1773222000	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xe90343…
03-11 09:39:11	btc updown 5m 1773221700	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0a0043…
03-11 09:37:05	btc updown 5m 1773221700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe6d7c3…
03-11 09:34:59	btc updown 5m 1773221400	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x869de2…
03-11 09:34:49	btc updown 5m 1773221400	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x8ad29d…
03-11 09:34:19	btc updown 5m 1773221400	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc62fd1…
03-10 16:24:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x7fd058…
03-09 21:56:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x17fa80…
03-09 10:18:59	btc updown 5m 1773051300	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc55749…
03-09 10:18:43	btc updown 5m 1773051300	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xae8e62…
03-09 10:18:31	btc updown 5m 1773051300	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd35d39…
03-09 10:17:21	btc updown 5m 1773051300	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a3758…
03-09 10:14:23	btc updown 15m 1773050400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x336234…
03-09 10:13:21	btc updown 5m 1773051000	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x092572…
03-09 08:08:45	btc updown 5m 1773043500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x025633…
03-09 08:07:13	btc updown 5m 1773043500	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x99ab2d…
03-09 08:06:33	btc updown 5m 1773043500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8ef23d…
03-09 08:02:25	btc updown 5m 1773043200	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f6d07…
03-09 07:59:55	btc updown 5m 1773042900	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8e8d9f…
03-09 07:59:21	btc updown 5m 1773042900	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4a56aa…
03-09 07:56:51	btc updown 15m 1773042300	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf07ed2…
03-09 07:54:57	btc updown 5m 1773042600	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x774bdf…
03-09 07:51:17	btc updown 5m 1773042600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2ffa91…
03-09 07:47:23	btc updown 5m 1773042300	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5b3fd7…
03-09 07:44:35	btc updown 5m 1773042000	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a56d4…
03-09 07:44:13	btc updown 5m 1773042000	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xc04c03…
03-09 07:43:25	btc updown 5m 1773042000	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x13976c…
03-09 07:39:45	btc updown 5m 1773041700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x73e1f4…
03-09 07:36:19	btc updown 5m 1773041700	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7f2bb4…
03-09 01:24:33	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf917d6…
03-08 12:46:35	btc updown 5m 1772973900	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x9b83d1…
03-08 12:46:29	btc updown 5m 1772973900	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x935e44…
03-08 12:45:45	btc updown 5m 1772973900	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4bbf7d…
03-07 14:59:39	btc updown 15m 1772894700	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x858560…
03-07 14:58:43	btc updown 15m 1772894700	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7af560…
03-07 14:58:23	btc updown 5m 1772895300	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x661c8a…
03-07 14:57:17	btc updown 5m 1772895300	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x879ce1…
03-07 14:54:55	btc updown 5m 1772895000	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xfacbee…
03-07 14:54:35	btc updown 5m 1772895000	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe16ef3…