Immediate-Tea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.80K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$64.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$257

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-16 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 75% -$39

Other

21% 81% -$964

Sports

13% 67% -$1,796

Politics

9% 83% -$7

Tech

1% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+0	-$1	100¢	$0	+$1	05-07 19:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	8	$10.0K	5,019	5,019	+0	No	+$5	01-23 08:51
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	12	$10.0K	5,016	5,016	+0	No	+$5	02-12 00:46
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	1	$4.9K	4,915	0	+4,915	No	+$10	01-23 15:41
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$4.2K	2,130	2,130	+0	No	+$0	03-15 11:13
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	1	$3.3K	3,260	0	+3,260	No	+$7	02-24 13:58
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	15	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-07 19:08
nhl edm stl 2026 03 13	1	$2.3K	4,013	0	+4,013	Blues	-$2,327	03-13 06:26
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	29	$2.2K	1,109	1,099	+10	No	+$2	02-20 16:46
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$2.1K	1,052	1,052	+0	open	—	05-23 00:21
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	+$1	03-17 17:30
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	4	$1.7K	878	878	+0	No	+$3	03-02 04:41
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	1	$1.7K	1,700	0	+1,700	No	+$3	02-24 13:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	No	+$3	03-22 05:11
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$1.3K	644	644	+0	No	+$1	02-21 20:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$1.3K	1,258	0	+1,258	No	+$3	05-25 02:27
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	No	+$1	03-27 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$1.1K	1,133	0	+1,133	No	+$1	04-21 03:40
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	3	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	No	+$5	06-07 19:09
wta sonmez paolini 2026 04 14	1	$788	1,010	0	+1,010	Zeynep Sonmez	-$788	04-14 01:41
will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	2	$751	377	377	+0	No	+$0	03-13 23:10
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	2	$618	310	310	+0	No	$0	02-20 08:02
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$576	289	289	+0	No	+$0	02-03 00:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$536	0	576	-576	Yes	-$40	02-20 08:28
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	7	$457	234	234	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$424	0	824	-824	No	+$12	02-13 14:35
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$417	269	269	+0	No	-$3	02-14 14:05
will solana reach 150 in july 2026	2	$390	251	140	+110	No	+$0	07-22 02:09
nba min den 2026 03 01	9	$322	785	0	+785	Timberwolves	+$463	03-01 09:02
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	5	$301	152	152	+0	No	+$0	05-03 09:58
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	06-07 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 03:31:51	Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x4bd909…
09-30 01:34:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4007b1…
08-27 10:32:06	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xc7eda1…
08-26 03:43:18	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x86d7b0…
08-26 03:43:00	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0d0811…
07-22 02:09:01	will solana reach 150 in july 2026	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xcef857…
07-13 03:42:46	will solana reach 150 in july 2026	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xe6a7f0…
06-16 01:35:40	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x14e72a…
06-07 19:09:48	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	568	100¢	$565	0xbfc72e…
06-07 07:10:42	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x882e03…
06-07 05:46:33	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x1ea196…
06-07 03:01:13	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xad6d23…
06-07 02:59:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1efff7…
05-25 02:28:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd6779e…
05-25 02:27:38	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf2fa25…
05-25 02:27:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,231	100¢	$1,229	0x188bc8…
05-23 00:21:05	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	469	99¢	$463	0x49fd54…
05-23 00:19:29	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x3ce812…
05-23 00:07:49	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	502	99¢	$495	0x17b829…
05-23 00:01:13	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xf90cca…
05-14 19:59:00	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc0ed0e…
05-14 19:58:53	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x893a43…
05-14 19:32:50	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd76823…
05-14 19:32:40	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0b590…
05-14 18:28:16	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x75b418…
05-14 17:26:57	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$73	0xef4fc0…
05-14 05:38:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbc333b…
05-14 05:38:26	Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xd0462b…
05-14 05:37:39	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,052	99¢	$1,037	0x5e75d7…
05-14 05:35:02	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	234	98¢	$228	0xd004f3…
05-07 19:08:18	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x498531…
05-07 19:08:00	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0xa02a19…
05-07 19:07:48	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x55c30b…
05-07 18:58:21	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x13c7f4…
05-07 18:55:24	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6bf524…
05-07 18:48:54	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x21db82…
05-07 18:48:42	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x0c1e46…
05-07 18:48:05	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xaf5287…
05-07 18:47:37	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x87ed27…
05-07 18:34:21	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xed9990…
05-07 18:15:42	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3ec4e3…
05-07 17:48:28	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xf9232f…
05-07 17:47:42	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0xea16d9…
05-07 17:31:36	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x9776ac…
05-03 09:58:52	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x104a86…
05-03 09:16:50	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x1f7080…
05-03 03:53:20	Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xca0b45…
05-03 03:52:10	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,188	0x0ee781…
05-03 03:51:46	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x7089c4…
04-21 03:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x5a8957…
04-21 03:41:00	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x095193…
04-21 03:40:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,132	0x39f5e0…
04-21 03:37:50	Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa230a2…
04-21 03:37:04	Will Marciele Albuquerque win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x360be5…
04-14 17:50:54	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	169	13¢	$22	0x54bc9d…
04-14 17:45:04	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0xfdcceb…
04-14 16:55:24	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x276313…
04-14 16:15:43	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x80c5e2…
04-14 16:11:27	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x63d582…
04-14 15:29:09	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xb4a46a…
04-14 14:57:11	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xe2dfbb…
04-14 14:41:17	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0x17fe6b…
04-14 14:17:25	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc37537…
04-14 14:16:29	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0x5d5bb4…
04-14 14:04:25	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	241	13¢	$31	0x335425…
04-14 13:58:23	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	241	13¢	$31	0x347b3b…
04-14 13:55:17	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x213def…
04-14 13:51:45	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	51	13¢	$7	0x3fa1b2…
04-14 13:50:07	wta zhang noskova 2026 04 13	Shuai Zhang	BUY	180	13¢	$23	0xb19c36…
04-14 01:41:23	wta sonmez paolini 2026 04 14	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	1,010	78¢	$788	0x8b100c…
04-09 15:04:47	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xdc82bc…
03-27 02:22:07	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0xc2648d…
03-27 02:21:53	will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 495 233 864 361	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4bcc25…
03-27 02:21:43	will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1db6bc…
03-27 02:20:05	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,207	100¢	$1,206	0x5de2d4…
03-22 05:12:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0xe9d19c…
03-22 05:12:25	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69a945…
03-22 05:11:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,366	100¢	$1,363	0x8e3924…
03-22 05:07:37	highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 37c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7043ab…
03-22 05:05:57	will solana reach 140 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe4c64…
03-22 05:05:11	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in march	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x290248…
03-22 05:04:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc97960…
03-22 05:04:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x745bca…
03-17 17:30:21	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,019	99¢	$1,007	0x22ede5…
03-15 11:14:37	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,019	99¢	$1,006	0x904969…
03-15 11:13:47	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	2,130	100¢	$2,119	0x0a699c…
03-13 23:10:23	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	SELL	377	100¢	$375	0xd9a9cc…
03-13 06:31:07	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 spo1	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xc25f62…
03-13 06:30:23	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	377	100¢	$375	0xd87e29…
03-13 06:28:19	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,130	100¢	$2,119	0xc0e172…
03-13 06:26:43	nhl edm stl 2026 03 13	Oilers	BUY	4,013	58¢	$2,327	0x2b276a…
03-02 04:41:09	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e9b1f…
03-02 04:40:07	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	SELL	638	99¢	$631	0x78b393…
03-02 04:39:25	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	SELL	239	99¢	$236	0x9e0c07…
03-02 02:32:01	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	878	99¢	$866	0x0cd03f…
03-01 09:02:25	nba min den 2026 03 01	Timberwolves	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0xef06ef…
03-01 09:01:51	nba min den 2026 03 01	Timberwolves	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x597dfb…
03-01 09:01:49	nba min den 2026 03 01	Timberwolves	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x27c336…
03-01 09:01:07	nba min den 2026 03 01	Timberwolves	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x27bafe…
03-01 08:59:55	nba min den 2026 03 01	Timberwolves	BUY	283	41¢	$116	0x596043…