Jaunty-Parachute — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$106

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

26.8%

Resolved (7d)

223

Trades (7d)

239

3,722 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$286

$15.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-28 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% +$241

Other

0% 30% +$4

Politics

0% 25% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	—	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	10-28 13:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	—	+10	$1	6¢	$1	$0	10-28 13:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	—	+7	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-28 13:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	5	$2.5K	1,505	1,004	+501	No	+$1	02-11 14:12
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$1000	501	501	+0	No	+$0	01-27 17:48
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$999	502	502	+0	No	-$1	02-11 14:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$399	215	215	+0	open	—	05-19 15:12
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	$0	01-12 16:43
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	5	$41	55	55	+0	open	—	06-07 05:07
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$27	27	27	+0	Yes	-$2	06-07 02:34
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$7	06-11 12:49
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$4	06-11 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$15	13	8	+5	Up	+$1	06-01 12:19
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	01-26 16:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:40 UTC	3	$15	27	0	+27	Down	-$15	08-10 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$14	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$12	21	0	+21	Up	+$8	10-06 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	Up	-$11	10-07 00:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$11	19	0	+19	Up	+$8	10-06 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	9	$11	18	0	+18	Up	-$11	09-06 21:04
pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	06-11 09:21
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	10-08 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	10-07 00:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:35 UTC	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	10-05 19:23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-20 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$2	10-04 21:17
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	+$9	09-20 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	06-02 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$10	19	0	+19	Down	-$10	09-20 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	06-02 23:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:25 UTC	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe42165…
10-28 13:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcb4fbc…
10-28 13:37:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f2400…
10-28 13:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x30152c…
10-28 13:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d3f25…
10-28 13:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcf54f5…
10-28 13:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ea6bd…
10-28 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x08ae8c…
10-28 13:13:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0fe4dc…
10-28 13:13:56	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf85933…
10-28 13:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x794966…
10-28 13:04:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x016ec9…
10-28 13:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9639f8…
10-28 12:43:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7fe7d5…
10-28 12:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xca3cee…
10-28 12:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1ea501…
10-28 12:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0f84f8…
10-28 12:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb48e0c…
10-28 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x391ab9…
10-28 11:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbcdc38…
10-28 11:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x79d83d…
10-28 11:39:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13f9b7…
10-28 11:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x92a547…
10-28 11:28:20	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x84089f…
10-28 11:27:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2a4bca…
10-28 11:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf5fa04…
10-28 11:13:07	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x177818…
10-28 11:07:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0e77d4…
10-28 11:01:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xce416b…
10-28 10:58:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa53bde…
10-28 10:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92b35f…
10-28 10:34:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4c6a22…
10-28 10:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xda4540…
10-28 10:14:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf8753e…
10-28 10:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe64acc…
10-28 09:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa240a2…
10-28 09:29:22	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdce6c6…
10-28 09:27:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf4b835…
10-28 09:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7bdd95…
10-28 09:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xefbedf…
10-28 09:19:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xab7fc8…
10-28 09:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8e110a…
10-28 08:48:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ae6fc…
10-28 08:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd8d984…
10-28 08:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd65469…
10-28 08:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4fe17…
10-28 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6e8251…
10-28 08:01:29	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf73072…
10-28 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3d53f3…
10-28 07:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f4728…
10-28 07:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x540252…
10-28 07:12:17	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x274bf7…
10-28 07:07:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x80a945…
10-28 06:58:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6a64a4…
10-28 06:58:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7d3494…
10-28 06:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcdb4e0…
10-28 06:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x87a4ea…
10-28 06:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbb7ff6…
10-28 06:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xead827…
10-28 06:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0599e0…
10-28 06:28:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf7feb8…
10-28 06:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5d1415…
10-28 06:19:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x13a88b…
10-28 06:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4be33b…
10-28 06:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe75737…
10-28 06:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x46b402…
10-28 06:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3b8611…
10-28 05:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6160da…
10-28 05:58:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x17d844…
10-28 05:58:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9fcbe0…
10-28 05:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0761d9…
10-28 05:44:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1717a6…
10-28 05:40:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb64dab…
10-28 05:27:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe63bc4…
10-28 05:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6dd228…
10-28 05:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x76c49c…
10-28 05:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4671e2…
10-28 04:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdea7d7…
10-28 04:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x72ded1…
10-28 04:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x62d509…
10-28 04:47:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x521f29…
10-28 04:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x73463b…
10-28 04:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x28d7e6…
10-28 04:27:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x691037…
10-28 04:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x865266…
10-28 04:23:32	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xae2482…
10-28 04:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc8f461…
10-28 04:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x37ff11…
10-28 03:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8138e1…
10-28 03:44:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	736	0¢	$2	0x0b3492…
10-28 03:44:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x692a85…
10-28 03:39:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x611bd4…
10-28 03:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf887b6…
10-28 02:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x09e05a…
10-28 01:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa1350f…
10-28 00:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6bb1a5…
10-28 00:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x813789…
10-27 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa76757…
10-27 23:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f4850…
10-27 23:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x33a595…