Jaunty-Parachute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$197

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

2,483

Trades

3,766

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-28 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% +$207

Other

0% 29% +$3

Politics

0% 25% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	—	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-28 17:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	5	$2.5K	1,505	1,004	+501	No	+$1	02-11 14:12
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$1000	501	501	+0	No	+$0	01-27 17:48
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$999	502	502	+0	No	-$1	02-11 14:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$399	215	215	+0	open	—	05-19 15:12
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	$0	01-12 16:43
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	5	$41	55	55	+0	open	—	06-07 05:07
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$27	27	27	+0	Yes	-$2	06-07 02:34
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$7	06-11 12:49
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$4	06-11 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$15	13	8	+5	Up	+$1	06-01 12:19
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	01-26 16:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:40 UTC	3	$15	27	0	+27	Down	-$15	08-10 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$14	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$12	21	0	+21	Up	+$8	10-06 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	Up	-$11	10-07 00:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$11	19	0	+19	Up	+$8	10-06 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	9	$11	18	0	+18	Up	-$11	09-06 21:04
pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	06-11 09:21
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	10-08 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	10-07 00:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:35 UTC	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	10-05 19:23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-20 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$2	10-04 21:17
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	+$9	09-20 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	06-02 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$10	19	0	+19	Down	-$10	09-20 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	06-02 23:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:25 UTC	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:50:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0fca07…
10-28 17:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3efc8a…
10-28 17:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf4de1f…
10-28 17:33:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x700d08…
10-28 17:23:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x57eaa4…
10-28 17:19:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x60f8c4…
10-28 17:19:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaa032b…
10-28 17:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x43aecc…
10-28 16:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x506b50…
10-28 16:53:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x82605b…
10-28 16:52:35	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4c3a5d…
10-28 16:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdd86f2…
10-28 16:33:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x70ed0a…
10-28 16:28:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbba5f8…
10-28 16:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ea6c7…
10-28 16:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7835bc…
10-28 16:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x913d43…
10-28 16:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5291bb…
10-28 16:04:31	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb62a2d…
10-28 16:02:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeab05d…
10-28 16:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x130c23…
10-28 16:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x39f3ab…
10-28 15:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x16aeea…
10-28 15:57:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9aa980…
10-28 15:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe9e930…
10-28 15:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0eab16…
10-28 14:43:28	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf2f821…
10-28 14:39:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf49483…
10-28 14:38:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x055158…
10-28 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3a6c11…
10-28 14:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf05d74…
10-28 14:15:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3f4c24…
10-28 14:04:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc2f16b…
10-28 13:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6defb5…
10-28 13:57:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8d8d88…
10-28 13:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4c7794…
10-28 13:57:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x390254…
10-28 13:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa1f732…
10-28 13:44:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0e17ba…
10-28 13:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe42165…
10-28 13:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcb4fbc…
10-28 13:37:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f2400…
10-28 13:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x30152c…
10-28 13:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d3f25…
10-28 13:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcf54f5…
10-28 13:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ea6bd…
10-28 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x08ae8c…
10-28 13:13:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0fe4dc…
10-28 13:13:56	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf85933…
10-28 13:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x794966…
10-28 13:04:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x016ec9…
10-28 13:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9639f8…
10-28 12:43:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7fe7d5…
10-28 12:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xca3cee…
10-28 12:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1ea501…
10-28 12:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0f84f8…
10-28 12:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb48e0c…
10-28 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x391ab9…
10-28 11:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbcdc38…
10-28 11:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x79d83d…
10-28 11:39:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13f9b7…
10-28 11:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x92a547…
10-28 11:28:20	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x84089f…
10-28 11:27:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2a4bca…
10-28 11:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf5fa04…
10-28 11:13:07	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x177818…
10-28 11:07:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0e77d4…
10-28 11:01:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xce416b…
10-28 10:58:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa53bde…
10-28 10:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92b35f…
10-28 10:34:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4c6a22…
10-28 10:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xda4540…
10-28 10:14:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf8753e…
10-28 10:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe64acc…
10-28 09:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa240a2…
10-28 09:29:22	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdce6c6…
10-28 09:27:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf4b835…
10-28 09:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7bdd95…
10-28 09:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xefbedf…
10-28 09:19:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xab7fc8…
10-28 09:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8e110a…
10-28 08:48:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ae6fc…
10-28 08:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd8d984…
10-28 08:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd65469…
10-28 08:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4fe17…
10-28 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6e8251…
10-28 08:01:29	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf73072…
10-28 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3d53f3…
10-28 07:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f4728…
10-28 07:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x540252…
10-28 07:12:17	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x274bf7…
10-28 07:07:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x80a945…
10-28 06:58:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6a64a4…
10-28 06:58:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7d3494…
10-28 06:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcdb4e0…
10-28 06:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x87a4ea…
10-28 06:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbb7ff6…
10-28 06:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xead827…
10-28 06:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0599e0…
10-28 06:28:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf7feb8…