Old-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$221

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-11 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

38% 100% +$21

Politics

36% 100% +$21

Crypto

21% 100% +$10

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+125	$121	96¢	$119	-$2	10-11 05:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+102	$101	100¢	$102	+$1	10-11 05:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will chainlink hit 23 in january	1	$372	376	0	+376	No	+$4	01-06 08:10
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$322	324	0	+324	No	+$2	03-30 07:57
will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	1	$316	319	0	+319	No	+$3	03-04 08:12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$279	173	110	+63	No	+$2	06-13 12:25
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$267	271	0	+271	No	+$4	02-05 05:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$220	224	0	+224	No	+$4	05-11 13:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$220	223	0	+223	No	+$3	04-28 05:06
bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	04-12 12:04
trump out as president by march 31	2	$188	144	50	+94	No	+$2	01-26 08:15
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	1	$180	182	0	+182	No	+$2	06-13 12:28
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$170	173	0	+173	No	+$3	04-12 12:03
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$160	161	0	+161	No	+$1	02-25 03:07
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$160	162	0	+162	No	+$2	06-13 12:33
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$155	159	0	+159	No	+$4	05-11 12:59
Will France strike Iran by April 30?	1	$155	156	0	+156	No	+$1	04-12 12:03
will ethereum reach 2900 february 2 8	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	02-05 05:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$150	152	0	+152	No	+$2	06-13 12:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$140	141	0	+141	Yes	+$1	06-28 06:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	1	$130	132	0	+132	No	+$2	08-20 15:09
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	1	$123	124	0	+124	No	+$1	09-09 06:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$121	125	0	+125	open	—	10-11 05:08
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	1	$115	117	0	+117	Yes	+$2	03-04 08:11
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	1	$111	113	0	+113	No	+$2	07-05 06:00
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$105	108	0	+108	No	+$3	07-05 06:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	10-11 05:09
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	1	$90	92	0	+92	No	+$2	08-20 15:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	1	$90	92	0	+92	No	+$2	09-09 06:57
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	01-26 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 05:09:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x007b76…
10-11 05:08:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x4da15a…
09-09 06:57:49	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x4470dc…
09-09 06:57:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x1117c6…
08-20 15:10:27	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x92d8f7…
08-20 15:09:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	132	98¢	$130	0x6d863f…
07-05 06:01:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	108	98¢	$105	0xad5ad8…
07-05 06:00:46	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x738249…
06-28 06:00:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x49370f…
06-13 12:33:52	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0xbb8a4b…
06-13 12:31:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xffae47…
06-13 12:28:34	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x705805…
06-13 12:25:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x120e55…
05-11 13:00:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	224	98¢	$220	0xbf928b…
05-11 12:59:30	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	159	98¢	$155	0xf9520c…
05-11 12:59:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0xf69a25…
04-28 05:06:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$220	0x0aa39a…
04-12 12:04:29	bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4c3a7d…
04-12 12:03:59	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0x61f20f…
04-12 12:03:33	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x50d6c5…
03-30 07:57:32	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	324	99¢	$322	0xfd9a96…
03-04 08:12:15	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	319	99¢	$316	0xd0fed9…
03-04 08:11:45	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0xecd5d5…
02-25 03:07:32	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0xdd2794…
02-05 05:53:29	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	271	99¢	$267	0xe57984…
02-05 05:52:11	will ethereum reach 2900 february 2 8	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xa0a280…
01-26 08:15:29	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x55a81d…
01-26 08:15:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf77d27…
01-06 08:10:45	will chainlink hit 23 in january	No	BUY	376	99¢	$372	0xca09f2…
01-06 08:08:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0xf5ec26…