Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

2,345

Trades

5,901

lifetime

Volume

$77.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-04

last 10-22 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Politics

50% 53% +$901

Crypto

27% 54% +$92

Other

15% 52% +$402

Sports

8% 50% +$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	794	$17.7K	16,221	16,221	+0	open	—	07-08 09:10
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	472	$10.9K	7,734	7,734	+0	No	-$140	07-14 10:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	21	$2.1K	2,322	2,322	+0	Yes	+$1,589	06-15 01:22
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	23	$813	440	440	+0	No	+$13	07-13 11:00
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	25	$589	493	256	+237	Yes	-$174	07-11 21:07
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	10	$484	990	990	+0	Argentina	+$207	07-07 16:58
mlb sea lad 2026 07 30	3	$469	300	300	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$116	07-31 04:38
mlb tor wsh 2026 07 27	14	$461	470	395	+75	Toronto Blue Jays	-$17	07-27 22:27
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	18	$435	244	244	+0	No	+$35	06-28 13:06
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	16	$430	284	284	+0	No	+$0	07-14 10:23
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	45	$426	385	347	+38	Yes	+$30	06-13 02:51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	11	$420	225	225	+0	No	+$20	06-21 08:20
mlb sea lad 2026 07 28 spread home 1pt5	5	$409	278	278	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$132	07-29 04:33
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	44	$408	870	0	+870	Argentina	+$390	07-15 18:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	23	$406	211	211	+0	No	+$10	06-21 08:21
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	16	$406	214	214	+0	No	+$11	06-28 13:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	13	$398	205	205	+0	No	+$8	06-28 13:06
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	39	$395	202	202	+0	No	-$1	06-13 10:20
mlb sea tex 2026 07 27	10	$394	697	29	+669	Texas Rangers	-$368	07-27 18:30
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	15	$379	247	247	+0	No	-$19	07-14 10:47
mlb bal det 2026 07 27 spread home 1pt5	2	$356	556	0	+556	Baltimore Orioles	+$200	07-27 21:34
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	19	$329	255	165	+90	No	-$2	06-28 13:07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	33	$312	239	239	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 10:21
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	13	$309	207	207	+0	open	—	07-14 10:47
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	16	$293	150	150	+0	No	+$5	07-14 09:42
mlb sea lad 2026 07 28	7	$280	250	208	+43	Seattle Mariners	+$85	07-29 04:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	26	$256	190	190	+0	open	—	07-14 10:47
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	10	$231	1,107	1,107	+0	No	-$99	07-12 12:46
mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	9	$230	387	0	+387	Cleveland Guardians	-$230	07-27 19:32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	25	$222	398	212	+187	Yes	-$5	06-10 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 06:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x802f15…
10-22 05:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x894291…
10-22 04:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0793d6…
10-22 04:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4d91e2…
10-22 03:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb2f86a…
10-22 03:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x80cb53…
10-22 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa50afa…
10-22 03:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4dafd1…
10-22 03:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd44500…
10-22 02:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x57a35f…
10-22 02:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6933f4…
10-22 02:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcd2e71…
10-22 02:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0aac5e…
10-22 02:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x495b4b…
10-22 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x78f28a…
10-22 02:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x35dc5f…
10-22 02:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x380d6a…
10-22 01:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4679c0…
10-22 01:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x909be2…
10-22 01:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x75a8b7…
10-22 01:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9085c3…
10-22 00:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7e68d9…
10-22 00:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xded4f5…
10-22 00:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x667b15…
10-21 23:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3510d8…
10-21 23:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x12e447…
10-21 23:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1c4093…
10-21 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x064739…
10-21 22:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6a6ea2…
10-21 22:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9a0ae5…
10-21 22:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x05d841…
10-21 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3e1d72…
10-21 21:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x79fb91…
10-21 21:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd5aaf7…
10-21 20:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf0d3b9…
10-21 19:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd48573…
10-21 19:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd005ea…
10-21 19:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x90399b…
10-21 19:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcdf00d…
10-21 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6c7c5f…
10-21 18:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb3b5c6…
10-21 18:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd61b8e…
10-21 18:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x5a4018…
10-21 18:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x6bcdf0…
10-21 18:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfbce79…
10-21 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4131f1…
10-21 18:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5490de…
10-21 17:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2065c1…
10-21 17:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x92d08d…
10-21 17:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa70966…
10-21 17:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4c1607…
10-21 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb9d3fa…
10-21 16:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2968a2…
10-21 16:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0dfd23…
10-21 16:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x88e443…
10-21 16:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc50990…
10-21 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x76b5df…
10-21 15:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xca9e51…
10-21 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdc7385…
10-21 15:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x164b5e…
10-21 15:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x101c30…
10-21 15:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4a9888…
10-21 15:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xbb71a2…
10-21 15:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x956b33…
10-21 15:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x78cc59…
10-21 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbcab28…
10-21 14:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa45203…
10-21 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x61bb9f…
10-21 14:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa73a76…
10-21 14:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe31a24…
10-21 14:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x439a40…
10-21 14:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5eb3f1…
10-21 14:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4b545f…
10-21 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9286d0…
10-21 14:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xb5ff48…
10-21 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaa10e2…
10-21 13:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x027ecc…
10-21 13:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb32c64…
10-21 13:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc1a43a…
10-21 13:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x79bea7…
10-21 13:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x710cb1…
10-21 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa8ac9a…
10-21 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5c43a7…
10-21 13:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd7a7a7…
10-21 12:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0336ce…
10-21 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbfe547…
10-21 12:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb62505…
10-21 12:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x01ba55…
10-21 12:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x889636…
10-21 11:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x888341…
10-21 11:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa98621…
10-21 11:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4ad01e…
10-21 10:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x00cd9e…
10-21 10:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf9b386…
10-21 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe073ae…
10-21 09:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe3803d…
10-21 09:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfd954f…
10-21 09:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x36eab9…
10-21 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9f6789…
10-21 09:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9e163e…