(anonymous) 0xc91956…57d1dd
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
674
lifetime
Volume
$8.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$403
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 06-30 11:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74% — —
Other
18% — —
Sports
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +131 $115 86¢ $112 $-3 06-21 16:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +126 $100 80¢ $101 +$1 06-27 08:57
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-60 100¢ $-45 +$16 06-21 08:20
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +53 $40 80¢ $42 +$2 06-28 17:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +25 $22 84¢ $21 $-0 06-17 02:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 +$0 06-21 08:32
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +17 $14 84¢ $14 +$0 06-29 02:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +41 $7 30¢ $12 +$5 06-21 08:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-20 100¢ $-10 +$9 06-21 08:21
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-15 15:52
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 06-15 09:23
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-21 08:39
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-15 10:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +646 $140 0¢ $2 $-138 06-13 13:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +24 $5 1¢ $0 $-5 06-14 02:29