Mysterious-Stepuncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 07-05 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

78% — —

Politics

14% 0% $-27

Other

8% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		+200	$15	6¢	$12	$-3	06-29 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771324200	3	$130	299	0	+299	open	—	02-17 10:34
btc updown 5m 1771323900	3	$110	208	0	+208	open	—	02-17 10:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$101	154	43	+111	open	—	05-23 14:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$86	119	0	+119	open	—	02-28 14:29
btc updown 5m 1783223400	4	$71	74	74	+0	open	—	07-05 03:56
btc updown 5m 1782705000	1	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	06-29 03:49
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	1	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	02-16 22:59
btc updown 5m 1782704700	1	$50	69	0	+69	open	—	06-29 03:45
btc updown 5m 1776170400	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	04-14 12:42
btc updown 5m 1776470100	2	$48	63	0	+63	open	—	04-17 23:59
btc updown 5m 1782708000	4	$45	88	0	+88	open	—	06-29 04:38
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	2	$40	347	347	+0	open	—	02-17 13:09
btc updown 5m 1771257300	4	$40	205	0	+205	open	—	02-16 15:58
btc updown 5m 1782707400	2	$35	67	0	+67	open	—	06-29 04:32
btc updown 5m 1771267500	4	$35	2,124	0	+2,124	open	—	02-16 18:50
btc updown 5m 1771257000	4	$35	343	0	+343	open	—	02-16 15:54
btc updown 5m 1782707700	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	06-29 04:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$30	75	0	+75	open	—	02-28 14:25
btc updown 5m 1782706800	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	06-29 04:18
btc updown 5m 1782708300	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	06-29 04:30
btc updown 5m 1782707100	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	06-29 04:18
btc updown 5m 1771634100	3	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	02-21 00:40
btc updown 5m 1783225800	4	$21	524	0	+524	open	—	07-05 04:34
btc updown 5m 1771266600	2	$20	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	02-16 18:35
btc updown 5m 1771266900	2	$20	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	02-16 18:39
btc updown 5m 1771257900	2	$20	79	0	+79	open	—	02-16 16:06
btc updown 5m 1771335600	2	$20	60	0	+60	open	—	02-17 13:43
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$20	1,667	1,667	+0	open	—	02-21 00:38
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$19	67	67	+0	open	—	02-28 13:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$16	143	143	+0	open	—	02-21 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 04:53:35	btc updown 5m 1783227000	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd0f2c7…
07-05 04:48:25	btc updown 5m 1783226700	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xdd0fce…
07-05 04:47:01	btc updown 5m 1783226700	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x5fd714…
07-05 04:44:56	btc updown 5m 1783226400	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xd8d51a…
07-05 04:42:26	btc updown 5m 1783226400	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x77a568…
07-05 04:39:02	btc updown 5m 1783226100	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x392d28…
07-05 04:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783225800	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb830e5…
07-05 04:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783225800	Down	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x208e25…
07-05 04:33:37	btc updown 5m 1783225800	Down	BUY	362	3¢	$10	0x344fd8…
07-05 04:32:10	btc updown 5m 1783225800	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf89b86…
07-05 04:21:07	btc updown 5m 1783225200	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xffd594…
07-05 04:18:20	btc updown 5m 1783224900	Down	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x52fce2…
07-05 04:12:41	btc updown 5m 1783224600	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x44b032…
07-05 04:05:20	btc updown 5m 1783224300	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x55a793…
07-05 04:00:40	btc updown 5m 1783224000	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xad918f…
07-05 03:58:44	btc updown 5m 1783223700	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe90c57…
07-05 03:56:41	btc updown 5m 1783223700	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xddeb31…
07-05 03:56:07	btc updown 5m 1783223400	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6824c6…
07-05 03:54:37	btc updown 5m 1783223400	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x48a217…
07-05 03:53:22	btc updown 5m 1783223400	Down	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x6a78cd…
07-05 03:51:52	btc updown 5m 1783223400	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x106538…
06-29 15:33:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	8¢	$13	0x37dee6…
06-29 14:37:34	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xb982fa…
06-29 04:38:59	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7cdc18…
06-29 04:38:55	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4620db…
06-29 04:37:40	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5c341e…
06-29 04:32:11	btc updown 5m 1782707400	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2b0cfa…
06-29 04:30:20	btc updown 5m 1782708300	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x93ce20…
06-29 04:29:32	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x2d964c…
06-29 04:29:13	btc updown 5m 1782707700	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x263bf1…
06-29 04:28:14	btc updown 5m 1782707400	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xb5cc03…
06-29 04:18:22	btc updown 5m 1782707100	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x11ae64…
06-29 04:18:02	btc updown 5m 1782706800	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xf9e4f5…
06-29 03:49:23	btc updown 5m 1782705000	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x92fcc3…
06-29 03:45:40	btc updown 5m 1782704700	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x0253f9…
06-29 03:39:14	btc updown 5m 1782704400	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x60d8dd…
06-29 03:30:53	lol t1 kc 2026 06 28	Karmine Corp	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6dd6e9…
06-29 03:30:22	btc updown 5m 1782703800	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xfd970d…
05-23 14:28:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	28¢	$31	0x94b386…
05-23 14:28:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	72¢	$31	0x00a60f…
05-15 02:29:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0x3a1814…
05-15 01:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x91ade1…
05-14 23:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xdab2b9…
05-14 23:19:05	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3ab57d…
05-14 23:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2ff638…
05-14 23:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x300bfd…
05-09 18:59:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x972dd8…
05-09 18:56:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x08800d…
05-09 17:37:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x6dd41d…
05-09 17:35:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x109933…
04-17 23:59:36	btc updown 5m 1776470100	Up	BUY	49	77¢	$38	0x09a037…
04-17 23:59:08	btc updown 5m 1776470100	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf17140…
04-14 12:49:51	doge updown 5m 1776170700	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xad2da7…
04-14 12:42:29	btc updown 5m 1776170400	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x4ef973…
03-25 01:30:35	btc updown 5m 1774402200	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xa94751…
03-03 04:02:29	btc updown 5m 1772510400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6ceed1…
02-28 23:41:45	sol updown 15m 1772322300	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x9eff3b…
02-28 23:41:11	xrp updown 15m 1772322300	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xfd06cb…
02-28 22:05:15	xrp updown 15m 1772316000	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xba1f71…
02-28 14:29:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x294e97…
02-28 14:28:35	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xd9d921…
02-28 14:27:03	ethereum up or down february 28 9am et	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7e3403…
02-28 14:25:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x7deee6…
02-28 14:25:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x8016bc…
02-28 14:10:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x146bde…
02-28 13:44:11	btc updown 15m 1772286300	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xef8de4…
02-28 13:43:37	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$3	0x8ce88e…
02-28 13:41:55	btc updown 15m 1772286300	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x470bc8…
02-28 13:41:35	btc updown 15m 1772285400	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xf7e9d4…
02-28 13:40:55	btc updown 15m 1772285400	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1894df…
02-28 13:14:59	btc updown 15m 1772284500	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x792a52…
02-28 13:14:19	btc updown 15m 1772283600	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe3c306…
02-28 13:13:39	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	67	13¢	$9	0x0ae304…
02-21 01:07:10	eth updown 5m 1771635900	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x462d8a…
02-21 01:02:16	btc updown 5m 1771635600	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x19b705…
02-21 00:58:30	btc updown 5m 1771635300	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xeab345…
02-21 00:52:38	btc updown 5m 1771635000	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa02bbb…
02-21 00:50:46	eth updown 5m 1771635000	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2962be…
02-21 00:45:44	will trump say n word in february	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0x248100…
02-21 00:45:14	btc updown 5m 1771634700	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xab17dd…
02-21 00:41:54	btc updown 5m 1771634400	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2a992a…
02-21 00:40:30	btc updown 5m 1771634100	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd4a747…
02-21 00:39:14	btc updown 5m 1771634100	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x43098f…
02-21 00:38:56	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,667	1¢	$10	0xaa26a0…
02-21 00:36:40	btc updown 5m 1771634100	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf20270…
02-21 00:33:48	btc updown 5m 1771633800	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x11ed7a…
02-21 00:32:00	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	143	4¢	$6	0xf3b89c…
02-18 01:13:25	bitcoin up or down february 17 8pm et	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd2413e…
02-18 01:05:33	cbb mich pur 2026 02 17	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf26883…
02-18 01:03:17	btc updown 5m 1771376400	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2284dd…
02-18 00:58:45	xrp updown 15m 1771375500	Up	BUY	328	0¢	$1	0x61d6eb…
02-18 00:58:19	sol updown 15m 1771375500	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb8e52c…
02-18 00:57:19	eth updown 15m 1771375500	Up	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xaff683…
02-18 00:53:13	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	SELL	385	1¢	$5	0x38a16e…
02-18 00:50:23	btc updown 5m 1771375800	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd0447c…
02-17 19:43:33	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xd41bef…
02-17 19:43:17	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x706093…
02-17 19:40:15	btc updown 5m 1771357200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0ec055…
02-17 19:38:59	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf6e8e4…
02-17 18:52:11	will congress be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week february 22	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xceed93…