Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$88

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-30

last 11-05 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 39% +$5

Other

14% 0% -$6

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	+55	$1	1¢	$1	$0	11-05 14:44
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	+432	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-30 20:18
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	+14	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-30 20:28
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+24	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	11-01 06:46
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+26	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	11-03 23:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	Down	-$10	11-01 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	11-01 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	+$8	10-30 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	-$5	11-05 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	11-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	11-01 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	11-01 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	11-02 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	11-01 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	-$2	11-01 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$2	24	0	+24	Down	-$2	11-01 17:40
Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	2	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	11-02 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$2	15	0	+15	Down	+$13	11-01 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	Up	-$2	11-02 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	-$1	11-01 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	+$5	11-01 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	+$9	11-01 14:17
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	10-30 20:28
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	1	$1	23	0	+23	No	-$1	10-30 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Down	-$1	11-01 17:56
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	1	$1	432	0	+432	open	—	10-30 20:18
Will AMD say "Dividend" during earnings call?	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	-$1	11-03 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	-$1	11-01 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	11-01 17:07
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	11-01 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	+$3	11-01 18:58
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	77	0	+77	Yes	-$1	10-31 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	11-01 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	-$1	11-01 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$1	11-02 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4ea15c…
11-05 16:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdcc9c6…
11-05 15:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6d4177…
11-05 14:44:42	Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf8a8ba…
11-05 14:44:19	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xb2a611…
11-03 23:15:06	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xfa0414…
11-03 13:58:19	Will AMD say "Revenue" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xe682ae…
11-03 09:33:46	Will AMD say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xed901e…
11-03 00:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb75693…
11-02 17:48:30	Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0d7908…
11-02 15:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea4b25…
11-02 15:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce43ff…
11-02 12:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2624fd…
11-02 12:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9bfc3a…
11-02 03:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8bb891…
11-01 21:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb1c35…
11-01 21:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xadff6c…
11-01 21:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x880f34…
11-01 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7fd4db…
11-01 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x39f944…
11-01 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc77992…
11-01 20:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x204384…
11-01 18:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe892c9…
11-01 18:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x30daa4…
11-01 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x27f53a…
11-01 17:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd43362…
11-01 17:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc3a1c9…
11-01 17:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3268f3…
11-01 17:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa6e3e8…
11-01 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeb8333…
11-01 17:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x967b42…
11-01 17:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x96317b…
11-01 15:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfcbd20…
11-01 14:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xea8a63…
11-01 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb38182…
11-01 14:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfd05a0…
11-01 14:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x57f3e9…
11-01 14:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x16eecb…
11-01 14:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd5fec1…
11-01 14:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa41773…
11-01 13:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8490e…
11-01 13:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x10dc53…
11-01 06:46:18	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x00f9ed…
11-01 06:44:52	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x16f0b8…
10-31 22:55:22	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x64c89d…
10-30 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x6f3748…
10-30 20:28:06	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x66b00a…
10-30 20:20:45	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf2bf72…
10-30 20:18:15	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	432	0¢	$1	0x746c4f…
10-30 20:17:12	Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x511e78…