Lined-Trinket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$755

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,489

lifetime

Volume

$221.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-20 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-83

Politics

42% 17% $-103

Crypto

6% 25% $-513

Sports

2% 0% $-56

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	192	$22.0K	22,817	22,817	+0	open	—	03-23 05:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	234	$18.7K	74,166	24,166	+50,000	open	—	04-03 13:47
italy nordio reform referendum passes	173	$13.0K	12,876	12,876	+0	open	—	03-23 10:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	168	$11.7K	12,702	11,079	+1,623	open	—	03-27 16:01
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	2	$7.0K	5,500	5,478	+22	open	—	03-21 23:00
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	45	$5.9K	7,130	7,130	+0	open	—	03-23 18:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	44	$4.2K	6,238	6,238	+0	open	—	03-23 11:06
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 total 151pt5	3	$4.0K	4,264	4,264	+0	open	—	03-27 13:22
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	5	$3.6K	3,459	3,459	+0	open	—	03-27 13:15
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	95	$3.5K	3,606	3,275	+331	open	—	03-21 22:54
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	76	$3.3K	3,518	3,488	+30	open	—	03-24 23:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	31	$3.2K	4,072	4,072	+0	open	—	04-13 00:09
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	25	$3.1K	2,246	2,246	+0	open	—	03-24 07:23
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	25	$3.0K	2,339	2,339	+0	open	—	03-24 21:04
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	5	$2.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	02-28 22:00
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	23	$2.5K	2,213	2,213	+0	open	—	03-24 07:23
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	45	$2.5K	2,564	2,564	+0	open	—	03-24 07:23
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	29	$2.1K	1,981	1,629	+352	open	—	05-17 16:04
iran leadership change by march 31	33	$2.1K	2,116	2,116	+0	open	—	03-23 17:07
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	24	$2.1K	2,085	1,745	+340	open	—	03-26 02:38
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	9	$2.1K	1,464	1,464	+0	open	—	03-24 00:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	39	$2.1K	2,331	2,187	+144	open	—	05-18 22:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$1.9K	3,648	3,648	+0	open	—	04-08 01:13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	6	$1.9K	1,089	1,090	-1	Yes	$-16	05-12 11:46
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	30	$1.8K	2,327	2,025	+302	open	—	05-17 13:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	39	$1.8K	1,879	1,879	+0	open	—	04-28 20:40
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	16	$1.8K	1,698	1,698	+0	open	—	05-18 22:43
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-31 20:00
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	24	$1.7K	2,196	2,196	+0	open	—	03-23 21:40
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	22	$1.7K	1,524	1,524	+0	open	—	03-26 01:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 08:13:35	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	665	45¢	$299	0xf5bf1b…
05-20 08:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	179	12¢	$22	0x1f4ebe…
05-18 22:43:15	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x40af8a…
05-18 22:43:15	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	259	3¢	$8	0x1869a4…
05-18 22:43:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	68¢	$46	0x4c4b5f…
05-18 22:43:10	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x1bd6af…
05-18 22:11:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	132	39¢	$51	0xf4585a…
05-18 22:11:08	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	132	41¢	$54	0x45ec92…
05-18 21:14:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	180	94¢	$169	0xdbb19a…
05-18 21:14:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x7ef4fa…
05-18 21:14:19	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xcd48f9…
05-18 21:08:50	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$2	0x794604…
05-18 21:08:26	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x89cfc6…
05-18 21:08:13	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xb75dc0…
05-18 20:30:31	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4ebc39…
05-18 20:29:42	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	66	53¢	$35	0xdb2cb0…
05-18 20:28:53	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x2d8500…
05-18 20:23:06	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	259	5¢	$13	0xc69e0f…
05-18 19:19:01	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	161	7¢	$11	0xd91cf0…
05-18 18:53:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xe2b5e8…
05-18 18:14:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	SELL	191	52¢	$99	0x94901b…
05-18 18:14:27	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	191	62¢	$118	0x6f3dee…
05-18 17:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	84¢	$92	0xdc94ce…
05-18 17:54:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	85¢	$93	0xda9b9d…
05-18 17:54:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	103	92¢	$95	0xd78710…
05-18 17:39:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x9fc515…
05-18 17:39:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x6f6beb…
05-18 17:39:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x541a25…
05-18 17:19:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x67baff…
05-18 17:15:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	34	53¢	$18	0xd8f702…
05-18 17:11:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x1e9f40…
05-18 17:06:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x2d3261…
05-18 17:06:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	59	45¢	$26	0x3c3607…
05-18 17:05:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	46¢	$27	0xa57265…
05-18 17:03:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	128	10¢	$13	0x1f88c6…
05-18 17:03:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	74	11¢	$8	0x446869…
05-18 16:53:43	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	141	44¢	$62	0xfcf8be…
05-18 16:49:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	199	45¢	$90	0x32da2e…
05-18 16:46:34	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	141	45¢	$64	0x8a8ff9…
05-18 16:43:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	67¢	$92	0xe3eb1b…
05-18 16:43:06	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x29278f…
05-18 16:40:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x47be06…
05-18 16:39:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0xb04ae8…
05-18 16:34:23	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	197	61¢	$119	0xc629fb…
05-18 16:33:58	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	197	72¢	$142	0x233220…
05-18 16:26:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	85	46¢	$39	0x949814…
05-18 16:26:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xe1077c…
05-18 16:26:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x02deaa…
05-18 16:25:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	202	16¢	$32	0x8c542c…
05-18 16:07:10	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	161	7¢	$11	0x5bd196…
05-18 12:37:41	Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesana	Valentin Royer	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xb6e169…
05-18 10:54:14	Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristian	Jaqueline Cristian	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x4c62f3…
05-18 07:10:14	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xdcef32…
05-18 07:07:44	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	332	16¢	$53	0xdcb58c…
05-18 07:07:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	27	45¢	$12	0x729129…
05-18 07:02:29	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	SELL	127	28¢	$36	0x68c3f4…
05-18 07:02:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0xfdc050…
05-18 07:02:23	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	129	47¢	$61	0xd74516…
05-18 07:02:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0xc89baf…
05-18 07:02:20	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x61d5c5…
05-18 07:02:18	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?	Yes	SELL	127	92¢	$117	0x73953b…
05-18 07:02:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	82	72¢	$59	0x833a75…
05-18 07:02:16	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x0b7046…
05-18 07:01:57	Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $660M?	Yes	SELL	108	89¢	$96	0x580478…
05-18 07:01:50	Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $660M?	Yes	BUY	108	89¢	$96	0x829744…
05-18 06:48:18	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	279	53¢	$148	0x1e4c95…
05-18 06:37:18	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xa34932…
05-18 06:36:42	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	329	54¢	$178	0xafe4cf…
05-18 06:27:32	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x637015…
05-18 05:13:55	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	228	84¢	$192	0xcf2d51…
05-18 05:09:31	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	228	92¢	$210	0x03a2ba…
05-18 04:01:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	174	72¢	$125	0x8fe38d…
05-18 04:00:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	82	73¢	$60	0xd8704d…
05-18 03:49:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xee1a3c…
05-18 03:33:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x103c3d…
05-18 03:32:48	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x1f5b70…
05-18 03:19:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xb1537c…
05-18 03:01:58	Will Danaïde by Brancusi sell for $95M or more?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x7306b2…
05-18 03:01:04	Will Danaïde by Brancusi sell for $95M or more?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5d45ae…
05-18 01:09:16	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x56f025…
05-18 01:08:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	BUY	339	78¢	$264	0x36ab9e…
05-18 00:40:24	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	156	65¢	$101	0x5ed387…
05-18 00:36:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x585b6e…
05-18 00:35:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	368	16¢	$59	0x34f9a1…
05-18 00:35:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	171	36¢	$62	0x9526db…
05-18 00:34:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	171	52¢	$89	0xc5a0c6…
05-18 00:07:30	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x19fcdb…
05-18 00:07:02	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	15¢	$7	0x778a01…
05-17 23:52:58	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	372	20¢	$74	0x3e0d5c…
05-17 23:06:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	368	10¢	$37	0xfa260f…
05-17 23:06:02	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	368	12¢	$44	0xd9c8b6…
05-17 22:44:10	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	No	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x3c3d0d…
05-17 22:43:19	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	No	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xa37531…
05-17 22:42:58	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	No	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x1649ea…
05-17 22:42:27	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	No	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xd765a1…
05-17 21:36:49	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	SELL	148	53¢	$78	0xa0b3ff…
05-17 21:33:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	107	72¢	$77	0xfa539f…
05-17 21:33:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x298bac…
05-17 21:32:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	107	72¢	$77	0x99e875…
05-17 21:22:49	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.0B?	No	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xe0e1b9…