Realized P&L
+$1.95K
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
23.6%
Resolved
542
Trades
4,646
lifetime
Volume
$280.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$215
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 05-20 08:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
52%
25%
+$1,267
Politics
38%
14%
+$2,890
Crypto
5%
29%
-$2,085
Sports
3%
44%
+$61
Pop-Culture
1%
0%
-$65
Tech
1%
22%
-$113
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | +214 | $110 | 86¢ | $183 | +$73 | 05-18 07:02 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +214 | $115 | 15¢ | $31 | -$84 | 05-18 17:54 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | +1 | $8 | 97¢ | $1 | -$7 | 05-17 21:12 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | +1 | $8 | 3¢ | $0 | -$8 | 05-17 12:29 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | -18 | -$6 | 0¢ | $-0 | +$6 | 04-30 11:02 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344 | 192 | $22.0K | 22,817 | 22,817 | +0 | No | +$226 | 03-23 05:24 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 234 | $18.7K | 74,166 | 24,166 | +50,000 | No | -$150 | 04-03 13:47 |
| italy nordio reform referendum passes | 173 | $13.0K | 12,876 | 12,876 | +0 | No | -$166 | 03-23 10:16 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 168 | $11.7K | 12,702 | 11,079 | +1,623 | Yes | -$140 | 03-27 16:01 |
| cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22 | 2 | $7.0K | 5,500 | 5,478 | +22 | Connecticut Huskies | -$47 | 03-21 23:00 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 45 | $5.9K | 7,130 | 7,130 | +0 | No | -$37 | 03-23 18:18 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 44 | $4.2K | 6,238 | 6,238 | +0 | No | -$9 | 03-23 11:06 |
| cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 total 151pt5 | 3 | $4.0K | 4,264 | 4,264 | +0 | Under | -$253 | 03-27 13:22 |
| cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5 | 5 | $3.6K | 3,459 | 3,459 | +0 | Under | -$4 | 03-27 13:15 |
| will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432 | 95 | $3.5K | 3,606 | 3,275 | +331 | No | +$222 | 03-21 22:54 |
| will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026 | 76 | $3.3K | 3,518 | 3,488 | +30 | Yes | -$162 | 03-24 23:05 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 31 | $3.2K | 4,072 | 4,072 | +0 | No | -$63 | 04-13 00:09 |
| will kuwait strike iran by march 31 | 25 | $3.1K | 2,246 | 2,246 | +0 | No | -$1 | 03-24 07:23 |
| will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026 | 25 | $3.0K | 2,339 | 2,339 | +0 | No | -$24 | 03-24 21:04 |
| Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 5 | $2.8K | 1,800 | 1,800 | +0 | No | +$756 | 02-28 22:00 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253 | 23 | $2.5K | 2,213 | 2,213 | +0 | No | -$28 | 03-24 07:23 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 45 | $2.5K | 2,564 | 2,564 | +0 | No | -$1 | 03-24 07:23 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? | 3 | $2.3K | 1,675 | 1,675 | +0 | Yes | +$921 | 04-28 20:27 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 37 | $2.2K | 2,301 | 2,301 | +0 | No | -$46 | 05-18 16:20 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | 29 | $2.1K | 1,981 | 1,629 | +352 | No | +$12 | 05-17 16:04 |
| iran leadership change by march 31 | 33 | $2.1K | 2,116 | 2,116 | +0 | No | -$4 | 03-23 17:07 |
| us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894 | 24 | $2.1K | 2,085 | 1,745 | +340 | No | -$29 | 03-26 02:38 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? | 9 | $2.1K | 1,464 | 1,464 | +0 | No | -$8 | 03-24 00:55 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 39 | $2.1K | 2,331 | 2,187 | +144 | Yes | -$24 | 05-18 22:43 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | 9 | $2.0K | 1,225 | 1,225 | +0 | No | -$6 | 05-18 20:54 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | 31 | $1.9K | 2,529 | 2,025 | +504 | No | -$13 | 05-17 13:34 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 4 | $1.9K | 3,648 | 3,648 | +0 | Yes | +$1,793 | 04-08 01:13 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026? | 7 | $1.9K | 1,090 | 1,090 | +0 | Yes | -$16 | 05-12 11:46 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 39 | $1.8K | 1,879 | 1,879 | +0 | No | -$28 | 04-28 20:40 |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? | 16 | $1.8K | 1,698 | 1,698 | +0 | Yes | +$1 | 05-18 22:43 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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