Idealistic-Threat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$228

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-15 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

96% 0% $-23

Sports

4% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+34	$10	22¢	$8	$-2	07-15 21:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp landalu fritz 2026 06 10	4	$26	31	26	+6	open	—	06-11 17:05
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	1	$20	109	0	+109	open	—	03-25 19:52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	3	$16	83	0	+83	Luciano Darderi	$-16	05-13 22:47
atp ofner busta 2026 03 28	2	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	03-28 10:14
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	2	$14	162	81	+81	open	—	03-26 12:24
wta tomljan yastrem 2026 06 11	2	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	06-11 17:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	07-15 21:16
atp balshaw jover 2026 07 07	1	$10	86	0	+86	open	—	07-07 13:51
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	06-11 17:03
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	06-16 20:18
will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$8	126	0	+126	open	—	03-29 05:04
nba hou nop 2026 03 29	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	03-29 05:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$7	529	0	+529	open	—	05-14 23:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1	$7	17	0	+17	Andrey Rublev	$-7	05-10 23:41
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	2	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	03-30 08:59
itf juncade echever 2026 06 11	2	$6	55	0	+55	open	—	06-11 15:55
atp coria blancan 2026 07 07	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	07-07 13:51
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-30 08:58
atp valle jover 2026 06 11	1	$5	168	0	+168	open	—	06-11 15:54
atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	1	$5	67	0	+67	open	—	07-07 13:50
wta preston tan 2026 06 09	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	06-09 21:06
atp martine balshaw 2026 06 11	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	06-11 15:01
highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 17c	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 20:05
atp hurkacz fucsovi 2026 06 08	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	06-09 21:07
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	07-02 13:34
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$2	15	0	+15	Thunder	$-2	05-07 02:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-07 02:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$1	167	0	+167	open	—	03-25 19:57
highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 20c	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	03-25 20:05
will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	1	$1	97	0	+97	open	—	03-29 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 21:16:34	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf10dea…
07-07 13:51:23	atp coria blancan 2026 07 07	Geoffrey Blancaneaux	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0cdf35…
07-07 13:51:05	atp balshaw jover 2026 07 07	Carlos Sanchez Jover	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xe5f97c…
07-07 13:50:32	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x57f4b4…
07-02 13:34:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x502680…
06-16 20:18:22	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xda1bf7…
06-11 17:05:22	atp landalu fritz 2026 06 10	Taylor Fritz	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x32c46f…
06-11 17:03:43	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7647c1…
06-11 17:02:25	wta tomljan yastrem 2026 06 11	Ajla Tomljanovic	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0xa95fd3…
06-11 15:55:22	itf juncade echever 2026 06 11	Manel Lazaro Juncadella	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x09725c…
06-11 15:54:13	atp valle jover 2026 06 11	Carlos Sanchez Jover	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0x01820c…
06-11 15:53:36	wta tomljan yastrem 2026 06 11	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x51c9f6…
06-11 15:52:45	atp landalu fritz 2026 06 10	Taylor Fritz	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb88e91…
06-11 15:52:19	atp landalu fritz 2026 06 10	Martin Landaluce	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x677934…
06-11 15:02:51	itf juncade echever 2026 06 11	Manel Lazaro Juncadella	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x484c8c…
06-11 15:02:10	atp landalu fritz 2026 06 10	Martin Landaluce	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4af5ff…
06-11 15:01:30	atp martine balshaw 2026 06 11	Pedro Martinez	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x517576…
06-09 21:07:15	atp hurkacz fucsovi 2026 06 08	Marton Fucsovics	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8ef955…
06-09 21:06:51	wta preston tan 2026 06 09	Taylah Preston	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x81ffe5…
05-14 23:07:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x55a4dc…
05-13 22:47:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Rafael Jodar	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x413950…
05-13 22:40:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Rafael Jodar	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6ff56e…
05-13 22:24:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Rafael Jodar	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x639717…
05-10 23:41:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xe4c82f…
05-07 02:17:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x601777…
05-07 02:17:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3e525c…
05-07 02:17:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdfeaab…
05-07 02:14:12	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0ba851…
05-07 02:11:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xe2d41c…
03-30 08:59:24	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6607e1…
03-30 08:58:58	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2af9b0…
03-30 08:58:52	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6ea5cd…
03-29 05:04:40	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x3b94e4…
03-29 05:04:12	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb0fd85…
03-29 05:04:02	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x06efe9…
03-29 05:03:54	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x73be27…
03-29 05:00:28	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x4935ca…
03-28 10:14:35	atp ofner busta 2026 03 28	Sebastian Ofner	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdd118a…
03-28 10:14:21	atp ofner busta 2026 03 28	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfac79c…
03-26 12:24:09	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	Yes	SELL	81	5¢	$4	0x2ca811…
03-25 20:05:23	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5abb49…
03-25 20:05:13	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc1c941…
03-25 20:05:07	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd8b8f6…
03-25 20:05:01	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbbd96f…
03-25 19:57:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x622023…
03-25 19:52:47	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x5cca4b…
03-25 19:52:31	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	Yes	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0xea9c62…