Shocking-Scrutiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-11 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 50% $-5

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773071100	2	$297	152	152	+0	open	—	03-09 15:50
btc updown 5m 1773077100	7	$260	190	188	+2	open	—	03-09 17:31
btc updown 5m 1773071700	1	$174	177	0	+177	open	—	03-09 15:58
btc updown 5m 1773083700	2	$108	59	59	+0	open	—	03-09 19:20
btc updown 5m 1773123000	3	$108	59	58	+0	open	—	03-10 06:15
btc updown 5m 1773075300	5	$105	77	76	+1	open	—	03-09 17:01
btc updown 5m 1773075000	5	$104	85	46	+38	open	—	03-09 16:55
btc updown 5m 1773124200	2	$103	56	55	+0	open	—	03-10 06:34
btc updown 5m 1773066900	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	03-09 14:40
btc updown 5m 1773064500	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	03-09 14:00
btc updown 5m 1773066000	3	$94	55	54	+0	open	—	03-09 14:25
btc updown 5m 1773083400	2	$93	51	51	+0	open	—	03-09 19:15
btc updown 5m 1773083100	2	$85	44	44	+0	open	—	03-09 19:10
btc updown 5m 1773071400	3	$83	55	54	+1	open	—	03-09 15:56
btc updown 5m 1773082800	2	$70	42	42	+0	open	—	03-09 19:07
btc updown 5m 1773066600	3	$69	45	44	+1	open	—	03-09 14:35
eth updown 5m 1773131700	2	$65	45	45	+1	open	—	03-10 08:38
btc updown 5m 1773076200	4	$60	45	44	+1	open	—	03-09 17:14
btc updown 5m 1773084000	1	$58	74	0	+74	open	—	03-09 19:20
btc updown 5m 1773124500	2	$54	66	0	+66	open	—	03-10 06:39
btc updown 5m 1773082500	2	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 18:59
btc updown 5m 1773168300	4	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	03-10 18:50
btc updown 5m 1773065400	2	$50	32	31	+0	open	—	03-09 14:14
btc updown 5m 1773082200	5	$50	93	42	+51	open	—	03-09 18:55
btc updown 5m 1773074700	3	$48	29	28	+0	open	—	03-09 16:50
eth updown 5m 1773081000	2	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	03-09 18:35
btc updown 5m 1773079200	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	03-09 18:04
btc updown 5m 1773171300	3	$43	36	19	+17	open	—	03-10 19:40
btc updown 5m 1773063600	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	03-09 13:45
btc updown 5m 1773169500	4	$41	50	50	+1	open	—	03-10 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5fbd31…
05-10 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x58b921…
05-09 16:11:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xa792d5…
05-09 16:10:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfab69a…
05-09 16:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x931ebf…
05-09 16:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x696394…
05-09 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e21f4…
05-09 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc9dda1…
05-09 16:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5c0b90…
05-09 15:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5abb66…
05-09 15:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5e600e…
05-09 15:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0077bc…
05-09 15:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc1a888…
05-09 15:54:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xaac5e3…
05-08 00:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe7f11e…
05-07 23:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8e6af…
05-07 22:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x82bfa3…
05-07 22:57:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x40936a…
05-07 22:54:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xbbebbb…
05-07 22:53:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xe67dc9…
05-07 16:33:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2bd21e…
05-07 16:32:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xba8f24…
04-28 21:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2acaf5…
04-25 14:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xcc2c95…
04-25 14:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7fb8e2…
04-21 21:06:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x309375…
04-21 21:05:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5531ae…
04-20 08:45:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x738e5b…
04-12 20:49:17	btc updown 5m 1776026700	Up	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xf1544c…
04-12 20:48:03	btc updown 5m 1776026700	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe5def8…
04-12 20:45:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x51eb25…
04-12 12:14:11	btc updown 5m 1775995800	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x26850d…
04-12 12:13:43	btc updown 5m 1775995800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x918cf8…
04-12 10:01:07	btc updown 5m 1775987700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c4e70…
04-12 09:59:21	btc updown 5m 1775987700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2cc403…
04-12 09:58:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x3713de…
03-30 16:01:27	btc updown 5m 1774886400	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x22af88…
03-30 15:58:07	btc updown 5m 1774886100	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdb5bfe…
03-30 15:56:01	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd956f1…
03-30 15:51:23	btc updown 5m 1774885800	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x715650…
03-26 14:37:23	btc updown 5m 1774535700	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xac541a…
03-26 14:35:23	btc updown 5m 1774535700	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xde6266…
03-26 14:35:05	btc updown 5m 1774535400	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x485f9d…
03-26 14:33:59	btc updown 5m 1774535400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3d7a85…
03-26 14:33:45	btc updown 5m 1774535400	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8abc5c…
03-26 13:38:57	btc updown 5m 1774532100	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5c6a56…
03-26 13:37:21	btc updown 5m 1774532100	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0a038a…
03-25 16:54:15	btc updown 5m 1774457400	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xcd4c62…
03-25 16:53:53	btc updown 5m 1774457400	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xf17c4d…
03-25 16:50:13	btc updown 5m 1774457400	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4b071d…
03-25 16:47:53	btc updown 5m 1774457100	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x415f92…
03-25 16:45:57	btc updown 5m 1774457100	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x65a08b…
03-25 16:44:47	eth updown 5m 1774456800	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2eedd3…
03-25 16:44:07	eth updown 5m 1774456800	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7977d2…
03-25 16:39:17	btc updown 5m 1774456500	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x97b7ca…
03-25 16:38:07	btc updown 5m 1774456500	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf55a14…
03-25 16:34:49	btc updown 5m 1774456200	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7cf99e…
03-25 16:32:39	btc updown 5m 1774456200	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe43c45…
03-24 02:09:43	btc updown 5m 1774317900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18e460…
03-24 02:06:29	btc updown 5m 1774317900	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdd71ac…
03-24 01:59:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd8bbf7…
03-23 10:14:03	btc updown 5m 1774260600	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb42b9e…
03-23 10:12:29	btc updown 5m 1774260600	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xcf38e0…
03-23 10:11:21	btc updown 5m 1774260600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x48f2bc…
03-23 09:04:17	btc updown 5m 1774256400	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x912b4e…
03-23 09:02:09	btc updown 5m 1774256400	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc7ec2f…
03-23 09:01:53	btc updown 5m 1774256100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98077f…
03-23 08:58:31	btc updown 5m 1774256100	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xad14dd…
03-23 08:56:41	btc updown 5m 1774256100	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc27686…
03-23 00:56:11	btc updown 5m 1774227300	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x745d0e…
03-23 00:55:41	btc updown 5m 1774227300	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7bfcb3…
03-23 00:48:17	btc updown 5m 1774226700	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5ededb…
03-23 00:47:19	btc updown 5m 1774226700	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd2699d…
03-23 00:43:41	btc updown 5m 1774226400	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x593962…
03-23 00:42:13	btc updown 5m 1774226400	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x75ce76…
03-23 00:38:53	eth updown 5m 1774226100	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x39db66…
03-23 00:38:05	eth updown 5m 1774226100	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd1c20a…
03-23 00:37:45	btc updown 5m 1774226100	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x1f24a4…
03-23 00:36:31	btc updown 5m 1774226100	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf38dac…
03-23 00:35:03	btc updown 5m 1774225800	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x89fab5…
03-23 00:32:35	btc updown 5m 1774225800	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x2fb257…
03-23 00:31:45	btc updown 5m 1774225800	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x38f26b…
03-22 21:41:53	btc updown 15m 1774215000	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x1c7f6f…
03-22 21:40:03	btc updown 15m 1774215000	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xaaf86d…
03-22 21:39:03	eth updown 5m 1774215300	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x228f99…
03-22 21:38:21	eth updown 5m 1774215300	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x90573d…
03-22 21:34:51	eth updown 5m 1774215000	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xa76f8b…
03-22 21:33:29	eth updown 5m 1774215000	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xb1d1e5…
03-22 21:31:07	btc updown 15m 1774214100	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9c8efd…
03-22 21:29:13	btc updown 15m 1774214100	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x481f25…
03-22 21:27:05	btc updown 5m 1774214700	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x48fae5…
03-22 21:25:05	btc updown 5m 1774214700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf3827c…
03-22 11:57:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf81fa2…
03-21 09:49:15	btc updown 5m 1774086300	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4e160e…
03-21 09:48:23	btc updown 5m 1774086300	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8c0a4a…
03-21 01:29:21	btc updown 5m 1774056300	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x1be32b…
03-21 01:29:07	btc updown 5m 1774056300	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x149e42…
03-21 00:17:21	btc updown 5m 1774052100	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb3cdd3…
03-21 00:16:55	btc updown 5m 1774052100	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x59d84a…
03-21 00:06:27	btc updown 5m 1774051500	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x43e99f…