Meaty-Epauliere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.01K

Unrealized P&L

+$198

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

501

Trades

6,773

lifetime

Volume

$262.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$1.13K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-19 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Politics

49% 65% +$1,312

Other

41% 54% -$45

Crypto

5% 50% +$204

Sports

3% 52% +$38

Tech

2% 82% +$464

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No		+2,060	$930	55¢	$1.1K	+$200	10-17 23:00
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-100	-$1	4¢	$-4	-$2	09-14 06:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	24	$8.1K	9,250	2,250	+7,000	No	+$401	06-03 22:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	22	$5.9K	4,600	1,600	+3,000	No	+$89	05-26 12:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	11	$4.9K	4,000	1,000	+3,000	No	+$52	05-30 17:54
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	30	$4.8K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	-$2,535	08-12 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$4.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$93	06-28 23:52
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	32	$4.3K	3,100	1,400	+1,700	Yes	+$241	07-28 20:17
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	17	$4.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$1,063	08-12 18:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$3.6K	3,000	2,400	+600	Yes	+$5	04-09 00:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$3.1K	1,950	1,950	+0	open	—	05-24 05:15
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	55	$3.1K	4,150	4,150	+0	Yes	-$62	09-07 21:32
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	42	$3.1K	2,311	2,311	+0	No	+$57	06-30 17:14
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	13	$3.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	No	+$20	06-24 13:27
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	13	$2.6K	2,650	0	+2,650	No	+$84	09-01 14:21
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	58	$2.5K	4,394	2,334	+2,060	open	—	10-17 23:00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	14	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$90	06-22 19:38
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	32	$2.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$4	06-02 11:49
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	19	$2.4K	1,750	1,750	+0	No	+$562	08-17 16:36
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$2.4K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$293	06-28 09:01
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	40	$2.4K	2,348	817	+1,531	John	+$456	05-31 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	18	$2.3K	2,081	381	+1,700	Yes	+$195	06-17 22:33
trump renames ai by september 30	64	$2.2K	2,673	2,022	+651	Yes	-$60	09-29 19:09
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?	15	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$52	07-24 22:51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	60	$2.0K	1,577	1,635	-58	Yes	+$244	07-01 00:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	15	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$18	06-22 19:43
Will the US strike Somalia next?	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$3	02-04 23:32
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	64	$1.9K	2,182	1,538	+644	Yes	+$115	05-28 20:53
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	34	$1.9K	1,023	1,073	-50	No	+$108	02-03 11:23
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	29	$1.9K	1,606	1,606	+0	open	—	08-16 11:53
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	64	$1.8K	2,889	1,776	+1,113	Yes	+$2,429	05-01 18:59
over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	15	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$284	07-04 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 06:48:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	150	82¢	$123	0x84c67d…
10-18 16:24:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x3c92ed…
10-17 23:00:38	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x9394f2…
10-17 10:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x3785a4…
10-17 09:59:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x2f3bdb…
10-16 23:15:56	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xf055d1…
10-16 18:55:25	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x74760c…
10-16 18:47:53	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	16	65¢	$11	0xcf3dae…
10-16 18:47:53	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2f67eb…
10-16 18:47:53	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x2d439d…
10-16 18:44:50	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	24	64¢	$16	0x8b8710…
10-16 18:44:29	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xc8af93…
10-16 18:42:49	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x5300bf…
10-16 18:33:58	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x90e3f1…
10-16 18:33:42	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x758b7d…
10-16 18:25:09	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	SELL	453	0¢	$1	0x429a08…
10-16 18:25:00	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	SELL	475	1¢	$4	0xf52c50…
10-16 18:20:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0xdeb796…
10-16 18:18:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	62¢	$46	0xdff1df…
10-16 18:17:53	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xaa35c7…
10-16 18:17:02	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	SELL	133	94¢	$125	0xbaf567…
10-16 17:30:54	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x7d7a55…
10-16 17:26:53	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xc872b7…
10-16 17:24:39	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x86702d…
10-16 17:15:20	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe46247…
10-16 17:15:17	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x5e9989…
10-16 17:15:06	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xaec725…
10-16 13:20:00	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xdf4cd9…
10-16 13:18:54	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x517c59…
10-16 12:42:52	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xa51bc2…
10-16 10:31:45	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd2a0cf…
10-16 07:56:43	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xe57844…
10-15 21:19:14	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x2eca97…
10-15 15:36:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x21a030…
10-15 15:15:17	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x1190bc…
10-15 15:02:50	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4f80c2…
10-15 15:02:34	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	75	18¢	$14	0x09335d…
10-15 14:53:29	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x685e07…
10-15 12:50:25	Will Trudy peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	23	81¢	$18	0xa33cc7…
10-15 12:37:14	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xf7bc59…
10-15 12:36:47	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xd44cc8…
10-15 08:54:29	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x15ff70…
10-14 20:25:24	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0xebb49e…
10-14 20:03:10	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xaf14f5…
10-14 17:01:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x91f7ff…
10-12 20:21:08	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x7a1b80…
10-12 20:20:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xc044c0…
10-12 20:19:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$60	0xade1e3…
10-12 20:16:39	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xe74e47…
10-12 20:14:23	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xd1bc59…
10-12 20:13:02	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x1df6ba…
10-12 19:56:27	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x69f283…
10-12 15:37:03	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xb5fffd…
10-12 15:36:15	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xd480b6…
10-12 15:32:12	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$6	0x4e60e3…
10-12 13:07:38	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xe9748b…
10-12 12:27:21	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x3dcd1c…
10-12 11:51:50	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x6a1953…
10-12 11:39:27	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xcd75b1…
10-12 11:30:15	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xc42290…
10-12 11:29:56	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xba77c7…
10-12 11:20:03	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x7ce994…
10-12 09:56:53	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x224c01…
10-12 09:54:22	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x36124b…
10-11 19:46:24	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xb50793…
10-11 14:26:54	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf0701a…
10-11 14:26:25	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x52ab07…
10-11 09:30:34	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x301ee6…
10-11 07:55:27	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x8aeb62…
10-11 07:04:03	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xd10f16…
10-10 21:01:45	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xa35597…
10-10 21:00:58	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	76	61¢	$46	0x7d5ef3…
10-10 20:58:22	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	24	61¢	$15	0x6adef4…
10-10 20:10:39	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x2772ff…
10-10 19:38:10	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	SELL	160	6¢	$10	0x879789…
10-10 16:22:12	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa03f88…
10-09 22:07:34	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xaf2c3e…
10-09 21:11:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x215666…
10-09 20:19:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xdd3f75…
10-09 20:19:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x7f1b70…
10-09 14:03:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe371d1…
10-09 14:02:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x7c489e…
10-09 12:34:25	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x984a4b…
10-09 12:34:09	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	93	80¢	$74	0xd43377…
10-09 12:16:18	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x3ce021…
10-09 11:33:55	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x2c8381…
10-09 10:05:51	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xed6f23…
10-09 08:57:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x76d33b…
10-09 08:57:12	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xca8708…
10-09 08:18:36	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wolf?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x2876e7…
10-09 08:17:03	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wolf?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x3b3889…
10-09 08:15:45	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wolf?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xd31cac…
10-09 07:55:15	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x6bd1c3…
10-09 07:52:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xcbc186…
10-09 07:45:13	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x9198dd…
10-09 07:43:10	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xd4ed78…
10-09 07:43:10	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x92379f…
10-09 07:19:25	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc4929d…
10-09 07:16:37	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xf69b86…
10-09 07:08:13	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x28f737…