Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$120
Hit rate
17.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
12
lifetime
Volume
$505
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$460
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-13 12:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
42% 0% $-12
Sports
4% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +350 $262 72¢ $254 $-8 05-10 22:36
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit? No +100 $20 99¢ $99 +$79 05-13 11:43
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No +100 $23 82¢ $82 +$58 05-11 09:10
US x China tariff agreement by May 31? No -69 $-18 32¢ $-22 $-5 05-13 12:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Yes +60 $8 $3 $-5 05-06 16:33