Meaty-Epauliere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$199

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,879

lifetime

Volume

$167.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$59

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 17:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-262

Other

39% 50% +$2,371

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$50

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No		+75	$-152	62¢	$46	+$199	07-15 15:19
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?	No		+18	$13	70¢	$13	$-0	07-16 20:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	24	$8.1K	9,250	2,250	+7,000	open	—	06-03 22:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	21	$5.9K	4,600	1,560	+3,040	open	—	05-26 12:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	11	$4.9K	4,000	1,000	+3,000	open	—	05-30 17:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$4.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	06-28 23:52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$3.6K	3,000	2,400	+600	open	—	04-09 00:09
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	42	$3.1K	2,311	2,311	+0	open	—	06-30 17:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$2.4K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	06-28 09:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$2.0K	1,824	381	+1,443	open	—	06-17 22:33
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	35	$2.0K	2,148	569	+1,578	open	—	05-31 19:04
Will the US strike Somalia next?	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-04 23:32
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	59	$2.0K	1,511	1,635	-124	open	—	07-01 00:59
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	34	$1.9K	1,023	1,073	-50	open	—	02-03 11:23
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	62	$1.8K	2,082	1,488	+594	open	—	05-28 20:53
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	64	$1.8K	2,889	1,776	+1,113	Yes	+$2,429	05-01 18:59
over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	15	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-04 08:44
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	27	$1.6K	1,606	1,306	+300	open	—	07-15 15:19
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$1.6K	781	781	+0	open	—	01-27 02:45
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	29	$1.5K	2,820	1,000	+1,820	open	—	06-17 17:00
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	48	$1.5K	785	896	-111	open	—	03-26 09:18
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	07-01 19:42
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	9	$1.4K	735	735	+0	open	—	01-29 01:09
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	3	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	07-17 15:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	21	$1.3K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	04-21 07:43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	6	$1.3K	500	800	-300	open	—	05-30 08:19
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	8	$1.3K	900	400	+500	open	—	02-10 05:07
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	50	$1.2K	778	778	+0	open	—	03-06 18:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	21	$1.2K	1,300	500	+800	open	—	04-15 20:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	12	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-15 12:43
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	21	$1.2K	1,068	1,068	+0	open	—	07-13 22:28
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	32	$1.1K	823	823	+0	open	—	04-10 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 11:44:24	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xcc2b8e…
07-22 11:04:31	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286	Yes	BUY	489	20¢	$98	0xfe7362…
07-21 17:15:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xcb201d…
07-21 15:54:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	193	93¢	$180	0x6ecb36…
07-21 14:37:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x481a75…
07-21 07:43:43	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0x1d070b…
07-20 15:45:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	61¢	$183	0x742b58…
07-20 15:45:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x27dd3b…
07-20 15:44:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0xc848dd…
07-20 15:42:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x13c210…
07-20 15:37:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	145	65¢	$94	0x88b445…
07-20 13:11:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	245	31¢	$76	0xe4c6c1…
07-20 13:10:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xb8dc86…
07-20 12:31:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x27f96c…
07-20 11:19:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x1ffc02…
07-20 10:55:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x306efe…
07-19 21:49:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7cab0f…
07-19 21:46:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x9bed0d…
07-19 21:46:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x608063…
07-19 21:18:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb87ea8…
07-19 20:59:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x89ebb6…
07-19 20:59:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x781a98…
07-19 20:26:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x00cd48…
07-19 19:17:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x41b604…
07-19 19:04:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xa33aef…
07-18 07:44:36	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x01cc49…
07-18 04:11:00	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0x1e7a45…
07-18 02:02:27	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xd536d8…
07-18 01:59:36	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xc1a5e4…
07-18 01:58:49	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0xce2e37…
07-18 01:55:24	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xbb2118…
07-17 16:55:33	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	74	95¢	$71	0x6a8538…
07-17 16:55:31	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x849551…
07-17 16:55:16	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x63e6f0…
07-17 16:55:15	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x2030a5…
07-17 16:51:39	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xc3cfd4…
07-17 16:44:13	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x94f8a1…
07-17 16:44:03	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0xf7edff…
07-17 16:44:03	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x527621…
07-17 16:44:01	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x185813…
07-17 16:43:58	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf7a05a…
07-17 16:43:58	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x7de034…
07-17 16:43:58	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x251233…
07-17 16:43:57	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf311b3…
07-17 16:22:57	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x3bce4d…
07-17 16:20:19	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	101	13¢	$13	0x73a164…
07-17 16:19:42	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	399	13¢	$52	0x4866f2…
07-17 15:06:31	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	750	100¢	$749	0x07ffc0…
07-17 13:21:10	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	31	78¢	$25	0x85d75b…
07-17 13:20:24	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	19	78¢	$14	0xcb71b0…
07-17 13:15:57	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	150	78¢	$117	0x8a0679…
07-17 11:29:57	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x7a3d94…
07-17 11:25:49	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x78d4b7…
07-17 11:22:25	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x0bd981…
07-17 10:24:09	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x404397…
07-17 09:13:36	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xd67daa…
07-17 09:10:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x92ccb6…
07-17 00:23:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	964	1¢	$12	0xb51f74…
07-16 21:21:26	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	150	48¢	$72	0x16c86a…
07-16 20:45:08	Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x4fce99…
07-16 20:43:58	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x2a5da0…
07-16 20:32:44	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x45dfa9…
07-16 19:42:22	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0x7010b6…
07-16 08:58:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x78e218…
07-16 04:42:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xfb7646…
07-15 23:15:08	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x32963b…
07-15 20:42:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x4c811e…
07-15 20:18:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xa8e913…
07-15 19:17:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x0a9a2c…
07-15 19:04:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0x255a4d…
07-15 19:04:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0x34f287…
07-15 19:04:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x77417a…
07-15 19:02:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x97632d…
07-15 15:19:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x032eff…
07-15 14:05:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x154046…
07-15 12:43:52	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x413a22…
07-15 11:08:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xac81fe…
07-14 21:12:16	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	150	45¢	$68	0xdbf1aa…
07-14 21:05:41	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x41018d…
07-14 20:50:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x19ec6d…
07-14 20:37:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x6374fb…
07-14 20:32:56	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xac8182…
07-14 15:00:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7198d7…
07-14 14:10:49	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xac09ba…
07-13 22:28:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	259	10¢	$26	0x837b12…
07-13 21:14:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xace9ee…
07-13 21:11:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x5bed94…
07-13 20:06:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x53fbe9…
07-13 20:03:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	150	84¢	$127	0x7c1da0…
07-13 20:02:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	43	80¢	$34	0x037c0e…
07-13 20:02:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x9c366e…
07-13 19:49:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	150	79¢	$118	0x7c2325…
07-13 19:23:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	45	79¢	$35	0xaa277d…
07-13 19:18:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	55	79¢	$43	0x6093aa…
07-13 19:09:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	190	79¢	$150	0x5bb320…
07-13 17:22:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xb93e8b…
07-13 16:54:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xbd0a53…
07-13 16:52:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x3d79b5…
07-13 16:52:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0x01d399…
07-13 16:30:25	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x80fd09…