Shallow-Firm — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$45

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved (90d)

285

Trades (90d)

292

1,050 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.09K

$5.27K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-13 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Sports

60% 61% +$27

Other

39% 71% +$31

Politics

1% 50% -$3

Tech

0% 67% -$2

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Grizzlies	+14	$8	98¢	$14	+$6	11-13 17:40
Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	+14	$8	66¢	$10	+$2	11-13 17:39
Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	+14	$10	68¢	$9	-$1	11-13 17:44
Hawks vs. Bulls	Hawks	+14	$10	30¢	$4	-$6	11-13 17:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-12	-$8	10¢	$-1	+$6	06-30 18:28
Knicks vs. Pacers	Knicks	+16	$12	0¢	$0	-$12	11-13 17:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?	3	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	06-07 00:01
Panthers vs. Eagles	2	$16	26	0	+26	Panthers	+$10	10-17 15:39
ufc cha9 lan6 2026 03 28	2	$12	16	0	+16	Lance Gibson Jr.	-$12	03-28 23:18
Kings vs. Lakers	1	$12	15	0	+15	Lakers	+$3	10-08 22:51
AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5	1	$12	15	0	+15	Over	+$3	09-15 18:22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-14 21:30
Saints vs. Lions	1	$12	16	0	+16	Lions	+$4	09-11 20:36
Raptors vs. 76ers	1	$12	16	0	+16	76ers	+$4	11-12 16:52
Giants vs. Rams	1	$12	16	0	+16	Rams	+$4	09-18 15:59
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-19 05:25
Pistons vs. Wizards	1	$12	15	0	+15	Pistons	+$3	11-12 16:53
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?	1	$12	16	0	+16	Yes	+$4	09-12 21:08
Knicks vs. Raptors	1	$12	16	0	+16	Raptors	+$4	10-13 22:52
Bulls vs. Raptors	1	$12	15	0	+15	Raptors	+$3	10-21 19:01
Raptors vs. Wizards	1	$12	16	0	+16	Raptors	+$4	10-23 20:25
Knicks vs. Pacers	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	11-13 17:37
Will Vikingur Reykjavik win on 2026-09-14?	2	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-14 02:37
Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5	1	$12	15	0	+15	Over	+$3	09-24 19:14
SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5	1	$12	15	0	+15	Over	+$3	09-10 00:32
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-12?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-11 20:32
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5	1	$12	15	0	+15	Over	+$3	09-16 20:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-12 21:12
Browns vs. Jaguars	1	$12	15	0	+15	Jaguars	+$3	09-11 20:41
wnba dal sea 2026 09 23	1	$12	15	0	+15	Dallas Wings	+$3	09-23 22:11
Cardinals vs. 49ers	1	$12	15	0	+15	49ers	+$3	09-26 16:11
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-11 20:31
Chargers vs. Chiefs	1	$12	15	0	+15	Chiefs	+$3	10-17 15:40
Mavericks vs. Rockets	1	$12	15	0	+15	Rockets	+$3	10-21 19:05
Eagles vs. Jaguars	1	$12	16	0	+16	Jaguars	+$4	10-10 14:18
Saints vs. Ravens	1	$12	15	0	+15	Saints	-$12	09-18 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 17:44:25	Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa30049…
11-13 17:40:48	Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Grizzlies	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x40c6b8…
11-13 17:39:25	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xfce304…
11-13 17:38:49	Hawks vs. Bulls	Hawks	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0916c2…
11-13 17:37:46	Bucks vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x019211…
11-13 17:37:22	Knicks vs. Pacers	Knicks	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x54f200…
11-12 16:55:58	Hornets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x236a62…
11-12 16:55:01	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x428670…
11-12 16:53:21	Pistons vs. Wizards	Pistons	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x5a3753…
11-12 16:52:31	Raptors vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x4b9b51…
10-24 20:43:23	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Nuggets	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x27a82c…
10-24 20:42:32	Rockets vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xc71db7…
10-24 20:41:50	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xccb9cb…
10-24 20:41:14	Spread: 76ers (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x9c24ef…
10-24 20:40:33	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x47c08c…
10-24 20:39:35	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe7c16d…
10-24 14:13:17	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x845331…
10-24 14:12:47	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x5bd656…
10-24 14:12:20	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x9eda0f…
10-24 14:11:53	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x77debb…
10-24 14:11:14	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa434e0…
10-24 14:08:53	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xb11412…
10-24 14:05:23	Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x71d169…
10-24 14:04:12	Dolphins vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc6ffcf…
10-24 14:03:44	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa9c7bf…
10-24 14:03:24	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x0d6d48…
10-24 14:03:03	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x1c736d…
10-24 14:02:26	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xf7c3b0…
10-24 01:15:21	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6a12f0…
10-24 01:14:06	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x1508d7…
10-24 01:13:02	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1ed051…
10-23 20:30:32	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x3a6f9c…
10-23 20:29:44	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5	Over	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x78ff8f…
10-23 20:28:36	Spread: Jazz (-5.5)	Pelicans	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x54c2f8…
10-23 20:27:54	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd02f4e…
10-23 20:27:17	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Heat	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x0fe936…
10-23 20:25:48	Raptors vs. Wizards	Raptors	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x8f4ccb…
10-23 20:25:20	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xecd22b…
10-23 20:24:48	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x63aced…
10-23 20:24:11	Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x259d60…
10-23 20:23:20	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x8ba6fc…
10-22 16:06:48	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4c3c12…
10-22 16:06:17	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x52ce21…
10-21 19:07:14	Kings vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x913479…
10-21 19:06:42	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbec127…
10-21 19:06:14	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x3ad2c1…
10-21 19:05:39	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x7b3f81…
10-21 19:04:51	Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)	Jazz	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xdd06b4…
10-21 19:03:02	Pacers vs. Pelicans	Pacers	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x6c589b…
10-21 19:02:17	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xcba44c…
10-21 19:01:24	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x9bc946…
10-21 19:00:44	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x9778cf…
10-21 19:00:05	Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x955bec…
10-21 18:58:42	Bucks vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xdde6c7…
10-17 15:41:47	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x949c75…
10-17 15:41:26	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xa74087…
10-17 15:40:48	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcb0311…
10-17 15:40:26	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x1ff1c2…
10-17 15:39:59	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Steelers	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x7a3127…
10-17 15:39:20	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xa0fbcf…
10-17 15:38:53	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x31ac3e…
10-17 15:38:12	Jets vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xae77a4…
10-17 15:37:50	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7e5201…
10-17 15:37:24	Ravens vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xbe974f…
10-17 15:36:53	Bears vs. Falcons	Bears	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf1fa01…
10-17 15:36:27	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x80458a…
10-17 15:35:57	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x1d4e5e…
10-13 22:57:03	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x6d9209…
10-13 22:55:51	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x283126…
10-13 22:55:15	nba cle orl 2026 10 13 total 234pt5	Under	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x808e0f…
10-13 22:54:00	nba gsw lal 2026 10 13 total 225pt5	Over	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x86686a…
10-13 22:52:40	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2387a2…
10-13 22:52:09	Knicks vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xbecd7b…
10-10 14:30:24	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xbd07bd…
10-10 14:29:57	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xa02408…
10-10 14:29:18	Lions vs. Cardinals	Lions	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x286351…
10-10 14:23:51	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x4bc40f…
10-10 14:23:18	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x2a2715…
10-10 14:22:55	Colts vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x802a98…
10-10 14:22:22	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x091b31…
10-10 14:21:36	Vikings vs. Saints	Vikings	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x16dd3c…
10-10 14:20:57	Giants vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xbbaed6…
10-10 14:20:34	Texans vs. Titans	Texans	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x897568…
10-10 14:20:07	Raiders vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xfbb39c…
10-10 14:19:25	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xb520cb…
10-10 14:18:46	Bears vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x038ec5…
10-10 14:18:19	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xf5644c…
10-08 22:54:39	Pelicans vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8543c5…
10-08 22:54:15	Hawks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2403be…
10-08 22:53:36	76ers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x94a9a2…
10-08 22:51:51	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x0f7a7f…
10-04 15:04:46	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf27872…
10-04 15:03:40	Lions vs. Panthers	Lions	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xf6eb55…
10-04 15:02:46	Chargers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x2ce9e3…
10-04 15:02:08	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcc6bce…
10-04 15:00:10	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x0b72f1…
10-04 14:59:40	Cardinals vs. Giants	Cardinals	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x37a753…
10-04 14:59:02	Cowboys vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x422cf0…
10-04 14:58:04	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xb0f5ec…
10-04 14:56:59	Jets vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xf5a260…