Hard-To-Find-Methane 0xca2311…92f403
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Realized P&L
-$83
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
3,713
lifetime
Volume
$51.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.16K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 12:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-83
Other
34% 100% +$0
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $473 72¢ $429 $-44 07-21 15:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +297 $268 90¢ $266 $-2 07-19 22:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +335 $200 66¢ $222 +$22 07-20 20:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +120 $71 64¢ $77 +$6 07-11 12:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +64 $51 88¢ $56 +$5 07-07 04:30
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +60 $32 80¢ $48 +$16 06-26 11:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +40 $31 86¢ $35 +$3 05-29 16:16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +27 $21 86¢ $23 +$3 06-26 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +41 $-6 1¢ $0 +$7 07-12 00:35