Hard-To-Find-Methane 0xca2311…92f403
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Realized P&L
-$83
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,770
lifetime
Volume
$31.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$477
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-11 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
43% 100% +$0
Politics
43% 0% $-83
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +274 $218 74¢ $204 $-13 06-11 13:21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -202 $-176 84¢ $-169 +$7 06-05 17:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +40 $31 82¢ $33 +$1 05-29 16:16
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +40 $18 54¢ $22 +$4 06-10 17:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -277 $-8 6¢ $-18 $-10 06-07 19:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -86 $12 18¢ $-15 $-27 06-11 13:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-4 68¢ $-9 $-5 05-29 13:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-10 16¢ $-5 +$5 06-11 13:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +47 $7 4¢ $2 $-5 06-02 04:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2 $-1 62¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 14:36