Hard-To-Find-Methane 0xca2311…92f403
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Realized P&L
-$83
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
3,192
lifetime
Volume
$43.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$600
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 04:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-83
Other
38% 100% +$0
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
3% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +327 $266 86¢ $283 +$17 06-22 01:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +135 $66 62¢ $83 +$17 06-29 03:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -60 $-67 100¢ $-60 +$8 06-26 10:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +57 $45 84¢ $48 +$3 06-26 15:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +60 $32 74¢ $45 +$13 06-26 11:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +40 $31 88¢ $35 +$4 05-29 16:16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +27 $21 84¢ $23 +$2 06-26 17:48
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$0 06-21 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +18 $-11 30¢ $5 +$17 06-26 16:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -277 $-8 0¢ $-1 +$7 06-07 19:58