Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$164

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$91

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-25 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$6

Politics

19% 100% +$10

Crypto

17% 100% +$0

Sports

10% 0% -$189

Tech

9% 100% +$7

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+92	$71	87¢	$81	+$10	10-25 13:31
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No		+71	$20	14¢	$10	-$10	10-25 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$489	249	249	+0	open	—	09-28 20:33
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$360	205	205	+0	No	+$0	01-20 20:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	1	$259	260	0	+260	No	+$0	09-28 20:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	08-28 14:35
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	2	$194	326	40	+286	Celtics	-$152	03-29 19:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$161	170	0	+170	Yes	+$9	02-18 14:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$107	110	0	+110	No	+$3	05-27 21:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$107	110	0	+110	No	+$3	05-27 21:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$86	92	0	+92	Yes	+$6	06-22 21:24
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	3	$76	78	0	+78	No	+$2	10-25 13:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$71	92	0	+92	open	—	10-25 13:31
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$37	185	0	+185	Nuggets	-$37	04-27 19:08
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	09-28 20:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	09-25 11:11
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	10-25 13:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	10-25 13:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	09-25 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:35:08	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x1568d9…
10-25 13:31:26	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	77¢	$71	0x979ff6…
10-25 13:31:00	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x64bfc7…
10-25 13:25:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x063ae2…
09-28 20:35:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x05eb8b…
09-28 20:34:09	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd00ab8…
09-28 20:33:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	249	98¢	$244	0xecc21e…
09-25 19:49:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9ec414…
09-25 18:48:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x859416…
09-25 18:44:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x8c2276…
09-25 11:14:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0xa59751…
09-25 11:13:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x2c4c11…
09-25 11:12:24	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x6b7218…
09-25 11:12:03	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x9580a0…
09-25 11:11:24	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8c987f…
08-28 14:35:37	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x60ce8c…
08-28 14:35:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xb246e5…
06-22 21:25:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x003cf3…
06-22 21:24:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x0f780a…
05-27 21:53:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0xaa21f8…
05-27 21:35:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x7735d9…
04-27 19:08:00	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	185	20¢	$37	0x6b1508…
03-29 19:56:30	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Hornets	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x8a5ddd…
03-29 19:55:12	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Hornets	BUY	326	53¢	$173	0xb61d08…
02-18 14:36:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	170	94¢	$161	0x0db19a…
01-20 20:33:38	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	132	88¢	$116	0xcac5f4…
01-18 10:52:38	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	73	88¢	$64	0x46abd4…
01-12 22:51:29	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	205	88¢	$180	0xdd752d…