Easy-Gesture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$4.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-10 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$1

Sports

18% 0% $-0

Other

12% 100% +$0

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+7	$5	72¢	$5	+$0	06-04 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	30	$210	142	142	+0	open	—	03-20 03:07
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	20	$155	106	96	+10	open	—	03-16 13:03
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$90	48	48	+0	open	—	03-19 12:39
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	12	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	03-19 21:14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	11	$76	54	54	+0	open	—	02-21 00:36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$62	52	52	+0	open	—	02-16 16:14
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	9	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$0	02-23 15:46
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6	$50	34	34	+0	open	—	02-18 07:09
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$48	25	25	+0	No	$-0	03-15 03:58
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	03-07 04:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	02-28 17:11
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-05 10:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$34	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	02-17 23:45
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-07 00:09
bitcoin up or down march 5 12pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-05 18:08
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-09 03:49
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 22:08
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-01 22:06
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$32	16	16	+0	No	$-0	03-18 09:44
nba was bos 2026 03 14	2	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	03-14 19:16
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	3	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	02-01 14:00
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	02-23 07:07
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 13:57
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	05-29 17:00
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-11 07:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	02-06 07:05
cbb howrd coppst 2026 02 02	5	$22	15	9	+6	open	—	02-02 22:21
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	3	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-01 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 18:58
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:32:33	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xae297e…
06-10 02:06:28	wnba phx gsv 2026 06 09 spread home 7pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3f2846…
06-09 16:18:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xcd0164…
06-09 04:08:33	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 08 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xea4e76…
06-07 22:22:18	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 spread away 2pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x861581…
06-07 20:29:22	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07	San Diego Padres	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x18975d…
06-06 04:05:09	mlb nym sd 2026 06 05 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x2ab161…
06-06 02:53:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcd0478…
06-05 23:17:21	mlb cws phi 2026 06 05 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xc670fb…
06-05 23:17:19	mlb cws phi 2026 06 05 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x082f71…
06-04 21:39:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbc9985…
06-03 03:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xffd554…
06-03 01:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf49b1b…
06-03 00:36:53	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xeb416c…
06-02 19:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1ee05e…
06-01 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x361b02…
06-01 10:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x638574…
06-01 02:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9eeb95…
05-31 19:06:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xe12ccd…
05-29 17:00:13	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xa342eb…
05-29 11:19:33	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xd476a2…
05-29 05:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcef9c0…
05-29 03:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc35b98…
05-28 20:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a7233…
05-27 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x054665…
05-26 05:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4eef09…
05-21 19:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcf5d51…
05-20 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf4a4f0…
05-20 02:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9ac874…
05-19 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xec17a2…
05-19 03:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe6091e…
05-19 01:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc011b1…
05-18 11:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5a58d1…
05-18 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9dbc29…
05-18 02:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdde47d…
05-18 01:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x67f2cf…
05-17 12:11:18	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x566702…
05-17 10:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x797b05…
05-17 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c0648…
05-17 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbbe9d7…
05-16 10:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x91789b…
05-16 09:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0fdf0b…
05-15 19:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x31f0ab…
05-15 14:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x372731…
05-15 12:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x591853…
05-15 10:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x033683…
05-15 07:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1f5217…
05-15 05:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4f3171…
05-15 03:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7368a…
05-15 02:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xedc49e…
05-15 00:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x548afa…
05-14 18:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x1826f7…
05-14 18:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa7814a…
05-14 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe11751…
05-14 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x779d2f…
05-14 00:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdb3540…
05-13 18:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x45349f…
05-13 16:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6566e7…
04-29 11:04:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xe285cc…
04-29 10:44:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xa31f46…
04-26 11:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x660419…
04-26 04:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4cccea…
04-26 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd07a79…
04-25 17:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b2195…
04-25 12:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x404942…
04-25 01:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd34906…
04-24 22:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x9ae6ef…
04-24 16:50:42	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc9fe1e…
04-24 08:51:20	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa9ba44…
04-24 05:56:02	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xef3a9e…
04-24 03:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd5c447…
04-23 14:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x462287…
04-23 09:51:26	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80aa9b…
04-23 05:57:04	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf5dc8b…
04-23 03:50:50	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcb554d…
04-22 23:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf258a6…
04-22 21:51:50	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa7979c…
04-22 19:55:30	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcfc6ec…
04-22 19:05:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x875c30…
04-21 21:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xca8326…
04-21 13:55:42	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xafe201…
04-21 03:57:30	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa131ed…
04-21 02:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76dbac…
04-20 21:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ac4b1…
04-20 18:55:38	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x930fbe…
04-20 16:50:52	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x294f1f…
04-20 13:57:34	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x6617ac…
04-20 13:55:16	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe7b934…
04-20 08:54:08	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x4d88d9…
04-15 07:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ac40e…
04-15 02:50:10	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97b193…
04-15 00:50:12	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x935406…
04-14 21:57:52	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x045deb…
04-14 16:51:14	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa4935…
04-14 14:52:43	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2eda1a…
04-14 10:56:41	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x0e2cec…
04-14 05:50:13	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xeb9994…
04-14 03:52:35	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xba2a73…
04-13 22:50:31	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb65d2…
04-13 19:50:09	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x51b039…