Purple-Bit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$95

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

245

Trades

661

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-16 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 45% +$87

Politics

4% 44% +$50

Sports

2% 27% -$27

Tech

2% 50% +$3

Other

2% 26% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	05-04 23:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:25 UTC	3	$70	1,039	39	+1,000	Up	+$6	03-25 16:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$54	05-26 01:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 00:50 UTC	5	$56	60	60	+0	Down	+$46	03-18 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 04:20 UTC	6	$56	46	46	+0	Up	+$34	03-25 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:35 UTC	3	$51	29	28	+0	Down	+$6	03-30 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 04:25 UTC	5	$45	34	34	+0	Up	+$23	03-25 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:50 UTC	4	$34	27	21	+6	Down	+$4	03-31 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:05 UTC	6	$32	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	03-21 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	6	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	03-17 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	4	$29	23	23	+0	Down	+$16	03-25 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:55 UTC	5	$28	20	19	+1	Down	+$9	03-31 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC	3	$26	18	18	+0	Down	+$10	03-22 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 03:20 UTC	3	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	03-23 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 07:30 UTC	3	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$8	03-22 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:15 UTC	5	$22	19	19	+0	Up	+$14	03-17 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:50 UTC	4	$22	17	17	+0	Up	+$10	06-08 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:55 UTC	5	$22	15	15	+0	Down	$0	03-29 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:55 UTC	4	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-17 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:35 UTC	6	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$8	03-17 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:00 UTC	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	03-21 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:40 UTC	5	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$7	03-27 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 03:40 UTC	4	$20	16	15	+0	Down	+$10	03-26 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:10 UTC	3	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$8	03-25 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:20 UTC	4	$20	17	17	+0	Up	+$14	03-21 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:40 UTC	3	$20	13	13	+0	Up	+$6	03-21 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 02:55 UTC	2	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	03-23 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:25 UTC	4	$18	17	17	+0	Up	+$12	03-21 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 07:35 UTC	5	$18	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	03-22 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:05 UTC	5	$17	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	03-27 02:10
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	2	$17	12	12	+0	No	+$7	05-22 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 12:45:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x68919b…
06-16 04:09:37	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xc479c2…
06-08 11:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x655725…
06-08 11:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x51bf31…
06-08 11:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcdad2e…
06-08 11:28:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xaa07bc…
06-08 11:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdfc0d3…
06-08 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x39e87e…
06-08 11:21:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xfe6b9d…
06-08 11:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdf04f2…
06-08 03:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xc0c934…
06-08 03:52:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x347aac…
06-08 03:51:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdbcc7b…
06-08 03:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9fcd42…
06-08 00:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3c6b60…
06-08 00:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7ad186…
06-08 00:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x6bc403…
06-08 00:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xba56db…
05-30 02:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4f239e…
05-30 02:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a01dd…
05-30 02:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6fe406…
05-30 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbbd0bd…
05-30 02:29:48	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4b6b57…
05-30 02:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x26c857…
05-30 02:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x60cccd…
05-30 02:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9c9fe7…
05-30 02:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4974ef…
05-30 02:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$6	0x6cad00…
05-30 02:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4da51c…
05-30 02:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd5dfce…
05-30 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xba322f…
05-30 02:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe34c30…
05-30 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f0b8f…
05-30 02:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf8e6a5…
05-30 02:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0d84d5…
05-30 02:15:03	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa72e88…
05-30 02:13:25	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb4b7b0…
05-28 02:06:53	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x681a84…
05-28 02:06:42	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1eb3f0…
05-28 02:06:19	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xc245a6…
05-28 01:48:53	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa964a3…
05-28 01:48:34	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0114af…
05-27 14:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc22f4c…
05-27 14:08:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xae20e5…
05-27 14:04:25	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x99709f…
05-27 14:02:09	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1dd55f…
05-26 17:51:39	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xd18977…
05-26 17:51:10	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x17d760…
05-26 17:50:14	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb749ad…
05-26 17:47:55	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x42924a…
05-26 17:45:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x25db73…
05-26 17:45:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdf727a…
05-26 17:45:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb1be87…
05-26 17:45:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x396ee9…
05-26 17:44:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x89bbf8…
05-26 17:44:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6345d7…
05-26 10:32:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x49c572…
05-26 01:46:07	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5e4794…
05-26 01:36:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x491a4d…
05-25 06:31:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9d6d81…
05-25 06:30:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xabb488…
05-25 06:30:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x29dcbe…
05-25 06:30:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x7e620b…
05-25 06:29:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7a17d9…
05-24 06:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0fba33…
05-24 06:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x018b18…
05-23 23:00:55	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd2c298…
05-23 22:59:10	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9f7804…
05-23 22:57:36	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfb79af…
05-22 02:37:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3795a8…
05-22 02:35:59	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4aaa32…
05-22 02:35:47	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x28edfe…
05-22 02:35:40	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9ddca4…
05-22 02:35:12	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x26d6d0…
05-22 02:33:10	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xffe63f…
05-21 16:01:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0bed96…
05-21 15:59:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3fa163…
05-19 23:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x4323dd…
05-19 23:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xee6dbc…
05-19 23:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xecb559…
05-19 23:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x78f8b0…
05-19 23:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb7d175…
05-19 23:08:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf7961c…
05-18 02:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xb7ed0b…
05-18 02:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xed9454…
05-18 02:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x836725…
05-18 02:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x91f396…
05-17 06:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e3be2…
05-17 06:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x455d8a…
05-17 06:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2a99a9…
05-17 06:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbc5463…
05-17 06:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x016846…
05-17 06:22:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x99c1bd…
05-17 06:22:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf78678…
05-04 23:08:02	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe1ed09…
05-04 23:07:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeaeeda…
05-04 23:07:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe77357…
05-04 04:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x22108d…
05-04 04:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2a56a3…
05-03 01:10:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x24a1b0…