Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-28 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% -$3

Crypto

42% 91% +$10

Politics

8% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$598	300	300	+0	No	$0	01-22 15:05
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	03-27 12:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$246	124	124	+0	No	$0	03-26 08:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$244	124	124	+0	No	$0	03-30 08:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$242	121	121	+0	No	$0	07-07 08:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$242	121	121	+0	No	$0	09-08 10:32
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	04-23 14:17
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	05-21 07:06
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	07-02 03:20
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	05-27 12:00
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	04-29 07:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	09-28 06:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	06-23 07:54
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	05-14 06:55
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 12:15
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 10:19
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-07 12:52
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 05:41
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 13:12
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-17 15:53
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-23 12:44
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-27 07:16
elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-12 13:25
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-16 05:39
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-31 10:34
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-21 12:57
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-09 10:10
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-10 15:56
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 400 419	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-10 13:50
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 80 99	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 06:45:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x28c86f…
09-28 06:44:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x635b27…
09-28 06:43:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xcd50f3…
09-08 10:33:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x55c34a…
09-08 10:32:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x9eaaee…
09-08 10:32:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x5aeb72…
07-07 08:15:31	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xfa3196…
07-07 08:14:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x6f18ca…
07-07 08:14:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x52cf8b…
07-02 03:22:04	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xba60ee…
07-02 03:20:44	Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xf1959b…
07-02 03:20:17	Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xc87a69…
06-23 07:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 23?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xf63abe…
06-23 07:54:40	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x154575…
06-23 07:54:02	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x70a0c3…
05-27 12:04:19	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x01384c…
05-27 12:00:57	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xc85edf…
05-27 12:00:52	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x4775f0…
05-21 07:07:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xc44405…
05-21 07:06:31	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x6e072d…
05-21 07:06:21	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x0b3c10…
05-14 06:56:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7772d2…
05-14 06:56:10	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4c27f6…
05-14 06:55:30	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0xbfc289…
05-14 06:55:11	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xaf7b98…
04-29 07:12:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x4094ea…
04-29 07:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xfe4a20…
04-29 07:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xecbfac…
04-27 03:55:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xf82938…
04-23 14:20:34	will bitcoin reach 84k on april 23	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x08154f…
04-23 14:17:12	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xcb95a5…
04-23 14:16:58	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x208e5d…
04-21 05:58:02	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 21	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x59a7c5…
04-07 10:14:35	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x57540a…
04-07 10:14:21	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xdb7477…
04-02 09:11:45	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x8c702d…
03-30 08:58:32	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xa6609c…
03-30 08:58:00	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	124	99¢	$122	0x1035e4…
03-30 08:57:48	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	124	99¢	$122	0xc2d5f6…
03-27 12:47:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x39c5b3…
03-27 12:47:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0xd4f0cd…
03-27 12:47:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x6bd670…
03-26 08:28:23	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 26	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x66cd07…
03-26 08:27:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0xd08093…
03-26 08:27:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x60efb6…
03-23 12:45:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbe2d3e…
03-23 12:44:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8946e5…
03-23 12:44:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6f548b…
03-21 12:58:15	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf624c8…
03-21 12:57:29	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5f8497…
03-21 12:57:17	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07c340…
03-17 15:54:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdc080b…
03-17 15:53:59	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc5d553…
03-17 15:53:47	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6abf3…
03-16 05:39:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2a9de2…
03-16 05:39:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xea3977…
03-16 05:38:57	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x04ab41…
03-12 13:26:25	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x79fb07…
03-12 13:25:19	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x50fe1d…
03-12 13:25:07	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3456d1…
03-10 15:56:45	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x82574c…
03-10 15:56:05	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2399e8…
03-10 15:55:45	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2517cb…
03-07 12:52:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x041efe…
03-07 12:52:15	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x47c9bf…
03-07 12:51:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd24e0c…
03-04 09:26:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc30344…
03-04 09:25:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x92dd5a…
03-04 09:25:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x601f76…
03-01 09:13:33	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x345029…
03-01 09:12:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xad18b6…
03-01 09:12:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02d15a…
02-09 10:11:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5b6381…
02-09 10:10:45	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd8fb01…
02-09 10:10:33	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa54031…
02-04 13:13:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3a765d…
02-04 13:12:24	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9a3b20…
02-04 13:12:10	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x48d2b6…
02-02 10:12:16	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e7fbd…
02-02 10:12:00	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 80 99	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc5113d…
02-02 10:11:46	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 80 99	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57128e…
01-31 10:49:04	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1cd79c…
01-31 10:42:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb4ba1…
01-31 10:42:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x067f37…
01-31 10:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf521de…
01-31 10:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe2fce4…
01-31 10:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd29397…
01-31 10:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x89c56b…
01-31 10:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1b7273…
01-31 10:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1ab4c6…
01-31 10:34:42	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa39883…
01-31 10:34:14	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdee149…
01-31 10:28:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x07c1f7…
01-27 07:17:01	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92467f…
01-27 07:16:33	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbd4003…
01-27 07:16:05	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcad8b7…
01-23 05:41:32	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x565f4c…
01-23 05:41:02	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x64e880…
01-22 15:06:06	bitcoin above 94k on january 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x32b40e…
01-22 15:05:36	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd3cb6d…