Fluid-Back — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$275

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-27 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

97% 98% +$27

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$140	03-13 01:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$185	03-13 02:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$9.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$600	03-13 00:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$900	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$900	03-13 01:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	09-02 10:52
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	10-27 09:10
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	08-25 03:12
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$47	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 13:13
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-05 14:01
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	10-27 09:01
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	08-27 02:01
highest temperature in panama city on april 19 2026 23c	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	04-18 03:05
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-04 04:10
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	08-25 03:11
highest temperature in panama city on april 18 2026 27c	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-18 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 28?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	10-27 09:07
solana above 40 on march 29	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	03-26 10:11
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-09 03:22
highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 62 63f	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	03-23 09:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 7c	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-04 04:09
solana above 50 on march 28	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	03-26 10:11
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-14 03:25
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 7?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-04 22:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 29	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-28 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-01 08:35
solana above 60 on march 27	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	03-26 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-10 02:14
will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 30 april 5	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-04 04:10
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-14 03:24
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-09 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:10:54	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x723d4f…
10-27 09:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x577bb4…
10-27 09:01:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x6e3994…
09-02 10:54:13	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x546fda…
09-02 10:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x615b2a…
09-02 10:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x77c71e…
09-02 10:52:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x3e8703…
08-27 02:03:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x7773b4…
08-27 02:02:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x105199…
08-27 02:01:39	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x7ddb18…
08-25 03:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5e1eb2…
08-25 03:18:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x6893c8…
08-25 03:18:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x026caf…
08-25 03:12:01	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x087d2b…
08-25 03:11:37	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x0fc697…
08-04 22:06:44	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x800d40…
08-04 22:04:20	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x715db3…
07-31 03:27:42	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x892f1d…
07-31 03:27:17	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdd396c…
07-31 03:26:29	will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x1bbb04…
07-31 03:26:00	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5df450…
07-31 03:25:32	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfefd59…
07-01 08:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd0c8a1…
07-01 08:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc1561e…
07-01 08:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b5003…
07-01 08:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2c7110…
06-05 07:52:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on June 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8ab47a…
06-05 07:51:09	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcf5966…
06-05 07:50:36	bitcoin above 78k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0ac391…
06-05 07:50:03	bitcoin above 76k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x434d1d…
06-05 07:49:51	bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbdde29…
06-05 07:49:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa3bfdf…
05-10 02:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 27°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xed76c8…
05-10 02:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on May 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x00dbd7…
05-10 02:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0a8526…
05-10 02:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x26cb2b…
04-18 03:05:08	highest temperature in panama city on april 19 2026 23c	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0xa25a7f…
04-18 03:04:58	highest temperature in panama city on april 18 2026 27c	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x07a1de…
04-17 02:23:56	xrp above 0pt9 on april 20	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb8909b…
04-16 02:40:46	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd81048…
04-15 03:50:00	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 15c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfa33e0…
04-14 03:27:17	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd4d36e…
04-14 03:25:05	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdafa47…
04-14 03:24:49	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x83adc5…
04-14 03:24:09	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc4f439…
04-09 08:33:01	highest temperature in tokyo on april 10 2026 16c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x120d70…
04-09 08:31:37	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 11	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x974563…
04-09 08:31:05	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 10	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6826d6…
04-04 04:10:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf19331…
04-04 04:10:03	will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x348028…
04-04 04:09:27	highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 7c	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8d2ac2…
04-01 03:04:17	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 2	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x462403…
04-01 03:04:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 1	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1b6942…
04-01 03:03:41	ethereum above 1500 on april 3	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x365c44…
04-01 03:03:33	ethereum above 1600 on april 2	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x14e85f…
04-01 03:03:23	ethereum above 1800 on april 1	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf4b66f…
03-28 04:11:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 29	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x25ea27…
03-26 10:11:49	solana above 40 on march 29	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb13b4e…
03-26 10:11:35	solana above 50 on march 28	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x098c8b…
03-26 10:11:21	solana above 60 on march 27	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb3ee54…
03-23 09:02:03	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x226200…
03-23 09:01:23	highest temperature in toronto on march 24 2026 neg 3c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1438fc…
03-23 09:00:51	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 9corbelow	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7e8ae4…
03-23 09:00:39	highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 11c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf0a05a…
03-21 08:27:19	highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 18c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe3e2d4…
03-21 08:26:53	highest temperature in wellington on march 23 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfe28a7…
03-21 08:26:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 13c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1dd3e8…
03-18 07:48:45	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 19	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5a5ef5…
03-18 07:48:37	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ec117…
03-18 07:48:19	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 80 99	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x35d6cb…
03-18 07:48:11	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 100 119	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1606fb…
03-18 07:48:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xca6393…
03-13 02:17:19	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x4f7592…
03-13 02:17:03	highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 65forbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x41522e…
03-13 02:16:41	highest temperature in london on march 14 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6311da…
03-13 02:15:47	highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 11c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0f68df…
03-13 02:09:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4e5c52…
03-13 02:09:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xe2912e…
03-13 02:08:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd190d0…
03-13 02:07:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,246	98¢	$1,224	0x50e261…
03-13 02:07:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,013	98¢	$1,975	0x08c9c3…
03-13 02:07:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,508	98¢	$1,478	0x3624f9…
03-13 01:46:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x62238d…
03-13 01:32:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,930	0x1da020…
03-13 01:32:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	9¢	$450	0xe81209…
03-13 01:19:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xdb6846…
03-13 01:18:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,850	99¢	$4,782	0x520122…
03-13 01:16:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	9¢	$450	0x0f94e2…
03-13 01:14:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,910	0x1c8b3d…
03-13 00:58:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xc57c45…
03-13 00:51:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x606935…
03-13 00:48:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4ba9dd…
03-13 00:48:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xfbfc42…
03-13 00:38:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	179	94¢	$168	0xeb44a7…
03-13 00:20:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,300	94¢	$3,102	0xdd8b14…
03-13 00:01:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,417	94¢	$6,032	0xc9357f…
03-09 03:22:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4b6965…
03-09 03:21:43	will bitcoin dip to 63500 on march 8	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x451bd0…
03-09 03:20:49	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5c300d…
03-09 03:20:39	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd0e37f…