Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$213

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.2%

Resolved (90d)

192

Trades (90d)

594

594 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.32K

$4.32K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-30 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

95% 29% -$211

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	13	$183	157	157	+0	Yes	-$24	10-23 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	5	$158	145	105	+40	No	-$19	10-10 06:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	2	$127	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	09-18 12:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	5	$116	141	91	+50	No	-$7	10-09 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?	4	$111	220	0	+220	No	-$1	10-09 19:35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 10?	8	$107	210	0	+210	No	-$2	10-09 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10?	4	$107	210	0	+210	No	-$2	10-09 17:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	3	$107	210	0	+210	Yes	-$2	10-09 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 10?	6	$105	121	85	+36	Yes	-$2	10-09 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 10?	3	$78	110	100	+10	No	-$7	10-09 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?	2	$76	150	0	+150	Yes	-$1	10-09 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 11?	7	$75	140	105	+35	No	-$1	10-10 07:02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?	2	$74	105	105	+0	Yes	-$8	10-09 13:46
Will Kyren Williams finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$72	57	57	+0	open	—	10-05 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	7	$65	64	64	+0	Yes	-$3	10-23 01:51
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 103.00 in October?	4	$61	74	74	+0	open	—	10-05 07:37
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	10-02 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	3	$50	99	0	+99	Yes	$0	10-09 18:05
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	09-22 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 14?	4	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-13 08:58
highest temperature in milan on october 18 2026 18c	6	$32	20	19	+1	No	+$0	10-16 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 10?	2	$31	62	0	+62	Yes	$0	10-09 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?	3	$31	20	20	+0	No	-$2	10-13 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on October 11?	4	$31	61	0	+61	Yes	$0	10-10 11:12
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 11:39
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 18?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-17 23:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?	3	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$3	10-08 04:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?	5	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-15 13:26
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	4	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:01:25	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x130425…
10-30 11:47:30	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5a800e…
10-30 11:45:48	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x8a96b8…
10-30 11:45:16	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x569b6e…
10-29 02:11:58	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8bc478…
10-29 01:11:34	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xc1fa43…
10-28 23:17:14	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x6a1608…
10-28 22:10:08	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x751dd7…
10-27 05:25:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x5d46ab…
10-27 05:25:48	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xfa0d52…
10-27 05:25:45	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x343a36…
10-27 05:25:24	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x57dcf7…
10-26 15:56:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd6b540…
10-26 15:14:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xbc2688…
10-26 15:12:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x6dfb27…
10-26 15:12:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xc436e3…
10-26 11:23:15	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xae4237…
10-26 11:22:51	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x297d8b…
10-26 09:14:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xda0ca2…
10-26 09:13:03	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0x19740c…
10-26 09:12:59	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x672ac1…
10-26 09:12:53	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x36ad78…
10-26 09:12:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 27?	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xd9c28f…
10-26 09:12:42	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xc57ca7…
10-26 09:12:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	No	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x4be444…
10-26 09:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x074ba3…
10-26 09:12:29	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xc1eb2e…
10-26 09:11:17	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xfd9768…
10-26 09:11:17	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x88f29b…
10-26 09:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x902e9f…
10-26 09:11:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbfd10d…
10-26 08:31:15	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x9e2f09…
10-26 08:23:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x52ea04…
10-26 08:22:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x1ae953…
10-26 08:15:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x4321b6…
10-26 08:10:14	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xb2b49a…
10-26 08:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa4e9b8…
10-26 08:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6713ca…
10-26 08:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x29267e…
10-26 08:06:53	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xb35fe5…
10-26 08:06:51	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe3bd5b…
10-26 08:06:33	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xdc65bf…
10-26 08:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xbc6eee…
10-26 08:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7dda43…
10-26 08:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x66a974…
10-26 07:55:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7a3187…
10-26 07:53:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x3270c6…
10-26 07:32:38	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb3d982…
10-26 07:28:59	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4123a3…
10-26 07:10:14	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x3f1e01…
10-26 06:11:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x9492d5…
10-26 06:11:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x11cfa9…
10-26 06:11:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x102e55…
10-25 19:52:53	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 26?	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x05bd5d…
10-25 19:52:48	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x39c513…
10-25 19:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x0a94bc…
10-25 19:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x121ab4…
10-25 19:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xbeacfd…
10-25 19:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x8e9d65…
10-25 19:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x846fb6…
10-25 19:05:50	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x503308…
10-25 19:03:11	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 26?	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xdf4e2f…
10-25 18:56:54	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x537413…
10-25 18:56:53	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xbaaac3…
10-25 18:56:48	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xffd633…
10-25 18:56:15	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x19db40…
10-25 18:43:51	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x3187ef…
10-25 17:20:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x25a0db…
10-25 16:58:02	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2700 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe186c4…
10-25 16:57:48	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2700 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xbf535a…
10-25 16:56:42	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x57e8e2…
10-25 16:56:20	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x0de302…
10-25 16:52:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xaabdf1…
10-25 14:00:32	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x5bc034…
10-25 13:59:44	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xe96387…
10-25 13:59:39	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x912909…
10-25 13:59:29	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x32793e…
10-25 13:59:15	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x35cc67…
10-25 12:26:20	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x6bacfd…
10-25 12:25:30	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xdbf89a…
10-25 11:38:11	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xdc83e1…
10-25 11:37:45	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x855ae3…
10-25 11:18:20	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xbef1c1…
10-25 11:00:56	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x9ceb42…
10-25 11:00:42	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1e23bd…
10-25 08:49:51	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x393af4…
10-25 08:49:33	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x017c1e…
10-23 07:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x2bd608…
10-23 07:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0x2b52b7…
10-23 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x96e543…
10-23 05:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xabab17…
10-23 05:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x58eacd…
10-23 01:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0xb208ed…
10-23 00:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xadb93b…
10-23 00:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x868b5f…
10-23 00:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x25fbd9…
10-22 23:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x523438…
10-22 22:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x9b3d48…
10-22 22:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x536aef…
10-22 17:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x8f3944…